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Journal Article
Demography (1989) 26 (4): 645–660.
Published: 01 November 1989
...Robert McNown; Andrei Rogers Abstract This article links parameterized model mortality schedules with time series methods to develop forecasts of U.S. mortality to the year 2000. The use of model mortality schedules permits a relatively concise representation of the history of mortality by age...
Journal Article
Demography (1981) 18 (4): 487–509.
Published: 01 November 1981
.... : Princeton University Press . Westolf Charles F. ( 1977 ). The Predictive Validity of Reproductive Intentions . Demography , 14 , 431 – 453 . 10.2307/2060589 DEMOGRAPHY© Volume 18, Number 4 November 1981 A TIME SERIES OF INSTRUMENTAL FERTILITY VARIABLES N. B. Ryder Office of Population...
Journal Article
Demography (1982) 19 (2): 223–240.
Published: 01 May 1982
... morbidity distributions in the national population using auxiliary biomedical evidence and theory to estimate transitions to morbidity states from a cohort mortality time series. We present computational methods which employ these estimates of morbid state transitions to produce life table functions...
Journal Article
Demography (1979) 16 (4): 575–601.
Published: 01 November 1979
...John McDonald Abstract The relationship between classical demographic deterministic forecasting models, stochastic structural econometric models and time series models is discussed. Final equation autoregressive moving average (ARMA) models for Australian total live-births are constructed...
Journal Article
Demography (1974) 11 (3): 483–492.
Published: 01 August 1974
...Joao L. M. Saboia Abstract Time series analysis techniques are used to model and to forecast populations. An autoregressive (AR) and a moving average (MA) model, which seem to fit the population of Sweden very well, are found. Forecasts are calculated using both models and are compared...
Journal Article
Demography (2021) 58 (6): 2243–2263.
Published: 01 December 2021
FIGURES | View All (4)
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (1970) 7 (1): 31–41.
Published: 01 February 1970
...John D. Allingham; T. R. Balakrishnan; John F. Kantner Abstract Several problems in the interpretation of time series of oral anovulant usage are discussed, among them the shifting marriage-duration distribution over time. Standardization fails to negate the conclusion that the rate of increase...
Journal Article
Demography (1970) 7 (2): 151–154.
Published: 01 May 1970
...)) and derive a Taylor series for ro, the unique real solution. The series is no more advantageous from the calculation point of view than many previous solutions, but it may be useful in a theoretical context. The effects on the intrinsic rate of increase of the population due to changes in the cumulants...
Journal Article
Demography (2013) 50 (1): 261–283.
Published: 10 October 2012
... stationary time series models. The method is applied to sex-specific data for Sweden and state-specific data for Australia. Based on out-of-sample forecasts, the coherent forecasts are at least as accurate in overall terms as comparable independent forecasts, and forecast accuracy is homogenized across...
FIGURES | View All (10)
Image
Published: 01 December 2023
Fig. 5 National time series trends for possible pathways. National trends in measures were impacted by reformulation. OxyContin reformulation is indicated by a vertical line in 2010. See text for discussion of data sources. More
Image
Published: 01 December 2023
Fig. 5 National time series trends for possible pathways. National trends in measures were impacted by reformulation. OxyContin reformulation is indicated by a vertical line in 2010. See text for discussion of data sources. More
Image
Published: 01 December 2023
Fig. 5 National time series trends for possible pathways. National trends in measures were impacted by reformulation. OxyContin reformulation is indicated by a vertical line in 2010. See text for discussion of data sources. More
Image
Published: 01 December 2023
Fig. 5 National time series trends for possible pathways. National trends in measures were impacted by reformulation. OxyContin reformulation is indicated by a vertical line in 2010. See text for discussion of data sources. More
Image
Published: 01 December 2023
Fig. 5 National time series trends for possible pathways. National trends in measures were impacted by reformulation. OxyContin reformulation is indicated by a vertical line in 2010. See text for discussion of data sources. More
Image
Published: 01 December 2022
Fig. 4 Time-series ARIMA analysis predicting changes in the preterm birth rate after the pandemic onset among all persons giving birth in California from March 2020 to November 2021. Symbols indicate parameter estimates, and vertical lines depict 95% confidence intervals. Parameter estimates More
Image
Published: 01 December 2022
Fig. 5 Time-series ARIMA analysis predicting changes in the preterm birth rate after the pandemic onset among all persons giving birth and persons giving birth without a COVID infection at the time of delivery in California from March 2020 to November 2021. Symbols indicate parameter estimates More
Image
Published: 01 December 2022
Fig. 6 Time-series ARIMA analysis predicting changes in the preterm birth rate after the pandemic onset among subgroups of persons giving birth, by educational attainment, in California from March 2020 to November 2021. Symbols indicate parameter estimates, and vertical lines depict 95 More
Image
Published: 04 May 2020
Fig. 3 Data series: Crude birth rate ( b ), crude death rate ( d ), and natural logarithm of real wage ( w ), 1730–1870. The upper panel shows levels; the lower panel shows first differences. Sources : See Fig. 2 and the text. More
Journal Article
Demography (1968) 5 (1): 508–524.
Published: 01 March 1968
... interestatales y sus correlatos económicoes. Este analisisde los correlatos económicos de las oecilaciones temporales en las migraciones internas de EEUU (usande estados como unidades georgraficas) no tiene precedentes, asi como los esfuerzos realizados por los autores para desarrollar series históricas para...
Journal Article
Demography (1967) 4 (2): 838–842.
Published: 01 June 1967
... representar este fenómeno. Asi el modelo demográfico hace posible la representoción de clases alternativas de modelos de procesos demográficos. Con cada clase de modelo uno puede deducir las series de tiempo implicitas (variando los parámetros dentro de la clase) y el resultado de las diversas clasee puede...