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statistical inference

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Journal Article
History of Political Economy (2021) 53 (S1): 175–203.
Published: 01 December 2021
... for statistical economics suggests a new long narrative about the history of statistical inference in the United States, one in which theory-driven econometrics and heavy reliance on mathematical probability appear as interludes rather than stable endpoints. tstaplef@nd.edu Copyright © 2021 Duke...
Journal Article
History of Political Economy (1977) 9 (1): 154.
Published: 01 March 1977
..., Induction and Statistical Znference. By Ian Hacking. London and New York: Cambridge University Press, 1975. Pp. 209. $15.95. In nineteen brief chapters, Hacking explores the development of our mod- ern conceptions of probability and induction in the context of fifteenth- through...
Journal Article
History of Political Economy (2021) 53 (S1): 53–80.
Published: 01 December 2021
...Jeff Biddle Statistical inference is the process of drawing conclusions from samples of statistical data about things not fully described or recorded in those samples. During the 1920s, economists in the United States articulated a general approach to statistical inference that downplayed the value...
Journal Article
History of Political Economy (2021) 53 (S1): 1–24.
Published: 01 December 2021
... , no. 4 : 607 – 52 . Biddle Jeff E. 2017 . “ Statistical Inference in Economics, 1920–1965: Changes in Meaning and Practice .” Journal of the History of Economic Thought 39 , no. 2 : 149 – 74 . Biddle Jeff E. 2021 . Progress through Regression: The Life History...
Journal Article
History of Political Economy (2021) 53 (S1): 139–174.
Published: 01 December 2021
...Laetitia Lenel The article investigates the methods and conceptions of statistical inference used in business forecasting in the United States and in Europe in the 1920s. After presenting the methods and arguments used by the members of the Harvard Committee on Economic Research in the first years...
Journal Article
History of Political Economy (2021) 53 (S1): 259–292.
Published: 01 December 2021
...Amanar Akhabbar How to infer from uncontrolled data the numerical values of the parameters of an econometric model? In interwar econometrics, this problem of statistical induction was tackled in various ways. Wassily Leontief’s inter-industry method offers a case study of a nonprobabilistic...
Journal Article
History of Political Economy (2021) 53 (S1): 113–138.
Published: 01 December 2021
...Mary S. Morgan This article investigates the role played by narrative in drawing inferences from statistics before the adoption of formal inference regimes in economics. Two well-known, and exemplary, cases of informal inference provide the materials. Nikolai Kondratiev’s struggles to make...
Journal Article
History of Political Economy (2021) 53 (S1): 27–52.
Published: 01 December 2021
... theories. Instead, he drew inferences from statistics in case studies to argue that no special economic theory was required in the development space. He packaged these studies as statistical parables to provoke skepticism of development theory among those involved in direct technical assistance...
Journal Article
History of Political Economy (2009) 41 (1): 143–162.
Published: 01 March 2009
... of primitive prob- abilities, defi ned directly in reference to experiential data collected in statistical tables, or defi ned a priori in reference to antenatal experience. Starting from these probabilities, and applying the rules of calculus of probabilities, it is possible to infer complex...
Journal Article
History of Political Economy (2021) 53 (S1): 327–342.
Published: 01 December 2021
..., 75 Service, 158 regression analysis, 72 73, Breiman, Leo, 182 83 Britain, 251 52. See also Board of 75 76 statistical inference, 76 78 Trade, British weather, 74 75 British Association for the yield per acre, 71 72 Advancement of Science (BAAS), 236 37 Brookmire, James, 142, 145 forecasts, hog...
Journal Article
History of Political Economy (1995) 27 (Supplement): 39–52.
Published: 01 December 1995
... (with discussion, 55–82). Fisher , R. A. 1939 . Student. Annals of Eugenics 9 : 1 -9. Fisher , R. A. 1973 . Statistical Methods for Research Workers . 14th ed. New York: Hafner. Hacking , I. 1965 . Logic of Statistical Inference . Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Heath...
Journal Article
History of Political Economy (2008) 40 (2): 265–316.
Published: 01 June 2008
... presented at the North American summer meeting of the Econometric Society, June. ———. 2007b . The Enigma of Karl Pearson and Bayesian Inference . Paper presented at the Karl Pearson Sesquicentenary Conference, the Royal Statistical Society, March. Bartlett, M. S. 1933 . Probability and Chance...
Journal Article
History of Political Economy (2010) 42 (1): 111–154.
Published: 01 March 2010
... . Harold Hotelling, 1895–1973. National Academy of Sciences 87 : 1 –15. Bennett, J. H., ed. 1990 . Statistical Inference and Analysis: Selected Correspondence of R. A. Fisher . Oxford: Oxford University Press. Biddle, J. 1999 . Statistical Economics, 1900–1950. HOPE 31 : 607 –51...
Journal Article
History of Political Economy (2021) 53 (S1): 81–110.
Published: 01 December 2021
...Boris Samuel This article studies the inference procedures used to compute the macroeconomic indicators feeding into the International Monetary Fund’s monitoring and surveillance in Africa since the structural adjustment. In 2005, the IMF launched a procedure to denounce a Mauritanian “misreporting...
Journal Article
History of Political Economy (1987) 19 (2): 173–182.
Published: 01 June 1987
... theory.’ Review of Economic Statistics (Aug.). Koopmans , Tjalling C. 1950 . Statistical inference in dynamic economic models . Cowles Commission Monograph no. 10. New York. Mitchell , Lucy Sprague 1950 . ‘A personal sketch.’ In Arthur F. Burns, ed., Wesley Clair Mitchell...
Journal Article
History of Political Economy (1995) 27 (Supplement): 7–32.
Published: 01 December 1995
... and Expert Systems. Statistical Science 2 : 3 -44. Smith , C. A. B. 1961 . Consistency in Statistical Inference and Decision. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society , series B, 23 : 1 -37. Suppes , Patrick 1960 . Some Open Problems in the Foundations of Subjective Probability...
Journal Article
History of Political Economy (2007) 39 (3): 511–527.
Published: 01 September 2007
... with statistical inferences that required initial manipulation of the data, that could be obtained with vari- ous estimation techniques, and that were later assessed from standpoints other than logic. In other words, economic predictions were debatable on many more grounds than the predictions theorized...
Journal Article
History of Political Economy (2011) 43 (suppl_1): 35–56.
Published: 01 December 2011
... error, and so there was no statistical inference in the technical 46  John Aldrich sense. Other meetings of biometry and Mendelism did involve statistical inference. One stream runs from Weldon’s (1902, 235) application of Pear- son’s (1900b) Χ2 goodness of fit test to Mendel’s results...
Journal Article
History of Political Economy (1990) 22 (2): 359–379.
Published: 01 June 1990
... it is true. Keynes devoted one part of Probability to each of these types of empirical arguments; Part I11 (“Induction and analogy”) deals with universal inductions, and Part V (“The foundations of statistical inference”) deals with statistical inductions. Section I1 below concerns his treatment...
Journal Article
History of Political Economy (2011) 43 (suppl_1): 211–232.
Published: 01 December 2011
... as it was by the centrality assigned to statistics and demography, which were endowed with the role of struc- turing a sociological model to infer policies aimed at attaining happiness. The distinctive traits of Gini’s scientific work can be summarized as (1) collecting data from history/reality and processing them...