Table 2 Effect of Southern Border Plan...

Table 2

Effect of Southern Border Plan on the intent to remigrate

	1	2	3	4	5	6
Individual Is Central American × Post-SBP	−0.148***	−0.180***	−0.181***	−0.182***	−0.165***	−0.163***
Individual Is Central American × Post-SBP	(0.036)	(0.038)	(0.038)	(0.040)	(0.032)	(0.032)
Male	—	0.084***	0.084***	0.096***	0.098***	0.098****
Male		(0.022)	(0.021)	(0.021)	(0.020)	(0.020)
Age	—	0.001	0.001	0.001*	0.001*	0.001*
Age		(0.001)	(0.001)	(0.001)	(0.001)	(0.001)
Speaks English	—	0.046*	0.037^†	0.043*	0.042^†	0.039^†
Speaks English		(0.021)	(0.021)	(0.021)	(0.022)	(0.023)
Education (ref. = primary or less)
Secondary education	—	0.040**	0.043***	0.054***	0.050***	0.051***
Secondary education		(0.012)	(0.012)	(0.011)	(0.011)	(0.011)
High school	—	0.058*	0.058*	0.068**	0.064**	0.062*
High school		(0.024)	(0.023)	(0.024)	(0.024)	(0.025)
Tertiary education	—	0.106^†	0.114*	0.110^†	0.113*	0.115*
Tertiary education		(0.056)	(0.054)	(0.057)	(0.056)	(0.055)
Married	—	–0.044***	–0.044***	–0.042**	–0.042**	–0.044***
Married		(0.012)	(0.012)	(0.013)	(0.013)	(0.013)
Head	—	0.037*	0.034^†	0.036*	0.033^†	0.032^†
Head		(0.018)	(0.017)	(0.017)	(0.017)	(0.017)
Household Size	—	–0.002	–0.002	0.001	0.001	0.002
Household Size		(0.004)	(0.003)	(0.003)	(0.003)	(0.002)
Has Family/Friends in the United States	—	0.106***	0.101***	0.094***	0.088***	0.091***
Has Family/Friends in the United States		(0.013)	(0.013)	(0.013)	(0.013)	(0.013)
Employed Before Migration	—	–0.079***	–0.083***	–0.099***	–0.103***	–0.107***
Employed Before Migration		(0.017)	(0.017)	(0.017)	(0.017)	(0.017)
Ln(Money Spent)	—	—	0.007	0.008	0.020	0.024
Ln(Money Spent)			(0.014)	(0.015)	(0.015)	(0.015)
Borrowed Money to Cross	—	—	0.017	0.036*	0.048**	0.047**
Borrowed Money to Cross			(0.016)	(0.015)	(0.015)	(0.015)
Used a Coyote	—	—	–0.030	–0.029	–0.049**	–0.056**
Used a Coyote			(0.020)	(0.019)	(0.018)	(0.018)
People Traveling Together	—	—	0.006***	0.006***	0.006***	0.007***
People Traveling Together			(0.001)	(0.001)	(0.001)	(0.001)
Traveled With Children	—	—	–0.046*	–0.039^†	–0.030	–0.028
Traveled With Children			(0.018)	(0.020)	(0.020)	(0.020)
Previous Number of Crossings	—	—	0.011**	0.006*	0.006*	0.005^†
Previous Number of Crossings			(0.003)	(0.003)	(0.003)	(0.003)
Constant	0.667***	0.507***	0.476***	0.805***	0.841***	0.600***
Constant	(0.024)	(0.054)	(0.090)	(0.095)	(0.089)	(0.103)
Quarter Fixed Effects	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
Origin Department Fixed Effects	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
Apprehension State Fixed Effects	No	No	No	Yes	Yes	Yes
Origin Department Time Trend	No	No	No	No	Yes	Yes
Apprehension State Time Trend	No	No	No	No	No	Yes
Number of Observations	32,041	32,041	32,041	32,041	32,041	32,041
R²	.072	.096	.100	.166	.187	.193

	1	2	3	4	5	6
Individual Is Central American × Post-SBP	−0.148***	−0.180***	−0.181***	−0.182***	−0.165***	−0.163***
Individual Is Central American × Post-SBP	(0.036)	(0.038)	(0.038)	(0.040)	(0.032)	(0.032)
Male	—	0.084***	0.084***	0.096***	0.098***	0.098****
Male		(0.022)	(0.021)	(0.021)	(0.020)	(0.020)
Age	—	0.001	0.001	0.001*	0.001*	0.001*
Age		(0.001)	(0.001)	(0.001)	(0.001)	(0.001)
Speaks English	—	0.046*	0.037^†	0.043*	0.042^†	0.039^†
Speaks English		(0.021)	(0.021)	(0.021)	(0.022)	(0.023)
Education (ref. = primary or less)
Secondary education	—	0.040**	0.043***	0.054***	0.050***	0.051***
Secondary education		(0.012)	(0.012)	(0.011)	(0.011)	(0.011)
High school	—	0.058*	0.058*	0.068**	0.064**	0.062*
High school		(0.024)	(0.023)	(0.024)	(0.024)	(0.025)
Tertiary education	—	0.106^†	0.114*	0.110^†	0.113*	0.115*
Tertiary education		(0.056)	(0.054)	(0.057)	(0.056)	(0.055)
Married	—	–0.044***	–0.044***	–0.042**	–0.042**	–0.044***
Married		(0.012)	(0.012)	(0.013)	(0.013)	(0.013)
Head	—	0.037*	0.034^†	0.036*	0.033^†	0.032^†
Head		(0.018)	(0.017)	(0.017)	(0.017)	(0.017)
Household Size	—	–0.002	–0.002	0.001	0.001	0.002
Household Size		(0.004)	(0.003)	(0.003)	(0.003)	(0.002)
Has Family/Friends in the United States	—	0.106***	0.101***	0.094***	0.088***	0.091***
Has Family/Friends in the United States		(0.013)	(0.013)	(0.013)	(0.013)	(0.013)
Employed Before Migration	—	–0.079***	–0.083***	–0.099***	–0.103***	–0.107***
Employed Before Migration		(0.017)	(0.017)	(0.017)	(0.017)	(0.017)
Ln(Money Spent)	—	—	0.007	0.008	0.020	0.024
Ln(Money Spent)			(0.014)	(0.015)	(0.015)	(0.015)
Borrowed Money to Cross	—	—	0.017	0.036*	0.048**	0.047**
Borrowed Money to Cross			(0.016)	(0.015)	(0.015)	(0.015)
Used a Coyote	—	—	–0.030	–0.029	–0.049**	–0.056**
Used a Coyote			(0.020)	(0.019)	(0.018)	(0.018)
People Traveling Together	—	—	0.006***	0.006***	0.006***	0.007***
People Traveling Together			(0.001)	(0.001)	(0.001)	(0.001)
Traveled With Children	—	—	–0.046*	–0.039^†	–0.030	–0.028
Traveled With Children			(0.018)	(0.020)	(0.020)	(0.020)
Previous Number of Crossings	—	—	0.011**	0.006*	0.006*	0.005^†
Previous Number of Crossings			(0.003)	(0.003)	(0.003)	(0.003)
Constant	0.667***	0.507***	0.476***	0.805***	0.841***	0.600***
Constant	(0.024)	(0.054)	(0.090)	(0.095)	(0.089)	(0.103)
Quarter Fixed Effects	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
Origin Department Fixed Effects	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
Apprehension State Fixed Effects	No	No	No	Yes	Yes	Yes
Origin Department Time Trend	No	No	No	No	Yes	Yes
Apprehension State Time Trend	No	No	No	No	No	Yes
Number of Observations	32,041	32,041	32,041	32,041	32,041	32,041
R²	.072	.096	.100	.166	.187	.193

Notes: Results are obtained from OLS regressions. Standard errors, clustered at the origin department level, are shown in parentheses.

^†p < .10; *p < .05; **p < .01; ***p < .001

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