Table 3

Decomposition of change in probability of parental separation, union at first birth

Mother’s Birth Cohort
1940s–1950s1950s–1960s1960s–1970s
Italy 
  Change in crude rate 4.6 2.1 3.0 
  Change due to shift in union context 0.3 0.6 1.3 
    Cohabiting 0.3 0.8 2.0 
    Married 0.0 –0.2 –0.7 
  Change due to change in standardized rate 4.4 1.5 1.6 
    Cohabiting 0.2 –0.2 –0.1 
    Married 4.1 1.7 1.8 
Great Britain 
  Change in crude rate 5.4 9.4 5.8 
  Change due to shift in union context 0.8 2.3 3.2 
    Cohabiting 1.6 6.2 7.4 
    Married –0.8 –3.9 –4.2 
  Change due to change in standardized rate 4.7 7.1 2.7 
    Cohabiting 0.2 1.5 2.4 
    Married 4.5 5.6 0.2 
Scandinavia 
  Change in crude rate 8.6 7.3 –3.3 
  Change due to shift in union context 2.0 3.3 1.7 
    Cohabiting 5.3 10.4 2.7 
    Married –3.3 –7.1 –1.0 
  Change due to change in standardized rate 6.6 4.0 –4.9 
    Cohabiting 1.8 2.0 –0.6 
    Married 4.7 2.0 –4.3 
Mother’s Birth Cohort
1940s–1950s1950s–1960s1960s–1970s
Italy 
  Change in crude rate 4.6 2.1 3.0 
  Change due to shift in union context 0.3 0.6 1.3 
    Cohabiting 0.3 0.8 2.0 
    Married 0.0 –0.2 –0.7 
  Change due to change in standardized rate 4.4 1.5 1.6 
    Cohabiting 0.2 –0.2 –0.1 
    Married 4.1 1.7 1.8 
Great Britain 
  Change in crude rate 5.4 9.4 5.8 
  Change due to shift in union context 0.8 2.3 3.2 
    Cohabiting 1.6 6.2 7.4 
    Married –0.8 –3.9 –4.2 
  Change due to change in standardized rate 4.7 7.1 2.7 
    Cohabiting 0.2 1.5 2.4 
    Married 4.5 5.6 0.2 
Scandinavia 
  Change in crude rate 8.6 7.3 –3.3 
  Change due to shift in union context 2.0 3.3 1.7 
    Cohabiting 5.3 10.4 2.7 
    Married –3.3 –7.1 –1.0 
  Change due to change in standardized rate 6.6 4.0 –4.9 
    Cohabiting 1.8 2.0 –0.6 
    Married 4.7 2.0 –4.3 
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