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Search Results for Spatiotemporal models

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Journal Article
Demography (2024) 61 (2): 439–462.
Published: 01 April 2024
... time (owing to the linear prior) for both sexes. However, the forecasted growth of mean LE is lower than the estimated in-sample growth. In other words, LE is expected to increase less in the future than it has in the past. Since there are no spatiotemporal interaction terms within the model, the time...
FIGURES
First thumbnail for: Bayesian Forecasting of Mortality Rates for Small ...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2024) 61 (3): 711–735.
Published: 01 June 2024
... in these data, we consider the Besag model with a second-order queen neighborhood structure for spatial autocorrelation, and the AR(1) model with time lag 1 (10 years) for temporal autocorrelation with a spatiotemporal model as follows: Y i t   = α t   + β t x i + τ t + ϵ i...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2025) 62 (1): 35–60.
Published: 01 February 2025
... the association between caste and climate inequality by studying occupational exposure during the 2019 and 2022 heat waves. We combine high spatiotemporal resolution heat stress information from satellite imagery with a large nationally and regionally representative labor force survey with rich socioeconomic...
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First thumbnail for: Caste Inequality in Occupational Exposure to Heat ...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2020) 57 (3): 927–951.
Published: 19 May 2020
... if they happen to have only daughters as their first two children. More importantly, this tendency is stronger if parents were born in a spatiotemporal region with more skewed gender gap in educational investment. These findings are robust against various alternative specifications, including endogenous...
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First thumbnail for: Son Preference and Fertility Decisions: Evidence F...
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Third thumbnail for: Son Preference and Fertility Decisions: Evidence F...
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (1991) 28 (1): 41–63.
Published: 01 February 1991
... , 487 , 150 – 68 . 10.1177/0002716286487001010 Woods , R. I. ( 1976 ). Population Turnover, Tipping Points, and Markov Chains . Transactions, Institute of British Geographers, New Series , 2 , 473 – 89 . 10.2307/622301 Woods , R. I. ( 1981 ). Spatiotemporal Models...
Journal Article
Demography (2021) 58 (3): 927–950.
Published: 01 June 2021
... deaths, such as drug overdoses, then not controlling for exposure to them may lead us to overstate the effects of homicides. On the other hand, if women were nontrivially exposed to other deaths but these deaths did not spatiotemporally correspond with homicides, then our models may have underestimated...
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First thumbnail for: How Nearby Homicides Affect Young Women's Pregnanc...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2014) 51 (1): 287–297.
Published: 07 September 2013
... interoperable with other kinds of spatiotemporally referenced data, including raster data sets derived from satellite imagery and climate models, economic indicators, and policy and legal data. For example, the prototype TerraPop system now available allows users to extract characteristics of Malawi farmers...
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First thumbnail for: Big Microdata for Population Research
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Journal Article
Demography (2020) 57 (5): 1647–1680.
Published: 01 September 2020
... peaked months before residents learned about the epidemic and its relation to congenital anomalies. This spatiotemporal variation supports analysis of both biological effects of Zika infection on fertility and the effects of learning about Zika risk on reproductive behavior. Causal inference techniques...
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First thumbnail for: Brazil’s Missing Infants: Zika Risk Changes Reprod...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2019) 56 (1): 169–199.
Published: 17 January 2019
... the spatiotemporal fertility dynamics by SES in the first descriptive part of our analysis. To our knowledge, this is the first time that geographically detailed maps on the fertility transition by SES are presented for an entire country. In the second part of our analysis, we run separate regression models...
FIGURES
First thumbnail for: Spatial and Social Distance at the Onset of the Fe...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2024) 61 (1): 59–85.
Published: 01 February 2024
... states and over the course of the pandemic's first year. Results show that non-Hispanic American Indians and Alaska Natives experienced the highest excess mortality of any ethnoracial group in the first year of the pandemic, followed by Hispanics and non-Hispanic Blacks. Spatiotemporal and age-specific...
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First thumbnail for: Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Excess All-Cause ...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2018) 55 (4): 1295–1316.
Published: 13 June 2018
... and comparable information on population movement, economic development, and access to health infrastructure is unavailable for the spatiotemporal domain covered by the current analysis. Furthermore, such data are also particularly challenging to collect during periods of violent conflict. Hence, we leave...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2025) 62 (2): 381–404.
Published: 01 April 2025
... components: trend, seasonal, and remainder. Given the long-term trend and historical seasonal variation, we assume that most of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic will be left in the remainder. We use a regression model to test this assumption. We decompose the contributions of COVID-19 deaths (direct...
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First thumbnail for: Mortality by Cause of Death in Brazil: A Research ...
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Third thumbnail for: Mortality by Cause of Death in Brazil: A Research ...
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2000) 37 (4): 461–466.
Published: 01 November 2000
... Anderton , D.L. ( 1996 ). Methodological Issues in the Spatiotemporal Analysis of Environmental Equity . Social Science Quarterly , 77 , 508 – 15 . Anderton , D.L. , Anderson , A.B. , Oakes , J.M. , &amp; Fraser , M.R. ( 1994 ). Environmental Equity: The Demographics...
Journal Article
Demography (2005) 42 (4): 791–812.
Published: 01 November 2005
... to understanding spatiotemporal change in migration. 14 1 2011 © Population Association of America 2005 2005 Spatial Autocorrelation Census Bureau Spatial Cluster Nonmetropolitan Area Nonmetropolitan County References Anselin , L. ( 1988 ). Spatial Econometrics: Methods...
Journal Article
Demography (2020) 57 (4): 1437–1457.
Published: 19 May 2020
... ; Hugo 2011 ; Mueller et al. 2014 ), with climate change expected to spur migration and displacement (Gray and Wise 2016 ; Warner et al. 2009 ). How this environmentally induced migration differs from more general migration is of key importance to understanding and modeling potential population...
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Journal Article
Demography (2021) 58 (4): 1301–1325.
Published: 01 August 2021
...-effects models that estimate labor market outcomes using panel data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth, 1979–2014. We estimate models for Black and White women and find that the relationship between motherhood and employment is significantly more negative among White women who plan...
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First thumbnail for: Does the Impact of Motherhood on Women's Employmen...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2024) 61 (1): 209–230.
Published: 01 February 2024
... Florida using administrative records of individual deaths, demographics, and residential location combined with tidal gauge and high-resolution elevation data. We incorporate data capturing storm and precipitation events into our empirical model to distinguish between disruptions from routine sunny-day...
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First thumbnail for: Sunny-Day Flooding and Mortality Risk in Coastal F...
Second thumbnail for: Sunny-Day Flooding and Mortality Risk in Coastal F...
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2013) 50 (3): 1105–1128.
Published: 29 November 2012
... (and also, consequently, without much information about these individuals, apart from location) (Ahas 2011 ). Alongside these collection techniques has come the development of methods for organizing and evaluating spatiotemporal data, including techniques for analyzing geospatial lifelines—the paths formed...
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First thumbnail for: New Approaches to Human Mobility: Using Mobile Pho...
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Journal Article
Demography (2016) 53 (5): 1453–1476.
Published: 13 September 2016
..., however, may also be driven by the Great Recession, which caused both a decrease in the per capita GDP and massive return migration flows. We tested this hypothesis by reestimating our model without the years 2009 and 2010, and found results that were very similar to those shown in Table 4 (results...
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First thumbnail for: Determinants of Mexico-U.S. Outward and Return Mig...
Second thumbnail for: Determinants of Mexico-U.S. Outward and Return Mig...
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2018) 55 (5): 1749–1775.
Published: 14 September 2018
... ) reported a male advantage in spatial perception; mental rotation; spatiotemporal ability; and to a lesser extent, spatial visualization. Females have an advantage in remembering the spatial location of objects in an array (Sanders 2013 ). Gender differences in some of these abilities emerge at very young...
Includes: Supplementary data