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Journal Article

Timing effects and the interpretation of period fertility

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Robert Schoen
Demography (2004) 41 (4): 801–819.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1353/dem.2004.0036
Published: 01 November 2004
...Robert Schoen Abstract Low fertility levels and later childbearing in many developed countries have reinvigorated the debate between period and cohort perspectives on fertility and on the meaningfulness of the period total fertility rate (TFR). Here, fertility-timing effects are defined as level...
View articletitled, <span class="search-highlight">Timing</span> <span class="search-highlight">effects</span> and the interpretation of period fertility View PDF for article titled, <span class="search-highlight">Timing</span> <span class="search-highlight">effects</span> and the interpretation of period fertility
Journal Article

The Timing of Teenage Births: Estimating the Effect on High School Graduation and Later-Life Outcomes

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Lisa Schulkind, Danielle H. Sandler
Demography (2019) 56 (1): 345–365.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13524-018-0748-6
Published: 03 January 2019
... it to graduation, and any challenges or changes in investment will begin earlier, relative to their expected high school graduation. Second, only women in the treatment group experience the acute change in demands on their time from needing to care for an infant and health effects from delivery prior to graduation...
FIGURES
View articletitled, The <span class="search-highlight">Timing</span> of Teenage Births: Estimating the <span class="search-highlight">Effect</span> on High School Graduation and Later-Life Outcomes View PDF for article titled, The <span class="search-highlight">Timing</span> of Teenage Births: Estimating the <span class="search-highlight">Effect</span> on High School Graduation and Later-Life Outcomes
Includes: Supplementary data
Image
Fig. 4 Effect of the timing of parental death on boys' stature in centimeters (with 95% confidence intervals). The estimates are based on a linear regression model that controlled for socioeconomic status, birth region, birth cohort, and birth order. N = 4,166; reference group with both parents alive, N = 3,041; both parents died, N = 101; paternal death for ages 0–1 (21), 1–5 (87), 5–12 (192), and 12–20 (237); and maternal death for ages 0–1 (14), 1–5 (113), 5–12 (158), and 12–20 (202).

Effect of the timing of parental death on boys' stature in centimeters (wit...

Open Access
in Short Lives: The Impact of Parental Death on Early-Life Mortality and Height in the Netherlands, 1850–1940 > Demography
Published: 01 February 2023
Fig. 4 Effect of the timing of parental death on boys' stature in centimeters (with 95% confidence intervals). The estimates are based on a linear regression model that controlled for socioeconomic status, birth region, birth cohort, and birth order. N = 4,166; reference group with both parents More
Journal Article

From Privilege to Prevalence: Contextual Effects of Women’s Schooling on African Marital Timing

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Margaret Frye, Sara Lopus
Demography (2018) 55 (6): 2371–2394.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13524-018-0722-3
Published: 17 October 2018
... of cohort-level educational access. 3 However, this approach obscures rather than clarifies the main question driving our analysis. Decomposition seeks independent contributions from composition and effects: it estimates the change over time in mean age at marriage that would be observed if only...
FIGURES | View All (6)
View articletitled, From Privilege to Prevalence: Contextual <span class="search-highlight">Effects</span> of Women’s Schooling on African Marital <span class="search-highlight">Timing</span> View PDF for article titled, From Privilege to Prevalence: Contextual <span class="search-highlight">Effects</span> of Women’s Schooling on African Marital <span class="search-highlight">Timing</span>
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article

Effects of the Timing of Marriage and First Birth of the Spacing of Subsequent Births

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Margaret Mooney Marini, Peter J. Hodsdon
Demography (1981) 18 (4): 529–548.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/2060946
Published: 01 November 1981
...Margaret Mooney Marini; Peter J. Hodsdon Abstract Analyzing data from a fifteen-year follow-up survey of high school students originally surveyed in 1957–58 and resurveyed in 1973–74, this paper examines the effects of the timing of marriage and first birth on subsequent child spacing, holding...
View articletitled, <span class="search-highlight">Effects</span> of the <span class="search-highlight">Timing</span> of Marriage and First Birth of the Spacing of Subsequent Births View PDF for article titled, <span class="search-highlight">Effects</span> of the <span class="search-highlight">Timing</span> of Marriage and First Birth of the Spacing of Subsequent Births
Journal Article

Sibling models of socioeconomic effects on the timing of first premarital birth

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Daniel A. Powers, James Cherng-Tay Hsueh
Demography (1997) 34 (4): 493–511.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/3038305
Published: 01 November 1997
...Daniel A. Powers; James Cherng-Tay Hsueh Abstract Data on 1,090 pairs ofsisters from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth are used to estimate the effects of observed individual-level factors, common family-level variables, and shared unobserved family-level traits on the timing of premarital...
View articletitled, Sibling models of socioeconomic <span class="search-highlight">effects</span> on the <span class="search-highlight">timing</span> of first premarital birth View PDF for article titled, Sibling models of socioeconomic <span class="search-highlight">effects</span> on the <span class="search-highlight">timing</span> of first premarital birth
Journal Article

Analyzing the Effect of Time in Migration Measurement Using Georeferenced Digital Trace Data

Open Access
Lee Fiorio, Emilio Zagheni, Guy Abel, Johnathan Hill, Gabriel Pestre ...
Demography (2021) 58 (1): 51–74.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1215/00703370-8917630
Published: 01 February 2021
... most survey data are cross-sectional, these data can generally be used to estimate migration at no more than one or two intervals (e.g., the place of residence at the time of the survey is compared with the reported place of residence one year ago or five years ago). This limitation has the effect...
FIGURES | View All (5)
View articletitled, Analyzing the <span class="search-highlight">Effect</span> of <span class="search-highlight">Time</span> in Migration Measurement Using Georeferenced Digital Trace Data View PDF for article titled, Analyzing the <span class="search-highlight">Effect</span> of <span class="search-highlight">Time</span> in Migration Measurement Using Georeferenced Digital Trace Data
Journal Article

The long-term effects of time-dependent maternity behavior

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P. Cerone
Demography (1983) 20 (1): 79–86.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/2060902
Published: 01 February 1983
..., Number 1 February 1983 THE LONG-TERM EFFECTS OF TIME-DEPENDENT MATERNITY BEHAVIOR P. Cerone Department of Mathematics and Operations Research, Footscray Institute of Technology, Foot- scray, Victoria 3011, Australia Abstract-Using the integral population model of Sharpe and Lotka, it is demonstrated...
View articletitled, The long-term <span class="search-highlight">effects</span> of <span class="search-highlight">time</span>-dependent maternity behavior View PDF for article titled, The long-term <span class="search-highlight">effects</span> of <span class="search-highlight">time</span>-dependent maternity behavior
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Time-flexible effects on marriage rates

Time-flexible effects on marriage rates

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in The Death of Marriage? The Effects of New Forms of Legal Recognition on Marriage Rates in the United States > Demography
Published: 31 January 2014
Fig. 2 Time-flexible effects on marriage rates More
Image
Time-flexible effects on marriage stocks

Time-flexible effects on marriage stocks

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in The Death of Marriage? The Effects of New Forms of Legal Recognition on Marriage Rates in the United States > Demography
Published: 31 January 2014
Fig. 3 Time-flexible effects on marriage stocks More
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Discrete-time event-history models for colleague effects

Discrete-time event-history models for colleague effects

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in Family, Firms, and Fertility: A Study of Social Interaction Effects > Demography
Published: 06 January 2020
Fig. 3 Discrete-time event-history models for colleague effects More
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Discrete-time event-history models for sibling effects

Discrete-time event-history models for sibling effects

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in Family, Firms, and Fertility: A Study of Social Interaction Effects > Demography
Published: 06 January 2020
Fig. 4 Discrete-time event-history models for sibling effects More
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College attendance effect on discrete-time probability of first birth, by age and propensity score strata

College attendance effect on discrete-time probability of first birth, by a...

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in The Impact of College Education on Fertility: Evidence for Heterogeneous Effects > Demography
Published: 07 July 2011
Fig. 3 College attendance effect on discrete-time probability of first birth, by age and propensity score strata More
Image
College completion effect on discrete-time probability of first birth, by age and propensity score strata

College completion effect on discrete-time probability of first birth, by a...

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in The Impact of College Education on Fertility: Evidence for Heterogeneous Effects > Demography
Published: 07 July 2011
Fig. 4 College completion effect on discrete-time probability of first birth, by age and propensity score strata More
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Fig. 2 Mortality effects of tidal flooding by travel time to the nearest hospital (with 95% confidence intervals)

Mortality effects of tidal flooding by travel time to the nearest hospital ...

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in Sunny-Day Flooding and Mortality Risk in Coastal Florida > Demography
Published: 01 February 2024
Fig. 2 Mortality effects of tidal flooding by travel time to the nearest hospital (with 95% confidence intervals) More
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Illustrating the effect of smoothing over time. The solid line shows median estimates for μβ1,t from a model without smoothing imposed. The dashed line shows median estimates for μβ1,t from a model with smoothing imposed according to Eq. (7)

Illustrating the effect of smoothing over time. The solid line shows median...

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in A Flexible Bayesian Model for Estimating Subnational Mortality > Demography
Published: 10 October 2017
Fig. 3 Illustrating the effect of smoothing over time. The solid line shows median estimates for μ β 1 , t from a model without smoothing imposed. The dashed line shows median estimates for μ β 1 , t from a model with smoothing imposed according to Eq. ( 7 ) More
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Estimated impact around the time of conception: Effect of daily mean temperature &gt;80°F relative to 60°F to 70°F on log conception-survival rate. The coefficient can be interpreted as the effect of one &gt;80°F day some weeks from the estimated week of conception on the log of the number of conceptions that survive to birth in week 0. The gray shading highlights the approximated week of conception. The natality data have date of last menses beginning in 1969, which we use to infer week of conception. We assume that the week of conception is two weeks after the reported date of last menses. We calculate the conception-survival rate as the total number of conceptions in a given week divided by the state-year population in 1,000s. States that do not report last date of menses in any one year are dropped entirely from the sample; these excluded states are AL, AR, CT, DE, FL, GA, ID, MA, NM, OR, PA, TX, VA, and WI. We partial out state-by-week fixed from the outcome and predictor variables prior to estimation to reduce the computational burden. The model then includes year-month-week fixed effects and state-by-year fixed effects. The regressions are weighted by state-year population in the preceding year. Standard errors are clustered at the state level

Estimated impact around the time of conception: Effect of daily mean temper...

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in Maybe Next Month? Temperature Shocks and Dynamic Adjustments in Birth Rates > Demography
Published: 02 July 2018
Fig. 7 Estimated impact around the time of conception: Effect of daily mean temperature &gt;80°F relative to 60°F to 70°F on log conception-survival rate. The coefficient can be interpreted as the effect of one &gt;80°F day some weeks from the estimated week of conception on the log More
Image
Fig. 6 Effect of change over time in each transition in the model on intercohort change in levels of childlessness. Each colored line corresponds to the effect of one specific transition in the model; different patterns among the lines represent different transitions in the model. The solid black lines reflect the sum of all effects depicted in each panel.

Effect of change over time in each transition in the model on intercohort c...

Open Access
in Microsimulation of Household and Marital Transitions Leading to Childlessness Among Dutch Women Born Between 1971 and 2000 > Demography
Published: 01 February 2022
Fig. 6 Effect of change over time in each transition in the model on intercohort change in levels of childlessness. Each colored line corresponds to the effect of one specific transition in the model; different patterns among the lines represent different transitions in the model. The solid More
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Fig. 3 Effect estimates of dichotomous shocks (|x| ≥ 0.9) and time paths in West Germany based on FEIS SLX estimate, showing cluster robust 95% confidence intervals

Effect estimates of dichotomous shocks (| x | ≥ 0 . 9) and time paths in We...

Open Access
in Environmental Inequality and Residential Sorting in Germany: A Spatial Time-Series Analysis of the Demographic Consequences of Industrial Sites > Demography
Published: 01 December 2021
Fig. 3 Effect estimates of dichotomous shocks (| x | ≥ 0 . 9) and time paths in West Germany based on FEIS SLX estimate, showing cluster robust 95% confidence intervals More
Image
Fig. 4 Effect estimates of dichotomous shocks (|x| ≥ 0.9) and time paths in East Germany based on FEIS SLX estimate, showing cluster robust 95% confidence intervals

Effect estimates of dichotomous shocks (| x | ≥ 0 . 9) and time paths in Ea...

Open Access
in Environmental Inequality and Residential Sorting in Germany: A Spatial Time-Series Analysis of the Demographic Consequences of Industrial Sites > Demography
Published: 01 December 2021
Fig. 4 Effect estimates of dichotomous shocks (| x | ≥ 0 . 9) and time paths in East Germany based on FEIS SLX estimate, showing cluster robust 95% confidence intervals More