Table 5

Sensitivity of results to changes in procedures

Effect on Life Expectancy at Age 40 Relative to Main Projectiona
202020302040
Change in ProcedureMaleFemaleMaleFemaleMaleFemale
Use of Measured Data on Obesity at Age 25 –0.038 –0.061 –0.067 –0.095 –0.059 –0.103 
No Future Growth in Obesity Among Initial Cohorts of 25- to 34-Year-Olds 0.000 0.000 0.004 0.009 0.029 0.040 
Use of Mortality Rates With No Control Except Age and Sex 0.017 0.010 0.026 0.015 0.026 0.012 
Use of Mortality Rates Without Inclusion of BMI at Age 25 0.026 0.056 0.095 0.164 0.199 0.289 
No Exclusion Criteria Applied to Mortality Modeling 0.046 0.072 0.099 0.141 0.145 0.202 
Use of Alternative Series Translating Lung Cancer Into All-Cause Mortality –0.067 0.012 –0.173 –0.107 –0.322 –0.360 
Effect on Life Expectancy at Age 40 Relative to Main Projectiona
202020302040
Change in ProcedureMaleFemaleMaleFemaleMaleFemale
Use of Measured Data on Obesity at Age 25 –0.038 –0.061 –0.067 –0.095 –0.059 –0.103 
No Future Growth in Obesity Among Initial Cohorts of 25- to 34-Year-Olds 0.000 0.000 0.004 0.009 0.029 0.040 
Use of Mortality Rates With No Control Except Age and Sex 0.017 0.010 0.026 0.015 0.026 0.012 
Use of Mortality Rates Without Inclusion of BMI at Age 25 0.026 0.056 0.095 0.164 0.199 0.289 
No Exclusion Criteria Applied to Mortality Modeling 0.046 0.072 0.099 0.141 0.145 0.202 
Use of Alternative Series Translating Lung Cancer Into All-Cause Mortality –0.067 0.012 –0.173 –0.107 –0.322 –0.360 

aA positive value means that the alternative procedure resulted in a gain in projected life expectancy relative to the main procedure.

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