... 20 20 Horizon I 30 40 I 50 Population < 1m G Po ulatl rowth rate ~ 25%P latlon < 1m G 0 Populat" rowth rat ton ~ 1m G Figure 3 MA <2S% D P . 'ow<h . PE. by Le th 1_ z tm G ng of Horizon for S" rowth rate < 25% ize-Growth Categories Population Forecast Errors Model L (linear): MAPE = 130...

..., the variable-r method confirms that Chinese fertility has reached a level well below replacement. 13 1 2011 © Population Association of America 2008 2008 Birth Interval Fertility Level Survival Ratio Large Birth Cohort Rowth Rate References Anderson B. ( 2004 ). Undercount...

... byT(t). Then n P(t) = ~ P; exp(T;t), ;=1 and the rate of growth for the total population will then be 1 dP(t) n f(t) = P(t) = -n ~ P;T; exp(T;t), '" P () ;-1~ i exp T;t - ;=1 (1) (2) Heterogeneity and the Dynamics of Regional ~rowth Rates 101 which is the weighted mean of the Ti, where the weights...

.... 13 1 2011 © Population Association of America 2009 2009 Population Forecast Rowth Rate Subcounty Area Ression Model Extrapolation Projection References Agarwal, C., G.M. Green, J.M. Grove, T.P. Evans, and C.M. Schweik. 2002. “A Review and Assessment of Land-Use Change Models...

... Immigration Wave References 1. Abramovitz , Moses ( 1961 ). The Nature and Significance of Kuznets Cycles . Economic Development and Cultural Change , IX ( 3 ), 225 – 48 10.1086/449905 . 2. Abramovitz , Moses ( 1959 ). Historical and Comparative Rates of Production...