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Journal Article
Future Trends in World Population Growth
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Demography (1967) 4 (2): 497–514.
Published: 01 June 1967
... of America 1967 1967 World Population Future Trend Replacement Ratio Dependency Ratio Total Labor Force References 2 United Nations, World Population Prospects As Assessed in 1963 (New York: 1966), p. 6. 3 Ibid. United Nations, World Population Prospects As Assessed in 1963 (New...
Journal Article
Fertility decline in Taiwan: A study using parity progression ratios
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Demography (1991) 28 (3): 467–479.
Published: 01 August 1991
.... Total fertility rates computed from the period parity progression ratios indicate a substantially higher level of fertility than the conventional total fertility rate; they remained above or at replacement level through 1988. A formal demographic analysis suggests that the conventional total fertility...
Journal Article
The Effects of Conflict on Fertility: Evidence From the Genocide in Rwanda
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Demography (2019) 56 (3): 935–968.
Published: 06 May 2019
... influences fertility: (1) the type of violence exposure as measured by the death of a child or sibling, and (2) the conflict-induced change in local demographic conditions as captured by the change in the district-level sex ratio. Results indicate the genocide had heterogeneous effects on fertility...
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View articletitled, The Effects of Conflict on Fertility: Evidence From the Genocide in Rwanda
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for article titled, The Effects of Conflict on Fertility: Evidence From the Genocide in Rwanda
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Estimating the Effect of Child Mortality on the Number of Births
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Demography (1980) 17 (4): 429–443.
Published: 01 November 1980
... the family-specific mor- tality rate and fertility will bias almost any estimator of the replacement effect. Such bias can easily be taken into account using the estimator developed here. Exist- ing studies of replacement using parity progression ratios or stopping probabili- 442 DEMOGRAPHY, volume 17...
Journal Article
Momentum and the growth-free segment of a population
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Demography (1991) 28 (1): 159–173.
Published: 01 February 1991
... in fertility to replacement level, Preston (1986) argued that the population segment under age T, the length of generation, remained growth-free. Here we first present a new relationship for the momentum of any observed population as the ratio of I) the proportion of the observed population under the mean age...
Journal Article
Population momentum expresses population aging
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Demography (1997) 34 (3): 421–427.
Published: 01 August 1997
.... The population below age 30 does not grow over the transition to stationarity, and the ratio of initial to ultimate proportions under age 30 is virtually identical to momentum. 12 1 2011 © Population Association of America 1997 1997 Stationary Population Stable Population Vital Rate...
Journal Article
Seasonal fertility cycles in rural Egypt: Behavioral and biological linkages
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Demography (1986) 23 (1): 13–30.
Published: 01 February 1986
... is a significant phenomenon in rural Egypt and it occurs fairly quickly. 7 1 2011 © Population Association of America 1986 1986 Infant Mortality Infant Death Child Mortality Replacement Ratio Direct Replacement References Becker S. ( 1981 ). Seasonal patterns of fertility...
Journal Article
Estimating demographic characteristics using the ratio-correlation method
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Demography (1978) 15 (2): 223–233.
Published: 01 May 1978
.... O'Hare (1976) found that the effectiveness of the ratio- correlation method for counties in Mich- igan was slightly less than that of a method termed "difference-correlation," which replaces ratios of proportions at two points in time. These and other possi- bilities, such as the use of interaction terms...
Journal Article
Methodology for the Measurement of Current Fertility From Population Data on Young Children
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Demography (1965) 2 (1): 50–73.
Published: 01 March 1965
... ages within the age range used and fewer at other ages. If desired, fertility ratios for several populations may be indirectly standardized for age of worn- en to eliminate the effect of varying age distributions. Replacement quotas for fertility ratios.- Replacement quotas for use with ratios...
Journal Article
An assessment of China’s fertility level using the variable- r method
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Demography (2008) 45 (2): 271–281.
Published: 01 May 2008
..., the variable-r method confirms that Chinese fertility has reached a level well below replacement. 13 1 2011 © Population Association of America 2008 2008 Birth Interval Fertility Level Survival Ratio Large Birth Cohort Rowth Rate References Anderson B. ( 2004 ). Undercount...
Journal Article
Targeting, Universalism, and Single-Mother Poverty: A Multilevel Analysis Across 18 Affluent Democracies
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Demography (2012) 49 (2): 719–746.
Published: 09 March 2012
...–54 with children under 18 in household) No One Employed in Household Number of Children in Household Universal Replacement Rate 1.012 1.016 1.023 0.995 (0.66) (0.84) (1.31) (–1.79) Targeting Ratio 2.796** 2.979** 3.999*** 1.090 (3.22) (3.35) (4.42) (1.78) Individual...
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View articletitled, Targeting, Universalism, and Single-Mother Poverty: A Multilevel Analysis Across 18 Affluent Democracies
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for article titled, Targeting, Universalism, and Single-Mother Poverty: A Multilevel Analysis Across 18 Affluent Democracies
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Migration, fertility, and aging in stable populations
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Demography (2008) 45 (3): 641–650.
Published: 01 August 2008
.... 2000. Replacement Migration. New York: United Nations. Wu, Z. and N. Li. 2003. Immigration and the Dependency Ratio of a Host Population. Mathemati- cal Population Studies 10:21 39. References Bacaër N. ( 2003 ). The Asymptotic Behavior of the McKendrick Equation With Immigration...
Journal Article
On the momentum of population growth
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Demography (1971) 8 (1): 71–80.
Published: 01 February 1971
... any particular curve of change to stationarity is in principle straightforward, but it would TABLE 4.-Ratio of Ultimate to Present Popu- lation on Expression (10), Covering the Case Where Fertility Continues at Present Rate for 15 Years, Then Declines to Bare Replacement (females only) Ratio if drop...
Journal Article
The effects of differing trends in fertility and of educational advance on the growth, quality, and turnover of the labor force
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Demography (1968) 5 (1): 226–248.
Published: 01 March 1968
... than three times in sixty years as opposed to the sixfold growth in the constant- fertility projections. Given the ratios in Table 3, one might expect the labor force to be replaced much more quickly when fertility remained high than when it declined. To deter- mine how many years it takes to replace...
View articletitled, The effects of differing trends in fertility and of educational advance on the growth, quality, and turnover of the labor force
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for article titled, The effects of differing trends in fertility and of educational advance on the growth, quality, and turnover of the labor force
Journal Article
On Nonstable and Stable Population Momentum
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Demography (2011) 48 (4): 1581–1599.
Published: 27 September 2011
... to a complete stop after a driver’s foot is lifted from the accelerator pedal (Schoen and Kim 1991 ). The relative amount of momentum is usually measured by the ratio of the size of the long-run stationary population to that of the population when replacement fertility is first achieved. Momentum coefficients...
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Journal Article
Are births underreported in rural China? Manipulation of statistical records in response to China’s population policies
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Demography (2000) 37 (1): 109–126.
Published: 01 February 2000
... and the number of replacement births occurring at durations after the change point. The second and third columns of Table 5 show total and county-specific sex ratios at first birth for durations before and after the change point. In all counties but Pangxie, the sex ratios for the months up to the estimated...
Journal Article
The impact of childhood mortality on Fertility in six rural Thanas of Bangladesh
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Demography (2007) 44 (4): 771–784.
Published: 01 November 2007
... the direct fertility impact of a preference for sons. Results for mortality hazard ratios are consistent with the hypotheses of insurance and replacement effects. In Table 2, the main effects of all four mortality indicators are positive and signi cant. The combined indicator of biological and behavioral...
Journal Article
Child Underreporting, Fertility, and Sex Ratio Imbalance in China
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Demography (2011) 48 (1): 291–316.
Published: 19 February 2011
... ratio at birth, the time interval between first achieving replacement fertility and the year of the subsequent local peak in sex ratios at birth was 8–11 years in Taiwan, Singapore, and Japan; and 18 years in Hong Kong (Goodkind and West 2007 ). The longer gap in Hong Kong might be due to increased...
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Journal Article
Stable migration rates from the multiregional growth matrix operator
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Demography (1968) 5 (1): 439–442.
Published: 01 March 1968
... interest to add to this discussion by indicating formulas for stable age-specificmigration ratios and the probabilities in each region. Classical work in stable population theory has dealt largely with closed populations, thus ig- noring migration." The purpose of this note is, then, to indicate...
Journal Article
Demography (2022) 59 (5): 1843–1871.
Published: 01 October 2022
... for the lowest female quintile in 1920 is 15.14, whereas the usual replacement rate of occupational pension is smaller than 1. Thus, the specification of using ratios is empirically less meaningful than the specification of using absolute differences. 3 This assumption is reasonable because inflation...
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View articletitled, How Does Mortality Contribute to Lifetime Pension Inequality? Evidence From Five Decades of Swedish Taxation Data
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for article titled, How Does Mortality Contribute to Lifetime Pension Inequality? Evidence From Five Decades of Swedish Taxation Data
Includes: Supplementary data
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