Search Results for probability

...John C. Soper Ian Hacking. London and New York: Cambridge University Press, 1975. Pp. 209. $15.95. Copyright © 1977 by Duke University Press 1977 154 History of Political Economy 9:1 (1977) The Emergence of Probability: A Philosophical Study of Early Ideas About Probability...

...Olav Bjerkholt; Ariane Dupont-Kieffer The title hints at the attention given to the lack of probability considerations in the econometric work of the recognized pioneer of econometrics, Ragnar Frisch. Clues to a better understanding of his position may be found in his comprehensive archive...

... The Philosophy of Keynes’s Economics: Probability, Uncertainty, and Conven- tion. Edited by Jochen Runde and Sohei Mizuhara. London: Routledge, 2003. xiv; 274 pp. Paper £22.99. It may still be early for an overall assessment of the long-term achievements of the recent literature on Keynes’s philosophical...

...? Annales 25 : 574 -98. Daston, Lorraine. 1983 . Mathematical Probability and the Reasonable Man of the Eighteenth Century. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences 412 : 57 -72. ____. 1987 . The Domestication of Risk: Mathematical Probability and Insurance 1650-1830. In Ideas in History...

... Copyright © 1992 by Duke University Press 1992 References Aldrich , J. 1987 . Jevons as Statistician: the Role of Probability. Manchester School 55 . 3 ( September ): 233 -57. Allen , R. D. G. 1975 . Index Numbers in Theory and Practice . London: Macmillan. Black , R. D...

.... In Analiticità, significanza,induzione , edited by A. Meotti and M. Mondadori, 495 -523. Bologna: Il Mulino. Cohen, L. J. 1989 . An Introduction to the Philosophy of Induction and Probability . Oxford: Clarendon Press. Costantini, D., and L. Geymonat. 1982 . Filosofia della probabilità...

...John Aldrich By David Howie. New York: Cambridge University Press, 2002. xi; 262 pp.$60.00. 2003 Fisher, R. A. 1922-23 . Review of J. M. Keynes's Treatise on Probability. Eugenics Review 14 : 46 -50. Jeffreys, Harold. 1939 . Theory of Probability . Oxford: Oxford University...

...Alberto Baccini Probability theory has a central role in Edgeworth's thought; this article examines the philosophical foundation of the theory. Starting from a frequentist position, Edgeworth introduced some innovations to the definition of primitive probabilities. He distinguished between...

... with different “strengths.” The strength of each response is directly related to its historical payoff probability, and responses compete in winner-take-all fashion. An “active” response occurs and is strengthened or weakened depending on its outcome. If it is sufficiently weakened, it will be supplanted...

... for the employment of the mathematical theory of probability in economics. Instead, they established an extensive correspondence with economic and political decision-makers that allowed them to base their forecasts on “inside information.” Subsequently, the article traces European attempts to adopt the Harvard Index...

... such as the statistical determination of demand curves, business cycles, yield forecasting, population growth, and many others. Hotelling and Wilson shared much: both were trained in mathematics, both were convinced of the importance of developing inferential statistical tools based on probability theory, and both were...

..., with his identity as Diogenes the Cynic cloaked in anonymity, could be tendentiously misconstrued as a representative of the poor and lowly. It is concluded that Smith’s commitment to what I call “optimistic deism” must be regarded as deeply suspect and more probably nonexistent, and that as far as “real...

...Marcel Boumans The first two chapters of Trygve Haavelmo’s Probability Approach provide a very rich epistemological framework for understanding what is involved in finding laws outside the laboratory. Even though these laws will be inexact, a framework was developed to specify for which conditions...

...Mario Pomini Bruno de Finetti (1906–1985) is well known as the founder of the subjective theory of probability. Less known is his contribution to economic theory. The article presents the contributions of de Finetti in the field of welfare economics. He advanced a new mathematical tool: the theory...

... of committee members, both published and from archives, the paper examines how the committee managed to reconcile very divergent economic views to produce a unanimous report. These basic matters of political economy are as germane today as they were nearly sixty years ago. Indeed, probably more so...

... of the inferential measures derived from probability theory that later came to be central to the idea of statistical inference in economics. This approach is illustrated by the practices of economists of the Bureau of Economic Analysis of the US Department of Agriculture, who regularly analyzed statistical samples...

... for statistical economics suggests a new long narrative about the history of statistical inference in the United States, one in which theory-driven econometrics and heavy reliance on mathematical probability appear as interludes rather than stable endpoints. [email protected] Copyright © 2021 Duke...

... of index numbers, they engaged in a fierce debate in the first half of the 1920s—a period marked by several quarrels on the subject. The main points in dispute between Walsh and Edgeworth were the existence of an ideal formula for index numbers and the use of probability in the measurement of price...

...Pedro Garcia Duarte Frank Plumpton Ramsey (1903–1930) was a Cambridge mathematician who made important contributions not only to philosophy, mathematics, logic, and probability, but also to economics. Ramsey made two major contributions to economics, both published in the Economic Journal in 1927...

...Terenzio Maccabelli Pareto was probably the first economist to suggest a way of measuring the inequality of incomes. But the interpretation of his index α came to be an object of contrasting judgments. This paper offers a reconstruction of the debate that involved Pareto's index, aimed...