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Underlying Trend

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Journal Article
Demography (1970) 7 (2): 155–167.
Published: 01 May 1970
...N. Krishnan Namboodiri Abstract A method to compare fertility sequences, each of which represents a cyclical fluctuation around an underlying trend, is presented. Each fertility sequence is viewed as composed of a time trend in childspacing pattern and a corresponding trend in terminal fertility...
Journal Article
Demography (1966) 3 (2): 305–318.
Published: 01 June 1966
... in the underlying trend of the rates. Several methods have recently been developed, using an electronic computer, to identify and remove the seasonal component from time series of monthly data. The methods are basically adaptations of a standard technique—the ratio-to-moving average method—for seasonally adjusting...
Journal Article
Demography (1966) 3 (2): 378–392.
Published: 01 June 1966
.... Migrants were defined by birthplace and cross-classified by age and duration of residence in Bombay. Data (1901–61) on net migration (obtained from successive age-sex distributions) are analyzed in terms of underlying trends to give historical perspective to the analysis of recent data with special...
Journal Article
Demography (1982) 19 (4): 527–547.
Published: 01 November 1982
...Kenneth G. Manton; Eric Stallard Abstract An analysis is made of the mortality trends over the period 1968 to 1977 indicated by two types of cause-specific mortality data. The first type of data is “underlying cause” of death data—the data heretofore used in national vital statistics reports...
Journal Article
Demography (2018) 55 (2): 669–690.
Published: 22 March 2018
...Hadas Mandel Abstract Using the IPUMS-USA data for the years 1960–2015, this study examines trends in the effect of occupational feminization on occupational pay in the U.S. labor market and explores some of the mechanisms underlying these trends. The findings show that the (negative) association...
FIGURES | View All (5)
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2018) 55 (6): 2045–2070.
Published: 15 October 2018
... and declining within-group variability might have been the main drivers of overall lifespan inequality reductions. Nevertheless, the diverging trends in longevity and lifespan inequality across education groups represent an important phenomenon whose underlying causes and potential implications should...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2020) 57 (5): 1951–1974.
Published: 15 September 2020
... the original census sample data for individual households to provide more accurate estimates. Family income segregation rose markedly in the 1980s but only selectively after 1990. For some categories of families, segregation declined after 1990. There has been an upward trend for families with children...
FIGURES
Includes: Supplementary data
Image
Published: 01 February 2023
Fig. 4 Trends in normalized ( D 2003 = 1) cause-of-death diversity according to the importance of the underlying versus other causes of death ( W ), United States, 2003–2018. When W = 1, we are in a single/underlying cause-of-death setting where the causes in the death certificate other than More
Journal Article
Demography (1986) 23 (1): 91–104.
Published: 01 February 1986
... migration from 1935 to 1982 are examined using the causative matrix approach. Trends in the gross migration streams underlying the dramatic increase in core-periphery net migration taking place in the 1970s are examined, as is a more recent shift in the major source area of core region net outflow. 7 1...
Journal Article
Demography (2017) 54 (4): 1559–1577.
Published: 05 July 2017
.... As a consequence, small forecast errors of average lifespan do not necessarily indicate plausible trends in the forecasted underlying mortality dynamics. To assess whether the forecasts of the underlying developments are also plausible, we propose to use measures of lifespan disparity in the evaluation procedure...
FIGURES
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2017) 54 (4): 1579–1602.
Published: 28 July 2017
... in the event rates of the measure and differences in trends in these underlying event rates. For instance, when studying divergence in life expectancy, this method allows researchers to more easily contrast age-specific mortality trends between populations by controlling for initial age-specific mortality...
FIGURES | View All (6)
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2013) 50 (1): 25–49.
Published: 19 September 2012
... of children, and show what underlies these trends. We find that increases in family work hours mainly reflect movements into jobs by parents—particularly mothers, who in prior decades would have remained at home. This increase in market work has raised incomes for children in the typical two-parent family...
FIGURES
Image
Published: 01 February 2023
Fig. 5 Trends in normalized ( D 2003 = 1) cause-of-death diversity according to the importance of the underlying versus other causes of death ( W ) by age groups, United States, 2003–2018. When W  = 1, we are in a single/underlying cause-of-death setting where the causes in the death More
Image
Published: 01 August 2023
Fig. 1 Years of schooling by month-of-birth cohort, centered relative to the reform threshold of September 1, 1957. A quadratic trend in birth cohort was fitted to underlying data to show the global trends in the data (dashed red lines), as well as a local linear fit within 50 months More
Image
Published: 01 August 2023
Fig. 2 Mean cognitive outcomes by birth cohort, centered relative to the reform threshold of September 1, 1957. A quadratic trend in birth cohort was fitted to underlying data to show the global trends in the data (dashed red lines), as well as a local linear fit within 50 months of the reform More
Journal Article
Demography (2007) 44 (4): 729–745.
Published: 01 November 2007
...John B. Casterline; Laila O. El-Zeini Abstract The estimation of unwanted fertility is a major objective of demographic surveys, including DHS surveys conducted in Asia, Africa, and Latin America. Levels and trends in unwanted fertility are important input to the formulation of population policy...
Journal Article
Demography (1983) 20 (3): 273–284.
Published: 01 August 1983
... until first recorded event within a measurement interval, population parameters are estimated which provide basic denominator data for analyzing event occurrence. The models which we derive are especially suited to records which may include migration and population growth trends. The use of the models...
Journal Article
Demography (2004) 41 (3): 443–464.
Published: 01 August 2004
... may change over time. In contrast, much research has documented trends in poverty and income inequal- ity over time and has analyzed the factors underlying these trends both in Brazil and in other parts of the developing world (see, e.g., Lam and Levison 1991; Psacharopoulos et al. 1995). Research...
Journal Article
Demography (2023) 60 (1): 73–98.
Published: 01 February 2023
...Fig. 4 Trends in normalized ( D 2003 = 1) cause-of-death diversity according to the importance of the underlying versus other causes of death ( W ), United States, 2003–2018. When W = 1, we are in a single/underlying cause-of-death setting where the causes in the death certificate other than...
FIGURES | View All (10)
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (1996) 33 (4): 421–425.
Published: 01 November 1996
...Michael Hout; Richard Arum; Kim Voss Abstract Massey spresidential address correctly points to growing economic inequality as one of the pressing issues of our day, but his analysis gives short shrift to the political institutions that underlie the economic trends. We supplement his analysis...