... to the notion of evidence, according to which E is evidence for H just in case pðH j EÞ . pðH Þ. This notion of evidence is sometimes referred to (after Salmon 1975) as “relevance confirmation” or as “incremental con- firmation”; I will use the word “confirms” to refer to justified credence raising...

... of the coin being tossed, since: pðT ! HÞ¼pðw1Þþpðw3Þ:qðfÞ¼0:5 pðH j T Þ¼pðw1pðw1Þþpðw2ÞÞ ¼ 0:5: In this simple case of selection uncertainty, therefore, his theory offers a plausible explanation for the truth of Adams’s Thesis. The second example is a case in which...