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probability

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Journal Article
History of Political Economy (1977) 9 (1): 154.
Published: 01 March 1977
...John C. Soper Ian Hacking. London and New York: Cambridge University Press, 1975. Pp. 209. $15.95. Copyright © 1977 by Duke University Press 1977 154 History of Political Economy 9:1 (1977) The Emergence of Probability: A Philosophical Study of Early Ideas About Probability...
Journal Article
History of Political Economy (1992) 24 (3): 657–687.
Published: 01 September 1992
... Copyright © 1992 by Duke University Press 1992 References Aldrich , J. 1987 . Jevons as Statistician: the Role of Probability. Manchester School 55 . 3 ( September ): 233 -57. Allen , R. D. G. 1975 . Index Numbers in Theory and Practice . London: Macmillan. Black , R. D...
Journal Article
History of Political Economy (2001) 33 (4): 743–772.
Published: 01 November 2001
.... In Analiticità, significanza,induzione , edited by A. Meotti and M. Mondadori, 495 -523. Bologna: Il Mulino. Cohen, L. J. 1989 . An Introduction to the Philosophy of Induction and Probability . Oxford: Clarendon Press. Costantini, D., and L. Geymonat. 1982 . Filosofia della probabilità...
Journal Article
History of Political Economy (2003) 35 (4): 779–781.
Published: 01 November 2003
...John Aldrich By David Howie. New York: Cambridge University Press, 2002. xi; 262 pp.$60.00. 2003 Fisher, R. A. 1922-23 . Review of J. M. Keynes's Treatise on Probability. Eugenics Review 14 : 46 -50. Jeffreys, Harold. 1939 . Theory of Probability . Oxford: Oxford University...
Journal Article
History of Political Economy (2004) 36 (4): 768–769.
Published: 01 November 2004
... The Philosophy of Keynes’s Economics: Probability, Uncertainty, and Conven- tion. Edited by Jochen Runde and Sohei Mizuhara. London: Routledge, 2003. xiv; 274 pp. Paper £22.99. It may still be early for an overall assessment of the long-term achievements of the recent literature on Keynes’s philosophical...
Journal Article
History of Political Economy (2003) 35 (Suppl_1): 309–337.
Published: 01 December 2003
...? Annales 25 : 574 -98. Daston, Lorraine. 1983 . Mathematical Probability and the Reasonable Man of the Eighteenth Century. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences 412 : 57 -72. ____. 1987 . The Domestication of Risk: Mathematical Probability and Insurance 1650-1830. In Ideas in History...
Journal Article
History of Political Economy (2011) 43 (suppl_1): 109–139.
Published: 01 December 2011
...Olav Bjerkholt; Ariane Dupont-Kieffer The title hints at the attention given to the lack of probability considerations in the econometric work of the recognized pioneer of econometrics, Ragnar Frisch. Clues to a better understanding of his position may be found in his comprehensive archive...
Journal Article
History of Political Economy (2009) 41 (1): 143–162.
Published: 01 March 2009
...Alberto Baccini Probability theory has a central role in Edgeworth's thought; this article examines the philosophical foundation of the theory. Starting from a frequentist position, Edgeworth introduced some innovations to the definition of primitive probabilities. He distinguished between...
Journal Article
History of Political Economy (2016) 48 (suppl_1): 316–331.
Published: 01 December 2016
... with different “strengths.” The strength of each response is directly related to its historical payoff probability, and responses compete in winner-take-all fashion. An “active” response occurs and is strengthened or weakened depending on its outcome. If it is sufficiently weakened, it will be supplanted...
Journal Article
History of Political Economy (2021) 53 (S1): 139–174.
Published: 01 December 2021
... for the employment of the mathematical theory of probability in economics. Instead, they established an extensive correspondence with economic and political decision-makers that allowed them to base their forecasts on “inside information.” Subsequently, the article traces European attempts to adopt the Harvard Index...
Journal Article
History of Political Economy (2010) 42 (1): 75–110.
Published: 01 March 2010
...Marcel Boumans Trygve Haavelmo's methodological manifesto “The Probability Approach in Econometrics” not only laid down the paradigm for the research pursued at the Cowles Commission, but also sets out a strategy for measurement outside the laboratory. His conceptualization of “passive observation...
Journal Article
History of Political Economy (2014) 46 (1): 55–83.
Published: 01 March 2014
..., with his identity as Diogenes the Cynic cloaked in anonymity, could be tendentiously misconstrued as a representative of the poor and lowly. It is concluded that Smith’s commitment to what I call “optimistic deism” must be regarded as deeply suspect and more probably nonexistent, and that as far as “real...
Journal Article
History of Political Economy (2014) 46 (2): 211–229.
Published: 01 June 2014
...Marcel Boumans The first two chapters of Trygve Haavelmo’s Probability Approach provide a very rich epistemological framework for understanding what is involved in finding laws outside the laboratory. Even though these laws will be inexact, a framework was developed to specify for which conditions...
Journal Article
History of Political Economy (2020) 52 (4): 683–707.
Published: 01 August 2020
...Mario Pomini Bruno de Finetti (1906–1985) is well known as the founder of the subjective theory of probability. Less known is his contribution to economic theory. The article presents the contributions of de Finetti in the field of welfare economics. He advanced a new mathematical tool: the theory...
Journal Article
History of Political Economy (2020) 52 (5): 895–924.
Published: 01 October 2020
... of committee members, both published and from archives, the paper examines how the committee managed to reconcile very divergent economic views to produce a unanimous report. These basic matters of political economy are as germane today as they were nearly sixty years ago. Indeed, probably more so...
Journal Article
History of Political Economy (2021) 53 (S1): 53–80.
Published: 01 December 2021
... of the inferential measures derived from probability theory that later came to be central to the idea of statistical inference in economics. This approach is illustrated by the practices of economists of the Bureau of Economic Analysis of the US Department of Agriculture, who regularly analyzed statistical samples...
Journal Article
History of Political Economy (2021) 53 (S1): 175–203.
Published: 01 December 2021
... for statistical economics suggests a new long narrative about the history of statistical inference in the United States, one in which theory-driven econometrics and heavy reliance on mathematical probability appear as interludes rather than stable endpoints. Revisiting the Past? Big Data, Interwar Statistical...
Journal Article
History of Political Economy (2009) 41 (Suppl_1): 161–181.
Published: 01 December 2009
...Pedro Garcia Duarte Frank Plumpton Ramsey (1903–1930) was a Cambridge mathematician who made important contributions not only to philosophy, mathematics, logic, and probability, but also to economics. Ramsey made two major contributions to economics, both published in the Economic Journal in 1927...
Journal Article
History of Political Economy (2009) 41 (1): 183–208.
Published: 01 March 2009
...Terenzio Maccabelli Pareto was probably the first economist to suggest a way of measuring the inequality of incomes. But the interpretation of his index α came to be an object of contrasting judgments. This paper offers a reconstruction of the debate that involved Pareto's index, aimed...
Journal Article
History of Political Economy (1995) 27 (Supplement): 39–52.
Published: 01 December 1995
...Teddy Seidenfeld Copyright © 1995 by Duke University Press 1995 References Buehler , R. J. , and A. P. Feddersen 1963 . Note on a Conditional Property of Student's t. Annals Math. Stat . 34 :1098-1100. de Finetti , B. 1972 . Probability, Induction, and Statistics . New...