Table 4

Effects of grandparental death on annual probability of parity progression, separately by starting parity and pooled across parities: Linear fixed-effects models (abbreviated table)

Prob(Parity2|1)
(1)
Prob(Parity3|2)
(2)
Prob(Parity4|3)
(3)
Prob(Parity5|4)
(4)
Prob(Any Birth)a
(5)
Any Grandparent Died −0.0274*** −0.0176*** −0.0199*** −0.0302*** −0.0202*** 
 (0.00322) (0.00179) (0.00169) (0.00366) (0.00109) 
Parity 2     −0.458*** 
     (0.000832) 
Parity 3     −0.830*** 
     (0.00152) 
Parity 4     −1.105*** 
     (0.00212) 
Constant −0.398*** −0.190*** −0.361*** −0.488*** −0.380*** 
 (0.0597) (0.0251) (0.0351) (0.102) (0.00569) 
Number of Observations 966,762 1,183,152 722,938 237,958 3,107,794 
R2 (within) .427 .211 .191 .276 .244 
Prob(Parity2|1)
(1)
Prob(Parity3|2)
(2)
Prob(Parity4|3)
(3)
Prob(Parity5|4)
(4)
Prob(Any Birth)a
(5)
Any Grandparent Died −0.0274*** −0.0176*** −0.0199*** −0.0302*** −0.0202*** 
 (0.00322) (0.00179) (0.00169) (0.00366) (0.00109) 
Parity 2     −0.458*** 
     (0.000832) 
Parity 3     −0.830*** 
     (0.00152) 
Parity 4     −1.105*** 
     (0.00212) 
Constant −0.398*** −0.190*** −0.361*** −0.488*** −0.380*** 
 (0.0597) (0.0251) (0.0351) (0.102) (0.00569) 
Number of Observations 966,762 1,183,152 722,938 237,958 3,107,794 
R2 (within) .427 .211 .191 .276 .244 

Notes: Standard errors are shown in parentheses. The table is abbreviated; full model results are available from the authors upon request. Variables not shown are age of each grandparent (ref. = 60–64), age of wife (ref. = 25–29), age of husband (ref. = 25–29), years of exposure since last birth (ref. = Year 1), and calendar year (ref. = 1986).

Source: Israeli linked population register and census files, 1986–2014.

a

Prob(Any Birth) refers to annual probability parity progression to birth n conditional on achieving parity n – 1 for any n from 2 to 5.

***

p < .001

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