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Secular Change
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Journal Article
Demography (2019) 56 (5): 1723–1746.
Published: 09 September 2019
... of the elderly appear to be molded by broader cohort factors. The latter would reflect the processes of physiological capital improvement in successive birth cohorts through secular changes in early-life conditions. Antigenic imprinting, cohort morbidity phenotype, and other mechanisms that can generate...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (1973) 10 (3): 383–403.
Published: 01 August 1973
... the real population age structure more closely, secular changes in birth probabilities were applied. 27 1 2011 © Population Association of America 1973 1973 Monte Carlo Simulation Birth Interval Vital Rate Virgin Island Real Population References Coale , Ansley J...
Journal Article
Demography (1994) 31 (4): 561–573.
Published: 01 November 1994
... is explained well by the primate model. I conclude that human nature is gendered. The implications of this conclusion are explored for demographic and other social science research. 12 1 2011 © Population Association of America 1994 1994 Biological Theory Secular Change Gender Behavior...
Journal Article
Demography (2017) 54 (2): 631–653.
Published: 24 February 2017
...Raven Molloy; Christopher L. Smith; Abigail Wozniak Abstract Interstate migration in the United States has decreased steadily since the 1980s, but little is known about the causes of this decline. We show that declining migration is related to a concurrent secular decline in job changing. Neither...
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Journal Article
Demography (1979) 16 (4): 493–521.
Published: 01 November 1979
...John Knodel Abstract Utilizing data from a sample of German village genealogies, it is possible to document the changes in reproductive patterns on the family level that started to take place in Germany during the nineteenth century and formed the basis for the secular decline in fertility which...
Journal Article
Demography (1967) 4 (2): 657–672.
Published: 01 June 1967
... legislación más liberal, actualmente en marcha, para hacer propaganda sobre control de la natalidad y planeamiento familiar. Summary The secular decline of Italian fertility, started in the last decade of the nineteenth century, came to an end in the early 1950’sand has recovered slightly in the last fifteen...
Journal Article
Demography (1985) 22 (3): 395–414.
Published: 01 August 1985
... of the increase in unemployment between 1969 and 1980 can be attributed to compositional factors. The secular rise in unemployment and underemployment from the late 1960s into the 1980s simply cannot be attributed in any substantial way to the changing demographic composition of the labor force. 9 1 2011...
Journal Article
Demography (1972) 9 (1): 173–185.
Published: 01 February 1972
...Frank L. Mott Abstract Considerable historical evidence indicates a long term increase in female labor force participation in the United States during the twentieth century. However, there are only limited data available for analyzing this secular trend in any depth. Comprehensive retrospective...
Journal Article
Demography (1979) 16 (3): 339–358.
Published: 01 August 1979
...Warren C. Sanderson Abstract This paper deals with three aspects of the decline in the fertility of white women in the United States from 1800 to 1920. The first concerns the portion of the secular decline in the total fertility rate which was due to changes in marriage rates and the portion due...
Journal Article
Demography (2013) 50 (1): 25–49.
Published: 19 September 2012
... are recessions as defined by the NBER. Source: March Current Population Survey, 1967–2009 We next examine the extent to which secular increases in parental employment reflect changes in family structure versus changes in patterns of work within family structures. Consider the following: (1) where...
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Journal Article
Demography (1995) 32 (3): 365–378.
Published: 01 August 1995
... characteristics of new mothers, changes in the earnings opportunities of wives and of husbands, secular change, and changes in the effects of each of the covariates. We limit the analysis to married mothers for a number of reasons. First, the most dramatic growth in labor supply has occurred among married mothers...
Journal Article
Demography (2018) 55 (4): 1567–1582.
Published: 15 June 2018
... of each cohort. The micro-level determinants of transfers and the macro-trends in the family are well known. The contribution of this analysis is in linking the secular changes in the family to individual behavior through the prism of cohort succession. It is particularly important to note that we found...
Journal Article
Demography (1994) 31 (2): 271–296.
Published: 01 May 1994
... in the epidemiological transition have not been explored. Have the sexes benefited equally from the changes in the structure of cause of death, or do the dynamics of the epidemiological transition differ between the sexes? Third, are there period differences (secular trends) in the risk of causes of death that have...
Journal Article
Demography (1986) 23 (1): 53–66.
Published: 01 February 1986
... the hypothesis that secular changes producing higher fecundability have occurred in recent decades in all our sample countries. The cohort effects in our models can be interpreted to summarize the effects of secular changes other than increased education, later age at marriage, and urbanization, which lead...
Journal Article
Demography (1979) 16 (1): 55–71.
Published: 01 February 1979
..., but evidently it is swamped by the upward trend, pre- sumably due to secular change in social background factors. Figure 2 reports the same grade pro- gression rates as Figure I, but in the prob- ability rather than the logit scale. In the probability scale, the secular patterns are no different from the logit...
Journal Article
Demography (1983) 20 (4): 541–568.
Published: 01 November 1983
... demographers, it is useful to preface our analyses with a statement on how these models relate to more traditional demo- graphic methods and research. To begin with, it must be emphasized that we do not seek to explain secular (i.e., long-term) changes in levels of birth and death rates. In fact, we commence...
Journal Article
Demography (2017) 54 (2): 655–671.
Published: 10 February 2017
... > Y 1 and R (δ, y ) = 1 everywhere else. Assume that the mortality regime undergoes a secular change with onset at t = 0 and that each birth cohort is exposed to a mortality level corresponding to the year when they were born. Thus, members of a birth cohort born t > 0 years after...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2021) 58 (1): 111–135.
Published: 01 February 2021
..., we investigate whether differences in socioeconomic position were already influencing mortality when secular changes in mortality first started, or whether this pattern is more recent. Finally, we exploit information about the scientific fields in which the scholars in our database were working...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (1989) 26 (2): 235–248.
Published: 01 May 1989
... of the economic boom, middle-class growth slowed during the 1960s and declined slightly during the 1970s. In the 1970s, the size of the middle class declined and the number of affluent families increased. These trends in poverty among families set the stage for tracking secular changes in the numbers of children...
Journal Article
Demography (2013) 50 (1): 311–332.
Published: 20 September 2012
... . 10.1007/BF01265303 Galloway , P. R. ( 1994 ). Secular changes in the short-term preventive, positive, and temperature checks to population growth in Europe, 1460–1909 . Climatic Change , 26 , 3 – 63 . 10.1007/BF01094008 Galor , O. , & Weil , D. N. ( 2000...
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