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Subnational estimation

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Journal Article
Demography (1972) 9 (3): 443–453.
Published: 01 August 1972
...N. Krishnan Namboodiri Abstract The ratio-correlation method is one of several methods currently being used in the United States for making postcensal estimates of subnational units such as states and counties. It seems to have been commonly presumed by those writing on the subject that the working...
Journal Article
Demography (2000) 37 (2): 193–201.
Published: 01 May 2000
...David A. Swanson; Jeff Tayman; Charles F. Barr Abstract Mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), the measure most often used for evaluating subnational demographic estimates, is not always valid. We describe guidelines for determining when MAPE is valid. Applying them to case study data, we find...
Journal Article
Demography (2022) 59 (5): 1713–1737.
Published: 01 October 2022
...Monica Alexander; Leontine Alkema Abstract Accurate estimates of subnational populations are important for policy formulation and monitoring population health indicators. For example, estimates of the number of women of reproductive age are important to understand the population at risk of maternal...
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Journal Article
Demography (2017) 54 (6): 2025–2041.
Published: 10 October 2017
...Monica Alexander; Emilio Zagheni; Magali Barbieri Abstract Reliable subnational mortality estimates are essential in the study of health inequalities within a country. One of the difficulties in producing such estimates is the presence of small populations among which the stochastic variation...
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Journal Article
Demography (2020) 57 (1): 221–241.
Published: 28 January 2020
... will extend fertility analysis to new subpopulations, periods, geographies, and even species. To demonstrate the framework’s utility in new applications, we produce subnational estimates of African fertility levels, reconstruct historical European TFRs for periods up to 150 years before the collection...
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Published: 28 January 2020
Fig. 5 Estimating subnational fertility rates. We use the iTFR + method to estimate subnational total fertility rates for the African continent for 2010–2015 using data from WorldPop and the United Nations WPP 2017. More
Journal Article
Demography (2024) 61 (2): 439–462.
Published: 01 April 2024
...Julius Goes Abstract Estimation and prediction of subnational mortality rates for small areas are essential planning tools for studying health inequalities. Standard methods do not perform well when data are noisy, a typical behavior of subnational datasets. Thus, reliable estimates are difficult...
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Journal Article
Demography (2019) 56 (2): 729–752.
Published: 28 February 2019
... the sensitivity of these estimates to the inclusion of survey fixed effects, we are reluctant to draw any strong conclusions. The use of subnational region-level DHS data introduces distinct measurement-related advantages and potential issues relative to research using the unit-level microdata. We conduct...
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Journal Article
Demography (1982) 19 (1): 135–146.
Published: 01 February 1982
...Marylou Mandell; Jeffrey Tayman Abstract This paper introduces an empirical indicator designed to measure the temporal stability of regression models used to produce subnational population estimates. Analysis of 67 counties in Florida centers on 1970 total population estimates generated from ratio...
Journal Article
Demography (2023) 60 (3): 915–937.
Published: 01 June 2023
.... The parameters of these AR(1) processes were estimated using subnational units from many countries, including the United States. Thus, to apply the methods to predict TFR and e 0 for Washington counties, the respective AR(1) process is applied to each future U.S. trajectory of the respective quantity...
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Journal Article
Demography (2013) 50 (3): 827–852.
Published: 04 December 2012
...-/age-specific rates of international immigration and emigration. e: Census 5 % microdata files. 2-II. Model standard schedules at subnational level  f. Race-/sex-/age-specific rates of domestic in-migration and out-migration for the subnational regions (estimated based on the census data). f...
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Journal Article
Demography (2014) 51 (2): 341–366.
Published: 09 January 2014
... confounders at the country level 9 ; u j is the family-level random effect; is the subnational region-level random effect; and the represent the corresponding coefficients. We account for the effect of age on mortality ( ) by including a dummy variable for each month. We estimate infant...
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Journal Article
Demography (2024) 61 (2): 251–266.
Published: 01 April 2024
... in a life course perspective using panel data, which is typically representative only at the national level; or they can attend to subnational contexts using rate schedules, which do not include information on life course statuses. The method and data source we introduce here, Census-Held Linked...
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Journal Article
Demography (2024) 61 (3): 615–626.
Published: 01 June 2024
... and reviewers of Demography for their insightful comments and suggestions. This work was supported by the Australian Research Council (DP210100401). References Alexander M. , Zagheni E. , & Barbieri M. ( 2017 ). A flexible Bayesian model for estimating subnational mortality...
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Journal Article
Demography (2022) 59 (2): 761–786.
Published: 01 April 2022
... not have sufficiently large sample sizes to calculate province-level estimates. We include subnational analyses because both countries have considerable variation in fertility. Further, Indian states and Chinese provinces are just as large, if not larger, than many countries. Populations of these Indian...
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Journal Article
Demography (2003) 40 (4): 741–757.
Published: 01 November 2003
... applications of the cohort-component method with the accuracy of projections that were derived from a simpler, less data-intensive version of the method. We found that age-group error patterns are different for national projections than for subnational projections; that errors are substantially larger for some...
Journal Article
Demography (1980) 17 (3): 341–343.
Published: 01 August 1980
... ). On the Ratio-Correlation and Related Methods of Subnational Population Estimation . Demography , 9 , 443 – 453 . 10.2307/2060865 Namboodiri N. K. , & Lalu N. M. ( 1971 ). The Average of Several Regression Estimates as an Alternative to the Multiple Regression Estimate in Postcensal...
Journal Article
Demography (2017) 54 (1): 337–360.
Published: 09 January 2017
...) collected in 69 developing countries between 1990 and 2012. Child-level health data are matched with estimates of community open-defecation rates and census population density data for 1,800 subnational regions. For the second analysis, we use geographic information system (GIS) codes to create a new data...
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Journal Article
Demography (2018) 55 (4): 1295–1316.
Published: 13 June 2018
... V. , & Prata N. ( 2002 ). War, peace, and fertility in Angola . Demography , 39 , 215 – 231 . 10.1353/dem.2002.0013 Ahmed S. , & Hill K. ( 2010 ). Maternal mortality estimation at the subnational level: A model-based method with an application to Bangladesh...
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Journal Article
Demography (2020) 57 (1): 347–371.
Published: 27 January 2020
... West and Central African countries, we estimate multilevel discrete-time hazard models to determine how women’s risk of intimate partner violence (IPV) varies with the death of children. We assess heterogeneity in this association across two surrounding circumstances: children’s age at death...
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