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Population decline

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Journal Article
Demography (2013) 50 (1): 125–147.
Published: 11 September 2012
... to conduct a series of demographic counterfactuals. Overall, we find that, absent these population trends, the share of the metropolitan population living in the central city would have declined by an additional 10 % to 32 % from 1960 to 2000. Demographic changes were not strong enough to overcome...
FIGURES | View All (4)
Journal Article
Demography (1976) 13 (4): 513–519.
Published: 01 November 1976
...)/( r μ R 0 , where b and r are the birth rate and the rate of growth, respectively, of the stable population, e 0 0 the life expectancy at birth, and μ the average age at childbirth in the resulting stationary population. Noting that the decline in m x need not necessarily be uniform, investigation has...
Journal Article
Demography (2013) 50 (1): 97–123.
Published: 11 September 2012
...John Iceland; Gregory Sharp; Jeffrey M. Timberlake Abstract The goal of this study is to examine the extent to which population shifts over the post–Great Migration period and divergent trends in segregation across regions contributed to the overall decline in black segregation in the United States...
FIGURES | View All (4)
Journal Article
Demography (1979) 16 (3): 401–415.
Published: 01 August 1979
...Avery M. Guest Abstract Population redistribution within U.S. suburban rings between 1970 and 1975 was characterized by frequent population declines for individual suburbs. On the whole, recent spatial patterns of suburban population decline are similar in nature, if not overall levels, to those...
Journal Article
Demography (2024) 61 (2): 419–438.
Published: 01 April 2024
...Joshua R. Goldstein; Thomas Cassidy Abstract When will the human population peak? In this article, we build on classical results by Ansley Coale, who showed that when fertility declines steadily, births reach their maximum before fertility reaches replacement level, and the decline in total...
FIGURES
Journal Article
Demography (1992) 29 (4): 595–612.
Published: 01 November 1992
... the many stationary populations corresponding to a particular life table. This finding has important consequences for policy because although fertility increase and immigration are equally effective at halting population decline, immigration is inferior as a means of rejuvenating low-fertility populations...
Journal Article
Demography (1980) 17 (1): 57–70.
Published: 01 February 1980
... contributed significantly to overall population gain and was particularly strong among counties without an urban center. The rate of natural increase continued to slow in the post-1970 period, with natural decrease becoming common among counties with protracted histories of population decline. 7 1 2011...
Journal Article
Demography (1969) 6 (2): 91–99.
Published: 01 May 1969
.... It has also been common in central Texas. The counties affected are typically rural and agricultural, with a high median age, a history of population decline, and average population fertility. They had a total 1960 population of 4,003,000 persons. It is projected that an excess of deaths over births...
Journal Article
Demography (2022) 59 (6): 2003–2012.
Published: 01 December 2022
...Samuel Arenberg; Kevin Kuruc; Nathan Franz; Sangita Vyas; Nicholas Lawson; Melissa LoPalo; Mark Budolfson; Michael Geruso; Dean Spears Abstract All leading long-term global population projections agree on continuing fertility decline, resulting in a rate of population size growth that will continue...
FIGURES
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2020) 57 (5): 1929–1950.
Published: 31 August 2020
... cautionary lessons regarding the commonplace narrative of widespread rural decline and economic malaise but also highlights the interdependent demographic fates of metropolitan and nonmetropolitan counties. 28 7 2020 31 8 2020 © Population Association of America 2020 2020 Population...
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Journal Article
Demography (1976) 13 (3): 311–328.
Published: 01 August 1976
...Jane Riblett Wilkie Abstract Pre-Civil War black urbanization is examined using data from federal census records, 1790 to 1860. The black population is found to be as urban as the white population initially, but its urbanization underwent relative decline in the last two decades before the Civil...
Image
Published: 01 April 2023
Fig. 4 Mean block racial composition by place type, 1990–2010. In persistence places, the share of Whites in the average neighborhood declined gradually as non-Whites entered neighborhoods retaining stable White populations. The White population share declined more precipitously in places More
Journal Article
Demography (2023) 60 (2): 583–605.
Published: 01 April 2023
...Fig. 4 Mean block racial composition by place type, 1990–2010. In persistence places, the share of Whites in the average neighborhood declined gradually as non-Whites entered neighborhoods retaining stable White populations. The White population share declined more precipitously in places...
FIGURES | View All (6)
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2008) 45 (3): 641–650.
Published: 01 August 2008
...Juha M. Alho Abstract Fertility is below replacement level in all European countries, and population growth is expected to decline in the coming decades. Increasing life expectancy will accentuate concomitant aging of the population. Migration has been seen as a possible means to decelerate aging...
Journal Article
Demography (2022) 59 (2): 417–431.
Published: 01 April 2022
... method on the population's average age-specific growth rates. We illustrate our method by identifying the unique contributions of survival progress, migration change, and fertility decline for current population growth in Denmark, England and Wales, France, and the United States. Our results show...
FIGURES
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2013) 50 (2): 661–671.
Published: 27 October 2012
... to determine whether the prevalence of activity limitations among the older population continued to decline in the first decade of the twenty-first century. Findings across studies suggest that personal care and domestic activity limitations may have continued to decline for those ages 85 and older from 2000...
FIGURES
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (1966) 3 (2): 513–527.
Published: 01 June 1966
... of the class, (8) net shifts of declining towns into and out of the class, (4) addition of new places, and (5) disappearance of places during the time period. Separate tabulations were made by metropolitan location, region, and decade. Places under 10,000 population the initial year grew during both census...
Journal Article
Demography (1985) 22 (4): 603–609.
Published: 01 November 1985
...Daniel T. Lichter Abstract By presenting race-specific population concentration indexes for U.S. counties for the 1950–1980 period, this paper updates and extends previous analyses of 19001974 patterns of population concentration by Duncan et al. (1961) and Vining and Strauss (1977). Declines...
Journal Article
Demography (1969) 6 (1): 55–74.
Published: 01 February 1969
...Roy C. Treadway Abstract The decline of population density from the center of metropolitan areas can be expressed mathematically as: d r = d o e gr where d r is the population density of a subarea at distance r from the center, d o is the hypothetical density at the center, and g is the population...
Journal Article
Demography (2011) 48 (3): 815–839.
Published: 12 July 2011
... the evolution of TFR into three phases: pre-transition high fertility, the fertility transition, and post-transition low fertility. The model for the fertility decline builds on the United Nations Population Division’s current deterministic projection methodology, which assumes that fertility will eventually...
FIGURES | View All (6)
Includes: Supplementary data