Effects of name scores of oldest child on number of children born to Black mothers in all available U.S. Census years, 1870–1940
| . | 1870 . | 1880 . | 1900 . | 1910 . | 1920 . | 1930 . | 1940 . |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fertility Score (of name) | 0.045 (0.057) | 0.065 (0.039) | 0.032 (0.037) | 0.028 (0.042) | 0.054 (0.034) | 0.035 (0.035) | 0.074* (0.032) |
| Urban (vs. rural) | −0.540*** (0.065) | −0.819*** (0.049) | −0.913*** (0.038) | −0.992*** (0.043) | −0.985*** (0.034) | −0.979*** (0.028) | −0.953*** (0.026) |
| Occupational Income Score (of father in 1,000s of 1950 $) | 0.015*** (0.003) | −0.014*** (0.002) | −0.021*** (0.002) | −0.014*** (0.002) | −0.021*** (0.002) | −0.020*** (0.002) | −0.017*** (0.001) |
| N | 40,029 | 53,563 | 71,589 | 54,824 | 78,534 | 101,861 | 106,116 |
| R2 | .463 | .414 | .406 | .422 | .382 | .360 | .349 |
| Adjusted R2 | .238 | .218 | .229 | .224 | .206 | .190 | .167 |
| . | 1870 . | 1880 . | 1900 . | 1910 . | 1920 . | 1930 . | 1940 . |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fertility Score (of name) | 0.045 (0.057) | 0.065 (0.039) | 0.032 (0.037) | 0.028 (0.042) | 0.054 (0.034) | 0.035 (0.035) | 0.074* (0.032) |
| Urban (vs. rural) | −0.540*** (0.065) | −0.819*** (0.049) | −0.913*** (0.038) | −0.992*** (0.043) | −0.985*** (0.034) | −0.979*** (0.028) | −0.953*** (0.026) |
| Occupational Income Score (of father in 1,000s of 1950 $) | 0.015*** (0.003) | −0.014*** (0.002) | −0.021*** (0.002) | −0.014*** (0.002) | −0.021*** (0.002) | −0.020*** (0.002) | −0.017*** (0.001) |
| N | 40,029 | 53,563 | 71,589 | 54,824 | 78,534 | 101,861 | 106,116 |
| R2 | .463 | .414 | .406 | .422 | .382 | .360 | .349 |
| Adjusted R2 | .238 | .218 | .229 | .224 | .206 | .190 | .167 |
Notes: All models include last name and county fixed effects and age of eldest child. Samples are based on full-count census files. All mothers, fathers, and children are categorized as Black by the census. “Mulattos” are not included, partly explaining the substantial decline in sample size in 1910. Standard errors are shown in parentheses. All models include geography controls.
*p < .05; ***p < .001