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Journal Article
The Philosophical Review (2013) 122 (4): 527–575.
Published: 01 October 2013
...Michael Caie Probabilism is the view that a rational agent's credences should always be probabilistically coherent. It has been argued that Probabilism follows, given the assumption that an epistemically rational agent ought to try to have credences that represent the world as accurately...
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Journal Article
The Philosophical Review (2023) 132 (1): 43–87.
Published: 01 January 2023
..., a rational agent will obey this principle if and only if she expects chance to be at least as accurate as she is on every good way of measuring accuracy. Much of the discussion, and the technical results, extend beyond chance to deference to any kind of expert. Indeed, you will trust someone about...
Journal Article
The Philosophical Review (2021) 130 (3): 339–383.
Published: 01 July 2021
... fruitfully been applied to modulating the way agents or systems make choices over time. This article extends the trade-off to belief. We can be torn between two ways of believing, one of which is expected to be more accurate in light of current evidence, whereas the other is expected to lead to more learning...
Journal Article
The Philosophical Review (2023) 132 (3): 355–458.
Published: 01 July 2023
... for the rationality of predictable polarization. The main theoretical result is that there can be a series of such updates, each of which is individually expected to make you more accurate, but which together will predictably polarize you. Polarization results from asymmetric increases in accuracy . This mechanism...
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Journal Article
The Philosophical Review (2013) 122 (1): 93–117.
Published: 01 January 2013
...Nicolas Bommarito The contemporary discussion of modesty has focused on whether or not modest people are accurate about their own good qualities. This essay argues that this way of framing the debate is unhelpful and offers examples to show that neither ignorance nor accuracy about the good...
Journal Article
The Philosophical Review (2009) 118 (3): 285–324.
Published: 01 July 2009
...Tyler Burge A central preoccupation of philosophy in the twentieth century was to determine constitutive conditions under which accurate (objective) empirical representation of the macrophysical environment is possible. A view that dominated attitudes on this project maintained that an individual...
Journal Article
The Philosophical Review (2013) 122 (2): 215–287.
Published: 01 April 2013
... by resemblance in this way. Such considerations are the basis for all RESEMBLANCE THEORIES of depiction.2 As I will argue in the first part of this essay, resemblance theories are best understood as theories of accurate depiction: they define necessary and sufficient conditions for a picture to accurately...
Journal Article
The Philosophical Review (2010) 119 (2): 165–200.
Published: 01 April 2010
... the combination of Social Self-Evaluation with the Concern for Accurate Evaluation—in practice, a desire that others value one at the rate one values oneself. Although this provides an explanation of certain phenomena associated with inflamed amour-propre, it does not explain its central characteristics...
Journal Article
The Philosophical Review (2020) 129 (3): 484–489.
Published: 01 July 2020
... do seem to learn something when we are shown a proof that—on natural ways of measuring accuracy—if a credence function is not probabilistic, it is guaranteed to be less accurate than some specifiable probabilistic one ( Joyce 1998, 2009 ). At a first pass: since you should try to be accurate, you...
Journal Article
The Philosophical Review (2016) 125 (4): 509–587.
Published: 01 October 2016
...), as proposed by Jon Williamson (2010, chap. 4) , or some alternative policy. So I will suppress talk of updating rules in what follows. 22. For the purposes of our discussion, we will understand cognitive skill narrowly as skill at securing accurate credences . This is not to deny, however...
Journal Article
The Philosophical Review (2017) 126 (3): 417–420.
Published: 01 July 2017
... system consisting of an information producer and an endorsement mechanism. The endorsement mechanism either endorses or rejects the content generated by the information producer, and endorsed content results in a belief. The reliability of this two-step process depends on the ratio of accurate...
Journal Article
The Philosophical Review (2021) 130 (1): 176–180.
Published: 01 January 2021
.... For instance, if a visual experience has representational content, then we can easily explain why the experience is assessable for accuracy: it's accurate just in case what it represents is true. But Breckenridge has proposed that ‘looks’ sentences, like (9a), are about ways visual experiences occur, in just...
Journal Article
The Philosophical Review (2003) 112 (2): 251–253.
Published: 01 April 2003
... in a welcome way the promise of the Clarendon Aris- totle Series, in which his book appears, by providing an accurate translation of Aristotle’s text, together with a philosophically informed and illuminating commentary. It is in the first instance refreshing that Madigan has resisted the temptation...
Journal Article
The Philosophical Review (2015) 124 (3): 393–406.
Published: 01 July 2015
... that are as accurate as possible. Caie argues that we should only consider how accurate a credal state would be if they were the agent's credences . So for propositions whose truth value is determined by the agent's credences, such as ρ   ( # ) , the only relevant accuracy score is the accuracy...
Journal Article
The Philosophical Review (2017) 126 (4): 547–551.
Published: 01 October 2017
... a higher likelihood on the evidence seen, or in fact will be more predictively accurate, is something that will vary from task to task. Given the right assumptions, each paradigm provides methods for determining how considerations of parsimony should influence model selection (these methods include...
Journal Article
The Philosophical Review (2001) 110 (2): 289–290.
Published: 01 April 2001
.... The Philosophical Review, Vol. 110, No. 2 (April 2001) EXPLAINING CHAOS. By PETERSMITH. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1998. Pp. viii, 193. Explaining Chaos provides both a succinct and accurate introduction to the physics and mathematics of chaotic dynamical systems along...
Journal Article
The Philosophical Review (2001) 110 (2): 151–197.
Published: 01 April 2001
... that their representational states sometimes adequately and accurately repre- 3I don’t mean to suggest that this common family of arguments exhausts the arsenal of antirealists. As I’ll concede explicitly in section 9, further challenges remain. But I hope to address some lines of attack that have been...
Journal Article
The Philosophical Review (2019) 128 (2): 241–245.
Published: 01 April 2019
... justification for believing that your perceptual experiences are accurate (100–102). One reason to be skeptical of Korman's response is that it relies upon an internalist explanatory connection constraint on justification to the effect that S's beliefs about a subject matter are justified only if S does...
Journal Article
The Philosophical Review (2012) 121 (2): 241–275.
Published: 01 April 2012
... to have a set of credences if there is another set that is more accurate however the world turns out. As we will see, using the adaptation of Joyce’s argument that I will describe here, if we begin from different accounts of what chances are, the argument can be used to justify the Principal Principle...
Journal Article
The Philosophical Review (2020) 129 (1): 1–51.
Published: 01 January 2020
... of reliability. The derivative significance of reliability follows from at least three parts of the account. First and most obviously, in virtue of understanding reflective knowledge as belief that is accurate in virtue of manifesting respect for accuracy , the account predicts that reliability is necessary...