... by Kondratiev. [email protected] Copyright © 2021 Duke University Press 2021 narrative inference narrative making informal inference Malthusian oscillations Kondratiev long waves References Barnett Vincent . 1995 . “ A Long Wave Goodbye: Kondrat’ev and the Conjuncture...

.... The Major Economic Cycles. Review 11 . 4 : 579 -62. Kondratiev , Nikolai. [ 1925 ] 1984. The Long Wave Debate . St. Moritz: International Moneyline. Kondratiev , Nikolai. 1926a . About the Question of the Major Cycles of the Conjuncture. Planovoe Khoziaistvo 8 : 167 -81...

... years, and long cycles of periods of forty- eight to fifty-five years. By 1925, Kondratiev had applied a variety of decomposition techniques to eliminate all movements other than long waves in his time series on prices, interest rates, and production indices. He used least squares to fit trend lines...

... Development: Long Cycles and Industrial Growth in Historical Context. By Vincent Barnett. New York: St. Martin’s Press, 1998; Basingstoke: Macmillan, 1998. xiv; 251 pp. $79.95/£50. In the West, Nikolai Dmitrievich Kondratiev (1892–1938) is perhaps the best...

...Warren J. Samuels Department of Economics, Michigan State University, East Lansing MI 48824. Copyright © 1999 by Duke University Press 1999 Introduction Warren J. Samuels Nicolai Dmitrievich Kondratiev (1892–1938) is rather well known for his theory of long cycles (less properly...

... it to Kondratiev’s theory of long waves of capitalist economic development. Some Marxist economists went further than this, arguing that the depression was clear evidence of long-term stagna- tion, or of fundamental qualitative changes in the capitalist mode of production in which private monopolies...

... . Controlling Gunfire, Inventories,and Expectations with the Exponentially Weighted Moving Average . Unpublished. Mary Baldwin College. ____. 1999b . The Rise of “Non-October”Econometrics: Kondratiev and Slutsky at the Moscow Conjuncture Institute. HOPE 31.1 : 137 -68. ____. 2000b . Economic...

... induction, histories of, 2 4, 114, 179, 198 hypothesis testing, 114 264 65 Kondratiev s long waves research, empirical general equilibrium 133 model, 285 Leontief, Wassily, 263 65, 268, impact, 260 61 interindustry method, 260 61 279, 281, 288 Malthus, Thomas Robert, 12 criticisms, 273 Marschak, Jacob, 263...

... known. Part 3 examines specific approaches to business cycles in recent dictionaries and encyclopedias, with substantial chapters on the treatment of Kondratiev and long waves, political business cycles, nonlinear business cycles, and real business cycles. Besomi’s team offers a high-quality...

... that are already widely known. Part 3 examines specific approaches to business cycles in recent dictionaries and encyclopedias, with substantial chapters on the treatment of Kondratiev and long waves, political business cycles, nonlinear business cycles, and real business cycles. Besomi’s team offers...

... to depend on nothing but a mathematical expectation, enterprise will fade and die” (Keynes 1936, 161-62). 21, “Kondratiev saw that the historical statistics of industrial capitalism suggested a long wave. . . . Almost alone amongst economists, Schumpeter perceived the importance of the discovery...

... (Leningrad, 1932). 194 HJSTORY OF POLITICAL ECONOMY and Kondratiev, occupied positions of authority in administrative, planning, and research agencies. Having already had substantial experience in planning and operating the economy, they were keenly cognizant of the social cost of forced...

... of Lucien March .” In The Age of Economic Measurement , edited by Klein July L. Morgan Mary S. . History of Political Economy 33 ( supplement ): 86 – 110 . Kondratiev Nikolai D. 1927 . “ Das Problem der Prognose, in Sonderheit der sozialwirtschaftlichen .” Annalen der...

... and was then rebuilt in the form of a Central Statistical Agency, which would become the People's Commissariat for Statistics, while research institutes were created in early 1920s, including the Institute of Conjuncture headed by Nikolay Kondratiev (in which Slutsky, Raynov, Konyus, and others would work...

... support for the adoption of the gold standard presumably dated back to the early 1860s. Yet writing at the turn of the century, after the lower turning point of the Kondratiev cycle, he could and did under- line the failed predictions of the bimetallists, by pointing to the rising trend of prices...