The effect of armed conflict and forced displacement on marriage outcomes among Syrian women
. | Married (1) . | Marriage Arranged by Families (2) . | Marriage Not Arranged by Families (3) . | Husband Paid Bride Price (4) . | Only Religious Ceremony (5) . | Husband Has Other Wives (6) . | Woman Is Related to Her Husband (7) . |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Turkey | 0.066** | 0.030** | 0.036** | 0.026** | 0.125** | −0.004 | 0.018** |
(0.011) | (0.009) | (0.005) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.003) | (0.007) | |
Postwar Syria | 0.034** | 0.015* | 0.020** | 0.018** | 0.058** | −0.000 | 0.012* |
(0.008) | (0.007) | (0.004) | (0.007) | (0.005) | (0.003) | (0.005) | |
Turkey – Postwar Syria | 0.032** | 0.016† | 0.016** | 0.008 | 0.067** | −0.004 | 0.007 |
(0.010) | (0.009) | (0.005) | (0.008) | (0.009) | (0.003) | (0.006) | |
Mean | 0.086 | 0.068 | 0.018 | 0.062 | 0.033 | 0.010 | 0.040 |
Number of Observations | 21,572 | 21,572 | 21,572 | 20,954 | 21,572 | 21,572 | 21,572 |
R2 | .074 | .057 | .026 | .053 | .083 | .017 | .032 |
. | Married (1) . | Marriage Arranged by Families (2) . | Marriage Not Arranged by Families (3) . | Husband Paid Bride Price (4) . | Only Religious Ceremony (5) . | Husband Has Other Wives (6) . | Woman Is Related to Her Husband (7) . |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Turkey | 0.066** | 0.030** | 0.036** | 0.026** | 0.125** | −0.004 | 0.018** |
(0.011) | (0.009) | (0.005) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.003) | (0.007) | |
Postwar Syria | 0.034** | 0.015* | 0.020** | 0.018** | 0.058** | −0.000 | 0.012* |
(0.008) | (0.007) | (0.004) | (0.007) | (0.005) | (0.003) | (0.005) | |
Turkey – Postwar Syria | 0.032** | 0.016† | 0.016** | 0.008 | 0.067** | −0.004 | 0.007 |
(0.010) | (0.009) | (0.005) | (0.008) | (0.009) | (0.003) | (0.006) | |
Mean | 0.086 | 0.068 | 0.018 | 0.062 | 0.033 | 0.010 | 0.040 |
Number of Observations | 21,572 | 21,572 | 21,572 | 20,954 | 21,572 | 21,572 | 21,572 |
R2 | .074 | .057 | .026 | .053 | .083 | .017 | .032 |
Notes: The data come from the 2018 Turkish Demographic and Health Survey–Syrian Sample. The sample includes all women aged 15–49 and is formatted for a discrete-time duration analysis in which each period is one age and failure is marriage. The event history for all women starts at age 10, the youngest age at marriage in the data, and continues until the age at first marriage for ever-married women and until the age at the survey year (2018) for never-married women. For ever-married women, the outcome variable takes the value of 1 at the age at marriage and 0 at all other ages. For never-married women, the outcome variable is right-censored and takes the value of 0 at all age values. Each column comes from a separate OLS regression of the dependent variable identified in the column title. The estimates for the two key variables of interest (Turkey and postwar Syria) and for their difference (Turkey – Postwar Syria) are provided. The baseline category is prewar Syria. The regressions include the following control variables: dummy variables for age and birth year, mother's and father's education (no education, primary school incomplete, primary school complete, secondary school complete, or high school or above), mother tongue (Turkmen, Arabic, Kurdish, or other), birth province (14 Syrian provinces), and type of birthplace (province center, district center, or subdistrict/village). The standard errors, shown in parentheses, are clustered at the household level, and survey weights are used.
†p < .10; *p < .05; **p < .01