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Journal Article
Obtaining multistate life table distributions for highly refined subpopulations from cross-sectional data: A bayesian extension of sullivan’s method
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Demography (2010) 47 (4): 1053–1077.
Published: 01 November 2010
... regression model; (2) using ecological inference for producing transition probability matrices from the Gibbs samples; (3) using standard multistate calculations to convert the transition probability matrices into multistate life tables. 27 1 2011 © Population Association of America 2010 2010...
View articletitled, Obtaining multistate life table distributions for highly refined subpopulations from cross-sectional data: A bayesian extension of sullivan’s method
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for article titled, Obtaining multistate life table distributions for highly refined subpopulations from cross-sectional data: A bayesian extension of sullivan’s method
Journal Article
Dynamic Multistate Models With Constant Cross-Product Ratios: Applications to Poverty Status
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Demography (2020) 57 (2): 779–797.
Published: 24 March 2020
..., are used to determine column totals in the transition probability matrices while preserving the 2012 U.S. life table overall age- and sex-specific death rate. Details on the construction of the poverty status life tables are provided in the online appendix. The complete male and female poverty...
View articletitled, Dynamic Multistate Models With Constant Cross-Product Ratios: Applications to Poverty Status
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for article titled, Dynamic Multistate Models With Constant Cross-Product Ratios: Applications to Poverty Status
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Decomposition of Differentials in Health Expectancies From Multistate Life Tables: A Research Note
Open Access
Demography (2023) 60 (6): 1675–1688.
Published: 01 December 2023
... expectancies resulting from differences in the transition matrices experienced by two groups can be interpreted as the combined effect of all the transition probabilities in the matrices. These overall health expectancy differences due to the transition matrices can be further disentangled into the individual...
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View articletitled, Decomposition of Differentials in Health Expectancies From Multistate Life Tables: A Research Note
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for article titled, Decomposition of Differentials in Health Expectancies From Multistate Life Tables: A Research Note
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Dynamic flow modeling with interregional dependency effects: an application to structural change in the U.S. migration system
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Demography (1986) 23 (1): 91–104.
Published: 01 February 1986
...-stationary transition probabilities and constant causative matrix . Stochastic Processes and Their Application , 1 , 279 – 285 . 10.1016/0304-4149(73)90005-7 Rogerson P. A. , & Plane D. A. ( 1984 ). Modeling temporal change in flow matrices . Papers of the Regional Science...
View articletitled, Dynamic flow modeling with interregional dependency effects: an application to structural change in the U.S. migration system
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for article titled, Dynamic flow modeling with interregional dependency effects: an application to structural change in the U.S. migration system
Journal Article
Occupational mobility as a probability process
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Demography (1966) 3 (1): 19–34.
Published: 01 March 1966
... occupational class in any direct a If the transition matrix between the initial state and the immediately following state of a first-order Markov chain with constant transition probabilities is given by the matrix P, then the transition matrices between the initial state of the system and its state after 2, 3...
Journal Article
Projecting the Effect of Changes in Smoking and Obesity on Future Life Expectancy in the United States
Open Access
Demography (2014) 51 (1): 27–49.
Published: 23 November 2013
... throughout the projection period, with a small gain of 0.09 years expected by 2040. The summary transition matrices for all ages combined, denoted as M, are shown in Table 1 for these three periods; Table 2 shows the changes in transition probabilities in each cell between the two successive matrices...
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View articletitled, Projecting the Effect of Changes in Smoking and Obesity on Future Life Expectancy in the United States
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for article titled, Projecting the Effect of Changes in Smoking and Obesity on Future Life Expectancy in the United States
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
A Stochastic analysis of geographic mobility and population projections of the census divisions in the United States
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Demography (1965) 2 (1): 134–139.
Published: 01 March 1965
... old and over lived in that same division on April 1, 1955. The transition (P) matrices in Table 2 have two significant properties: all coeffi- cients are nonnegative, and the row prob- abilities add to one. From the migration probabilities in the transition matrices and the April 1, 1960, census...
Journal Article
Have family income mobility patterns changed?
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Demography (1999) 36 (3): 299–314.
Published: 01 August 1999
... transition matrices to measure income mobility, dividing the distribution into quintiles and measur- ing, for each quintile, the proportion of individuals that are in a given quintile x years later. Aside from their intuitive appeal, transition matrices have the advantage of allowing the independent...
Journal Article
Population forecasts and confidence intervals for sweden: a comparison of model-based and empirical approaches
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Demography (1986) 23 (1): 105–126.
Published: 01 February 1986
... are modeled by Y(t + 1) = X(t + 1)Y(t) + V(t + 1), t = 1, 2, (l) I assume that the projection matrices {X(t)} form a stochastically stationary ergodic sequence that is uniformly mixing in a sense specified by Heyde and Cohen. Here "stochastically stationary" means that the joint probability distribution...
Journal Article
The DYNAMO-HIA Model: An Efficient Implementation of a Risk Factor/Chronic Disease Markov Model for Use in Health Impact Assessment (HIA)
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Demography (2012) 49 (4): 1259–1283.
Published: 10 October 2012
... state (presence or absence of modeled diseases and risk factor level). The model projects the future prevalence of states (state occupancy) by repeatedly applying a matrix of transition probabilities to the vector of current state occupancy. Such a matrix of transition probabilities contains...
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View articletitled, The DYNAMO-HIA Model: An Efficient Implementation of a Risk Factor/Chronic Disease Markov Model for Use in Health Impact Assessment (HIA)
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for article titled, The DYNAMO-HIA Model: An Efficient Implementation of a Risk Factor/Chronic Disease Markov Model for Use in Health Impact Assessment (HIA)
Journal Article
Employment status and retrospective and prospective migration in the United States
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Demography (1968) 5 (1): 79–85.
Published: 01 March 1968
... prior to migra- tion. To emphasize this point, we have computed several transition matrices for periods longer than one year, based on the a posteriori transition probabilities of Table 3. By making the simplifying as- sumptions that (1) only employment status at the beginning of the migration period...
Journal Article
Heterogeneity in Expected Longevities
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Demography (2014) 51 (6): 2075–2102.
Published: 13 November 2014
... j ) follow multinomial distributions. Finally, when we need to compute transition matrices p a ( h ′| h ) and p a ( z ′, h ′| z , h ), we follow a similar approach. In the first case, we replace the z ∈ Z by h ∈ H . In the second one, we create new dummy variables...
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Journal Article
Parametric and Nonparametric Analysis of Life Courses: An Application to Family Formation Patterns
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Demography (2013) 50 (3): 881–902.
Published: 21 February 2013
... multistate event history models. Multistate life tables can be used to study such event histories (see, e.g., Cai et al. 2010 ). They use a series of multinomial regression models to estimate the probabilities of transitions among states for each time interval. In this approach, durations are not modeled...
FIGURES
Journal Article
Demography (2022) 59 (2): 629–652.
Published: 01 April 2022
..., with the proportional odds assumption relaxed for sex ( Derr 2013 ). We then generated matrices of age-specific transition probabilities for each combination of sex and SES (either childhood SES or life course SES trajectory). We also tested models including a sex × SES interaction; because the coefficients were...
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View articletitled, Life Course Socioeconomic Status and Healthy Longevity in China
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for article titled, Life Course Socioeconomic Status and Healthy Longevity in China
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
White-Nonwhite Differentials in Occupational Mobility among Men in the United States, 1962–1972
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Demography (1974) 11 (2): 247–265.
Published: 01 May 1974
... and nonwhite transition matrices since 1962 we thought it would be instructive to ask whether the 1972 transition matrices for nonwhite men gave them better occupational chances than the 1962 matrices for white men of the same age. Thus, we applied the 1962 transition matrices for white men to the occupational...
Journal Article
Do Migrants Exhibit More Grit? A Research Note
Open Access
Demography (2024) 61 (5): 1309–1323.
Published: 01 October 2024
... characteristics, only age and sex significantly predict (negatively) the probability of undertaking a new migration in this weakly powered model. An age–education interaction term added little information beyond the measurable first-order effects of these two variables. References Angel R. J...
Journal Article
Perturbation Analysis of Indices of Lifespan Variability
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Demography (2013) 50 (5): 1615–1640.
Published: 17 September 2013
.... Thus, for example, the probability of surviving from the first to the second age state is the complement of the probability of death between age 0 and age 1, or u 2,1 = 1 − q 0 . The matrix U describes transitions among the transient states in the Markov chain. Death is an absorbing state...
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View articletitled, Perturbation Analysis of Indices of Lifespan Variability
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for article titled, Perturbation Analysis of Indices of Lifespan Variability
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Multistate cohort models with proportional transfer rates
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Demography (2006) 43 (3): 553–568.
Published: 01 August 2006
... to ve years. It fol- lows that the population projection matrix that takes the cohort from age x to age x + n, A(x,n), is given by A(x,n) = exp[nM(x,n)] = exp[n z(x,n (4) Multistate Cohort Models 555 In the cohort context examined here, A(x,n) is a matrix of transition probabilities, where those...
Journal Article
Demography (2024) 61 (5): 1483–1508.
Published: 01 October 2024
... in neighborhood differences in the probability of transitioning between neighborhood types between day and night. To understand these patterns of intraday change, we use transition matrices that provide insight into the prevalence of daytime racial and ethnic categories among tracts with different nighttime...
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View articletitled, Daily Diversity Flows: Racial and Ethnic Context Between Home and Work
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for article titled, Daily Diversity Flows: Racial and Ethnic Context Between Home and Work
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Increment-decrement life tables: A comment
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Demography (1976) 13 (2): 287–290.
Published: 01 May 1976
...- tion probabilities arranged in transposed order: Note that the definition of nPx in equation (5) is the one set out earlier in equation (2), and observe that a more general ex- pression for (5) is where Ax is a diagonal matrix with diag- onal elements 'ax. When we choose Ax to be 1n . I we obtain...
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