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Published: 28 January 2020
Fig. 6 Estimating historical fertility. bTFR estimates of period fertility rates in four European countries using HMD historical age-sex and child mortality data. Shaded regions represent 90% posterior probability intervals; open circles are observed TFRs from the HFD; vertical dashed lines
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Journal Article
Timing effects and the interpretation of period fertility
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Demography (2004) 41 (4): 801–819.
Published: 01 November 2004
...Robert Schoen Abstract Low fertility levels and later childbearing in many developed countries have reinvigorated the debate between period and cohort perspectives on fertility and on the meaningfulness of the period total fertility rate (TFR). Here, fertility-timing effects are defined as level...
View articletitled, Timing effects and the interpretation of <span class="search-highlight">period</span> <span class="search-highlight">fertility</span>
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Selected period fertility age schedules in Holland, optimal fitted schedule...
Available to PurchasePublished: 19 September 2014
Fig. 4 Selected period fertility age schedules in Holland, optimal fitted schedules from the period- and cohort-shift models, and the observed schedule
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Journal Article
Lifetime probability of additional births by age and parity for American women, 1935–1968: A new measurement of period fertility
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Demography (1976) 13 (1): 1–17.
Published: 01 February 1976
... and in a particular case it is conceptually analogous to the total fertility by birth order but free from the influence of the parity distribution. Fertility of American women for the period 1935–1968 was studied by use of such lifetime probabilities. It appears that the trend of fertility of high birth orders has...
View articletitled, Lifetime probability of additional births by age and parity for American women, 1935–1968: A new measurement of <span class="search-highlight">period</span> <span class="search-highlight">fertility</span>
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for article titled, Lifetime probability of additional births by age and parity for American women, 1935–1968: A new measurement of <span class="search-highlight">period</span> <span class="search-highlight">fertility</span>
Journal Article
A sensitivity analysis of the bongaarts-feeney method for adjusting bias in observed period total fertility rates
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Demography (2001) 38 (1): 17–28.
Published: 01 February 2001
... TFR(t) neither represents any real cohort experiences from the past nor forecasts any future trend. It merely provides an improved reading of the period fertility measure, which reduces the tempo distortion. 14 1 2011 © Population Association of America 2001 2001 Birth Order Annual...
View articletitled, A sensitivity analysis of the bongaarts-feeney method for adjusting bias in observed <span class="search-highlight">period</span> total <span class="search-highlight">fertility</span> rates
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for article titled, A sensitivity analysis of the bongaarts-feeney method for adjusting bias in observed <span class="search-highlight">period</span> total <span class="search-highlight">fertility</span> rates
Journal Article
Relating Period and Cohort Fertility
Open Access
Demography (2022) 59 (3): 877–894.
Published: 01 June 2022
...Robert Schoen Abstract From a population perspective, the trajectories of both the total fertility at successive time periods and the total fertility of successive birth cohorts are derived from the same array of age-specific fertility rates. This analysis uses the assumption of constant age...
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View articletitled, Relating <span class="search-highlight">Period</span> and Cohort <span class="search-highlight">Fertility</span>
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for article titled, Relating <span class="search-highlight">Period</span> and Cohort <span class="search-highlight">Fertility</span>
Includes: Supplementary data
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Published: 01 June 2022
Image
Published: 01 June 2022
Fig. 3 Observed period and cohort total fertility and estimated total fertility, United States, 1917–2019
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Period completed fertility, ethnicity—weighted. Gray shading indicates the ...
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in Ethnic Dimensions of Guatemala’s Stalled Transition: A Parity-Specific Analysis of Ladino and Indigenous Fertility Regimes
> Demography
Published: 28 January 2016
Fig. 2 Period completed fertility, ethnicity—weighted. Gray shading indicates the confidence envelopes defined by the 0.025 to 0.975 quantiles of the weighted pairs bootstrap as defined in the text
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Journal Article
Education Gains Attributable to Fertility Decline: Patterns by Gender, Period, and Country in Latin America and Asia
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Demography (2017) 54 (4): 1353–1373.
Published: 05 July 2017
..., Åslund and Grönqvist ( 2010 ) in Sweden, and Angrist et al. ( 2010 ) in Israel all found null effects of fertility on schooling. Comparing these results across prior studies is challenging because of variation in methodologies, periods, and country settings. In this article, we apply a common...
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View articletitled, Education Gains Attributable to <span class="search-highlight">Fertility</span> Decline: Patterns by Gender, <span class="search-highlight">Period</span>, and Country in Latin America and Asia
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for article titled, Education Gains Attributable to <span class="search-highlight">Fertility</span> Decline: Patterns by Gender, <span class="search-highlight">Period</span>, and Country in Latin America and Asia
Includes: Supplementary data
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Total marital fertility rates at age 20 by social class and 10-year period ...
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in Marital Fertility Decline in the Netherlands: Child Mortality, Real Wages, and Unemployment, 1860–1939
> Demography
Published: 20 June 2012
Fig. 4 Total marital fertility rates at age 20 by social class and 10-year period in the Netherlands, 1860–1939. The data are from the HSN Data Set Life Courses Release 2010.01. The data used for this figure include mothers of RPs whose fertility history is left-censored
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Age-specific fertility rates for men by data source: 1991–2000 period (rati...
Available to PurchasePublished: 28 December 2011
Fig. 1 Age-specific fertility rates for men by data source: 1991–2000 period (ratio of rates r = .805*). Significant differences between the survey estimate and the population estimate at any given age are indicated by hollow circles ( p < .05; two-tailed test). * p < .05 (two
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Age-specific fertility rates for NSFG men: 1991–2000 period. The line in ea...
Available to PurchasePublished: 28 December 2011
Fig. 2 Age-specific fertility rates for NSFG men: 1991–2000 period. The line in each graph corresponds to the rate estimated for the population using multivariate imputation by chained equations. Significant differences between the survey estimate and the population estimate at any given age
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Journal Article
Conceptive Delay, Nonsusceptible Period, and Cohort Fertility Patterns
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Demography (1975) 12 (1): 143–153.
Published: 01 February 1975
...Che-Fu Lee; Kuang-Hua Lin Abstract A model of cohort fertility pattern by duration of marriage is built on the parameters of conceptive risk, its decline along parity, and the length of the nonsusceptible period. The model is found to fit satis-factorily a variety of cohort fertility patterns...
View articletitled, Conceptive Delay, Nonsusceptible <span class="search-highlight">Period</span>, and Cohort <span class="search-highlight">Fertility</span> Patterns
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for article titled, Conceptive Delay, Nonsusceptible <span class="search-highlight">Period</span>, and Cohort <span class="search-highlight">Fertility</span> Patterns
Journal Article
Tempo and the TFR
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Demography (2011) 48 (3): 841–861.
Published: 04 June 2011
...Máire Ní Bhrolcháin Abstract Tempo effects in period fertility indicators are widely regarded as a source of bias or distortion. But is this always the case? Whether tempo change results in bias depends, in the view advanced here, on the measure used, the meaning of bias/distortion...
Journal Article
A Cohort Model of Fertility Postponement
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Demography (2014) 51 (5): 1797–1819.
Published: 19 September 2014
...Fig. 4 Selected period fertility age schedules in Holland, optimal fitted schedules from the period- and cohort-shift models, and the observed schedule ...
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Journal Article
Demography (2022) 59 (1): 61–88.
Published: 01 February 2022
... limited evidence of male-biased sex ratios. Because of the rapid lengthening of birth intervals, period fertility rates substantially overestimated how fast cohort fertility fell. Moreover, predicted cohort fertility is still 10%–20% above the period fertility rate. If the lengthening of birth intervals...
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View articletitled, Birth Spacing and <span class="search-highlight">Fertility</span> in the Presence of Son Preference and Sex-Selective Abortions: India's Experience Over Four Decades
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for article titled, Birth Spacing and <span class="search-highlight">Fertility</span> in the Presence of Son Preference and Sex-Selective Abortions: India's Experience Over Four Decades
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2021) 58 (4): 1373–1399.
Published: 01 August 2021
... as forerunners in demographic behavior. Furthermore, Nordic fertility trends have strongly influenced fertility theories. However, the period fertility decline that started around 2010 in many countries with relatively high fertility is particularly pronounced in the Nordic countries, raising the question...
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View articletitled, Not Just Later, but Fewer: Novel Trends in Cohort <span class="search-highlight">Fertility</span> in the Nordic Countries
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for article titled, Not Just Later, but Fewer: Novel Trends in Cohort <span class="search-highlight">Fertility</span> in the Nordic Countries
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
The recent rise in malay fertility: A new trend or a temporary lull in a fertility transition?
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Demography (1986) 23 (2): 161–184.
Published: 01 May 1986
...Charles Hirschman Abstract Period fertility rates show a recent rise in the fertility of the Malay population of Peninsular Malaysia that became evident in the late 1970s, after more than fifteen years of slow but steady declines. Detailed analysis of age-parity-specific fertility rates suggests...
View articletitled, The recent rise in malay <span class="search-highlight">fertility</span>: A new trend or a temporary lull in a <span class="search-highlight">fertility</span> transition?
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for article titled, The recent rise in malay <span class="search-highlight">fertility</span>: A new trend or a temporary lull in a <span class="search-highlight">fertility</span> transition?
Journal Article
Assesssing Cohort Birth Expectations Data from the Current Population Survey, 1971–1981
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Demography (1983) 20 (3): 369–384.
Published: 01 August 1983
..., the “failure” of birth expectations data to predict the “period” fertility downswing in the 1970s resulted not from poor predictions of married women, but rather from unanticipated marital and subsequent childbearing patterns of women who were single at the beginning of the decade. The authors conclude...
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