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Journal Article
The Philosophical Review (2008) 117 (4): 607–610.
Published: 01 October 2008
Journal Article
The Philosophical Review (2009) 118 (3): 375–377.
Published: 01 July 2009
Journal Article
The Philosophical Review (2003) 112 (1): 100–102.
Published: 01 January 2003
Journal Article
The Philosophical Review (2012) 121 (3): 443–450.
Published: 01 July 2012
... endorsing Conditionalization. Cor- respondingly, she argues that we ought to be persuaded by the DBA for Conditionalization, but not by the DBA for Reflection. The DBA for Reflection involves three bets, two of which are offered at t 0 and one of which is offered at t 1 iff Cr 1(A) ¼ r. The bets...
Journal Article
The Philosophical Review (2010) 119 (4): 411–447.
Published: 01 October 2010
..., and Hannes Leitgeb. 2006 . “When Betting Odds and Credences Come Apart: More Worries for Dutch Book Arguments.” Analysis 66 : 119 –27. Christensen, David. 1991 . “Clever Bookies and Coherent Beliefs.” Philosophical Review 100 : 229 –47. ———. 2007 . “Does Murphy's Law Apply in...
Journal Article
The Philosophical Review (2013) 122 (2): 289–306.
Published: 01 April 2013
... and intuitive principle. In the following statement of it, a unit bet on a proposition X is an option O such that V (O ^ X) ¼ 1 and V (O ^ :X) ¼ 0. 291 ARIF AHMED (5) Causal Betting Principle (CBP): If you face a choice between...
Journal Article
The Philosophical Review (2009) 118 (1): 59–85.
Published: 01 January 2009
... outoftheseller’spocketifA is true, and nothing oth- erwise. 2. If Cr violates purported norm N, then the agent’s credences condone entering into a Dutch book—that is, a set of bets which ensure that she suffers a net financial loss. (Inferred from premise 1.) 3. If an...
Journal Article
The Philosophical Review (2015) 124 (3): 393–406.
Published: 01 July 2015
... previously unnoticed. As Caie mentions in his essay, due to sentences like # , sometimes an agent will always value as fair a set of bets that guarantee a loss of money. He says that in such situations Dutch book considerations should require an agent to minimize her losses. However, I show...
Journal Article
The Philosophical Review (2018) 127 (3): 323–369.
Published: 01 July 2018
... seems like in an ordinary context in which ( Bet ) is asserted, one could have equally said: ( Bet Qualified ) If I (with my beliefs) were you (as a bettor), I (with my beliefs) would bet on that horse (being the fastest horse here). Phrases like ‘with my beliefs’ and ‘as a bettor’ can be used to make...
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
The Philosophical Review (2013) 122 (4): 527–575.
Published: 01 October 2013
Journal Article
The Philosophical Review (2014) 123 (1): 1–41.
Published: 01 January 2014
... all unsound. The mathematical structure of probability theory (especially when supplemented with a conditional probability function) involves several features that can do the work that nonzero values are supposed to do in these arguments. There is no need for betting behavior or comparative...
Journal Article
The Philosophical Review (2012) 121 (4): 483–538.
Published: 01 October 2012
... that determine your payoff, then A should be pre- ferred to B. For example, if you are offered a choice between two ways of betting on a fair coin, one of which offers the same payout as the other in the case of Heads but a higher payout in the case of Tails, then that’s the one you should choose...
Journal Article
The Philosophical Review (2020) 129 (3): 484–489.
Published: 01 July 2020
... and not be certain of which credence in p you have. You can (for instance) be genuinely disposed to treat a bet on p as fair if and only if the bet is at 2:1 odds (i.e., to have credence ⅓ in p  ), but be unwilling to bet the farm that you are so disposed (i.e., not have credence 1 that you...
Journal Article
The Philosophical Review (2001) 110 (2): 296–300.
Published: 01 April 2001
... . The Logic of Decision, 2d ed. Chicago: University of Chicago Press. (First edition, 1964.) Maher, Patrick, 1993 . Betting on Theories. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. McClennen, Edward, 1990 . Rationality and Dynamic Choice: Foundational Explorations. Cambridge: Cambridge...
Journal Article
The Philosophical Review (2013) 122 (1): 1–43.
Published: 01 January 2013
... Encroachment? ” Philosophical Perspectives 19 ( 1 ): 417 – 43 . ———. 2008 . “ Attitudes and Relativism .” Philosophical Perspectives 22 ( 1 ): 527 – 44 . ———. 2011 . “ Defending Interest-Relative Invariantism .” Logos and Episteme 2 ( 4 ): 591 – 609 . ———. 2012 . “ Knowledge, Bets...
Journal Article
The Philosophical Review (2007) 116 (3): 323–360.
Published: 01 July 2007
... must be held in a weak fashion. He also anticipates the thought (later championed by Ramsey) that betting scenarios can serve as good tests for discerning how strongly a subject really holds an attitude. If we fi nd a man who “pronounces his statements (Sätze) with such confi - dent and infl...
Journal Article
The Philosophical Review (2005) 114 (2): 288–290.
Published: 01 April 2005
...- 289 BOOK REVIEWS ments are bizarre. Warnock predicts that human reproductive cloning will never be tried because of the risks (102). But since the world is full of risk-tak- ers, publicity-seekers, and heads of state who aren’t fit to coach soccer teams, I would bet...
Journal Article
The Philosophical Review (2002) 111 (2): 308–310.
Published: 01 April 2002
... thought, it is not to be expected that a bet- ter understanding of medieval and Renaissance philosophy will unlock the hidden meaning of modern texts. Still, the very notion that such authors are somehow modern can be defended only on the basis of a decent understanding of their pre- decessors...
Journal Article
The Philosophical Review (2005) 114 (2): 227–251.
Published: 01 April 2005
... declarative sentence would carry out when uttered in propria persona. Declarative sentences can be used to establish definitions, legal propositions, or bets only given some initial prepara- tion, such as a statement that the following sentence is a definition or the investiture of legal authority in the...
Journal Article
The Philosophical Review (2003) 112 (1): 27–56.
Published: 01 January 2003
... & Littlefield. Jordan, Jeff. 1998 . Pascal's Wager Revisited. Religious Studies 34 : 419 -31. Kemeny, J. 1955 . Fair Bets and Inductive Probabilities. Journal of Symbolic Logic 20 : 263 -73. Lewis, David. 1980 . A Subjectivist's Guide to Objective Chance. In Studies in...