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Transition Theory

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Journal Article
Demography (1967) 4 (1): 363–373.
Published: 01 March 1967
...Alvan O. Zarate Summary Recent investigations indicate that fertility is not universally associated with urbanization and economic development in the manner predicted by the theory of the demographic transition. It is possible, however, that these investigations only partially test the theory...
Journal Article
Demography (1974) 11 (2): 215–225.
Published: 01 May 1974
...David J. Loschky; William C. Wilcox Abstract Transition Theory provides the theoretical underpinning for many explanations for past population changes and, more importantly, for many population projections. Our paper proves, through the use of symbolic logic, that Transition Theory does not contain...
Journal Article
Demography (2014) 51 (4): 1527–1550.
Published: 01 July 2014
...Mathias Lerch Abstract Although natural increase has been recognized as the main driver of postwar urban growth in developing countries, urban transition theory predicts a dominant role for population mobility in the early and late phases of the process. To account for this discrepancy between...
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Journal Article
Demography (2024) 61 (2): 541–568.
Published: 01 April 2024
...Shelley Clark; Matthew M. Brooks; Ann-Marie Helou; Rachel Margolis Abstract A central premise of the first demographic transition theory is that demographic change would occur more slowly in rural than urban areas. Few studies, however, have investigated whether rural areas remain holdouts during...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (1991) 28 (2): 303–321.
Published: 01 May 1991
...Lloyd B. Potter Abstract Epidemiological transition theory suggests that two populations existing under disparate socioeconomic conditions would have different life expectancies as the result of cause-of-death differences. The effect of racial socioeconomic differentials on the total racial life...
Journal Article
Demography (1966) 3 (1): 188–203.
Published: 01 March 1966
... of Negroes and improvements in their socio-economic characteristics. Negro fertility rates present the paradox of falling when demographic transition theory would predict the maintenance of high rates and then rising when a decline would be expected. Urbanization does not appear to have reduced Negro...
Journal Article
Demography (2022) 59 (2): 563–585.
Published: 01 April 2022
...Emily Smith-Greenaway; Sara Yeatman; Abdallah Chilungo Abstract The relationship between mortality and fertility is a key component of demographic transition theory, placing it at the center of extensive inquiry. Among other linkages, mortality in women's communities and social networks influences...
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Journal Article
Demography (1997) 34 (4): 443–454.
Published: 01 November 1997
...Karen Oppenheim Mason Abstract In this essay. I suggest that the crisis in our understanding of fertility transitions is more apparent than real. Although most existing theories of fertility transition have been partially or wholly discredited, this reflects a tendency to assume that all fertility...
Journal Article
Demography (2020) 57 (4): 1369–1391.
Published: 10 June 2020
..., and demographic factors, the regions exhibit four distinct transition paths: lineal tradition, nuclear retardation, smooth transition, and fast transition. On the basis of these results, we discuss family modernization and other theories in explaining the transition of the Chinese household structure. 12 05...
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Journal Article
Demography (2016) 53 (5): 1631–1656.
Published: 16 August 2016
... in population health: the demographic and the epidemiological transition literatures. Demographic transition theory (DTT) conceptualizes four stages of temporally dynamic processes resulting from changes in mortality: (1) a pre-industrial stage in which birth and death rates are high and population size...
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Journal Article
Demography (1975) 12 (2): 343–349.
Published: 01 May 1975
...Kenneth C. W. Kammeyer; Arthur Skidmore 8 1 2011 © Population Association of America 1975 1975 Birth Control Transition Theory Demographic Transition Fertility Decline Fertility Control References Blake Judith ( 1974 ). Can We Believe Recent Data on Birth...
Journal Article
Demography (1975) 12 (2): 351–360.
Published: 01 May 1975
...David J. Loschky; William C. Wilcox 8 1 2011 © Population Association of America 1975 1975 Family Size Transition Theory Income Growth Fall Birth Rate Desire Family Size References Becker Gary S ( 1960 ). National Bureau of Economic Research An Economic...
Journal Article
Demography (1969) 6 (4): 359–381.
Published: 01 November 1969
... falling mortality and falling fertility, in national populations. Equally important has been the “rural-to-urban” transition, which involved the migration of millions of people from rural areas. It is hypothesized, following the suggestion of Davis (Theory of the Multi-Phasic Demographic Response...
Journal Article
Demography (2016) 53 (6): 1771–1800.
Published: 25 October 2016
... of relationship transitions may simply be a by-product of the same antecedents that make some mothers more likely to experience multiple transitions. The instability hypothesis stems from theories indicating that transitions of any kind result in disruptions of the family system. Table 1 Descriptive...
Journal Article
Demography (1982) 19 (2): 223–240.
Published: 01 May 1982
... morbidity distributions in the national population using auxiliary biomedical evidence and theory to estimate transitions to morbidity states from a cohort mortality time series. We present computational methods which employ these estimates of morbid state transitions to produce life table functions...
Journal Article
Demography (1980) 17 (4): 395–412.
Published: 01 November 1980
.... This paper has attempted to explain how the theory of Change and Response (Davis, 1963b) can be applied to a country that has begun to experience mortality decline and sus- tained natural increase. Along with a re- lated paper on the transition in Puerto Rico from 1940 to 1970 (Mosher, 1980), this discussion...
Journal Article
Demography (2021) 58 (1): 51–74.
Published: 01 February 2021
... into estimates of migration transitions and for systematically analyzing their variation along a quasi-continuous time scale, analogous to a survival function. From migration theory, we develop two simple hypotheses regarding how we expect our estimated migration transition functions to behave. We then test our...
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Journal Article
Demography (2010) 47 (1): 1–22.
Published: 01 February 2010
.... It is furthermore vital that integration occur in all steps of the research process: in theory, design, data collection, and analysis. I use the National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent Health, or Add Health, as an example of an integrative approach to health and of the importance of adolescence and the transition...
Journal Article
Demography (2018) 55 (2): 535–557.
Published: 22 February 2018
... indicate that the economic foundations of cohabiting couples’ union transitions do not lie in economic specialization or only men’s ability to be good providers. Instead, results for marriage support marriage bar theory: adjusting for couples’ absolute earnings, increases in wealth and couples’ earnings...
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Demography (2017) 54 (3): 861–886.
Published: 19 April 2017
...Kristin Turney; Sarah Halpern-Meekin Abstract Family systems theory points to the interconnected nature of dyadic relationships within the family unit, arguing for attention to how the parental relationship shapes their ties to and interactions with their children. Grounded in family systems theory...
Includes: Supplementary data