Table 5

Projected number of people with care gaps by race and gender in 2050 vs. observed in 2015

20152050% Growth
Population Aged 50+ 
 Black women 6,355,376 10,189,993 60.3 
 Black men 5,365,699 8,662,003 61.4 
 White women 36,241,933 38,431,174 6.0 
 White men 32,086,093 35,026,224 9.2 
 Total population 80,049,101 92,309,394 15.3 
ADLs 
 Number with any care gap and 1+ ADL 
  Black women 1,207,527 2,096,031 73.6 
  Black men 791,822 1,375,898 73.8 
  White women 4,159,892 4,917,613 18.2 
  White men 3,036,394 3,715,950 22.4 
  Total population 9,195,634 12,105,493 31.6 
 Number with 2+ care gaps and 2+ ADLs 
  Black women 501,245 857,048 71.0 
  Black men 327,943 526,505 60.5 
  White women 1,485,863 1,714,051 15.4 
  White men 1,087,357 1,284,050 18.1 
  Total population 3,402,409 4,381,654 28.8 
 Number with 3+ care gaps and 3+ ADLs 
  Black women 222,930 369,438 65.7 
  Black men 128,604 211,957 64.8 
  White women 575,598 639,843 11.2 
  White men 467,677 528,144 12.9 
  Total population 1,394,808 1,749,382 25.4 
IADLs 
 Number with any care gap and 1+ IADL 
  Black women 443,958 788,696 77.7 
  Black men 311,083 529,891 70.3 
  White women 1,720,349 2,052,101 19.3 
  White men 1,217,451 1,476,475 21.3 
  Total population 3,692,841 4,847,162 31.3 
 Number with 2+ care gaps and 2+ IADLs 
  Black women 83,765 142,622 70.3 
  Black men 45,435 79,026 73.9 
  White women 248,126 285,193 14.9 
  White men 208,031 243,583 17.1 
  Total population 585,357 750,424 28.2 
 Number with 3+ care gaps and 3+ IADLs 
  Black women 20,148 33,692 67.2 
  Black men 5,469 9,342 70.8 
  White women 45,998 50,951 10.8 
  White men 55,771 58,178 4.3 
  Total population 127,385 152,163 19.5 
20152050% Growth
Population Aged 50+ 
 Black women 6,355,376 10,189,993 60.3 
 Black men 5,365,699 8,662,003 61.4 
 White women 36,241,933 38,431,174 6.0 
 White men 32,086,093 35,026,224 9.2 
 Total population 80,049,101 92,309,394 15.3 
ADLs 
 Number with any care gap and 1+ ADL 
  Black women 1,207,527 2,096,031 73.6 
  Black men 791,822 1,375,898 73.8 
  White women 4,159,892 4,917,613 18.2 
  White men 3,036,394 3,715,950 22.4 
  Total population 9,195,634 12,105,493 31.6 
 Number with 2+ care gaps and 2+ ADLs 
  Black women 501,245 857,048 71.0 
  Black men 327,943 526,505 60.5 
  White women 1,485,863 1,714,051 15.4 
  White men 1,087,357 1,284,050 18.1 
  Total population 3,402,409 4,381,654 28.8 
 Number with 3+ care gaps and 3+ ADLs 
  Black women 222,930 369,438 65.7 
  Black men 128,604 211,957 64.8 
  White women 575,598 639,843 11.2 
  White men 467,677 528,144 12.9 
  Total population 1,394,808 1,749,382 25.4 
IADLs 
 Number with any care gap and 1+ IADL 
  Black women 443,958 788,696 77.7 
  Black men 311,083 529,891 70.3 
  White women 1,720,349 2,052,101 19.3 
  White men 1,217,451 1,476,475 21.3 
  Total population 3,692,841 4,847,162 31.3 
 Number with 2+ care gaps and 2+ IADLs 
  Black women 83,765 142,622 70.3 
  Black men 45,435 79,026 73.9 
  White women 248,126 285,193 14.9 
  White men 208,031 243,583 17.1 
  Total population 585,357 750,424 28.2 
 Number with 3+ care gaps and 3+ IADLs 
  Black women 20,148 33,692 67.2 
  Black men 5,469 9,342 70.8 
  White women 45,998 50,951 10.8 
  White men 55,771 58,178 4.3 
  Total population 127,385 152,163 19.5 

Notes: A care gap for a task is operationalized as receiving no help with a reported difficulty in the last three months. The simulated population is estimated by race, gender, age, and family structure. Changes in all four components are modeled as contributing to the changes found here.

View Large
Close Modal
This Feature Is Available To Subscribers Only

or Create an Account

Close Modal
Close Modal
This site uses cookies. By continuing to use our website, you are agreeing to our privacy policy.
Accept