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Old-age dependency ratio
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Published: 01 August 2024
Fig. 2 Components of change in the old-age dependency ratio by old-age (OA) and working-age (WA) groups and by country. See Table 2 for country three-letter codes. Sources: Authors’ calculations applying Eq. (3) (expanded to Eqs. (A8a), (A8b), and (A8c) in section 4 of the online
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Journal Article
Demography (2024) 61 (4): 1011–1021.
Published: 01 August 2024
...Fig. 2 Components of change in the old-age dependency ratio by old-age (OA) and working-age (WA) groups and by country. See Table 2 for country three-letter codes. Sources: Authors’ calculations applying Eq. (3) (expanded to Eqs. (A8a), (A8b), and (A8c) in section 4 of the online...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2010) 47 (Suppl 1): S151–S172.
Published: 01 March 2010
... a doubling or tripling of their old-age dependency ratios, as conventionally de¿ ned, by the end of this century. This rise in projected dependency ratios suggests that in the future, there will be fewer workers to sup- port each retired elder, and therefore that taxes and transfers will have...
Journal Article
Demography (1967) 4 (2): 497–514.
Published: 01 June 1967
... there will be about ten children to every old person, and at the end of the century, more than seven. It is estimated that in the more developed regions there will be twenty-five to every one-hundred old persons in 1980, and twenty-two in the year 2000. This shows that heavy old-age dependency will have arisen...
Journal Article
Demography (2015) 52 (2): 355–377.
Published: 26 March 2015
... of individuals living in the municipality. The level of urbanization is approximated by the observed population density, constructed by dividing the number of inhabitants in the municipality by its area (measured in km 2 ). The old-age dependency ratio is calculated as the ratio between the population aged 65...
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Journal Article
Demography (2012) 49 (4): 1307–1333.
Published: 12 July 2012
... of Czechoslovakia in 1993. We also consider the following push and pull factors in sending and receiving countries, respectively: population size, percentage of the population living in urban areas, old-age dependency ratio, change in labor force participation from the prior year, and social expenditures per...
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Journal Article
Demography (1997) 34 (1): 67–81.
Published: 01 February 1997
...%. That is because SSA bundles high fertility with high mortality and low fertility with low mortality in its scenarios to generate a wide range for the old age dependency ratio. In doing so, they generate a range for the total dependency ra- tio that is far too narrow to be probabilistically consistent...
Journal Article
Demography (1993) 30 (2): 209–226.
Published: 01 May 1993
... to the implications of population aging and issues related to individual aging in these regions. The pace of population aging in many Asian nations will be rapid, though not at the level of aging in developed nations. For example, old age dependency ratios (number of persons 65 and older per 100 persons 15 to 64...
Journal Article
Demography (2020) 57 (4): 1345–1368.
Published: 19 May 2020
... countries in Latin America. Mexico’s old-age dependency ratio, 1 while remaining below that of the United States, is expected to nearly triple, from 11.4 to 32.2, between 2015 and 2050; that in the United States is expected to nearly double, from 24.6 to 40.3 (OECD 2017 ). High poverty rates among...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2014) 51 (1): 299–315.
Published: 04 December 2013
... window that first opens and then closes in a predictable way as the old-age dependency ratio starts to increase (UNFPA 2011 ). In contrast to this dominant focus on changing age distributions, recent studies of the effect of changes in age-specific educational attainment showed that indeed improvements...
Journal Article
Demography (2018) 55 (5): 1641–1662.
Published: 03 August 2018
... in times of disaster or sickness and in old age (Cain 1986 ). In the absence of old-age insurance, parents rely exclusively on the male child for support during their elder years. Old-age dependency ratio (65+ per 20–64) of Bangladesh was 9.1 in 2015 and has been growing at an average annual rate of 4.1...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (1992) 29 (4): 595–612.
Published: 01 November 1992
..., for example, to find a pair of populations A and B in which A has a higher mean age, but B has a higher proportion over age 65. First-order stochastic dominance of one age distribution over another guarantees not only a higher mean age in the dominant distribution but also higher old-age dependency ratios...
Journal Article
Demography (1967) 4 (2): 876–893.
Published: 01 June 1967
..., at first sight, inter- national differences in age structure seem to indicate that there exist considerable variations in the severity of the depend- ency load: with dependency defined sim- ply as the ratio of the number of the young and the old to the working-age popula- tion, the coefficient of variation...
Journal Article
Demography (1992) 29 (1): 31–38.
Published: 01 February 1992
...), but the Keyfitz "theorem" regarding guaranteed underestimation holds true. To aggregate tpe two life table subpopulations of dependent and independent persons in a multistate life table, one needs again to introduce a radix ratio for weighting. For example, if it is estimated that about 10% of 70-year-olds...
Journal Article
Demography (2003) 40 (2): 217–245.
Published: 01 May 2003
...-specific relative incidence ratios, J(a,5), for five-year male and female age groups 15 19 to 55 59. The ratios for the 60- to 64 year olds are assumed to be half the ratios for the 55- to 59 year olds, and no incidence is modeled after age 65. The other five standard values so selected are those...
Journal Article
Demography (1980) 17 (4): 345–364.
Published: 01 November 1980
... of familial dependency ratio relating the extreme aged to their young-old chil- dren. The prospective shifts in the age structure of the population suggest that the extent of the problem of familial sup- port of the aged will fluctuate in the fu- ture, reflecting mainly past trends in fer- tility rates...
Journal Article
Demography (1990) 27 (4): 639–652.
Published: 01 November 1990
... service implications. Sauvy (1969) and Clark (1976) estimated that the dependency costs of supporting an individual aged 65 or over are higher than the costs of supporting an individual younger than 18 years old. Clark and Spengler (1980, p. 74) estimated that the public transfer costs to the elderly...
Journal Article
Demography (1990) 27 (3): 457–466.
Published: 01 August 1990
... by the estimated total population at risk over 6 years in the relevant race/ age category. I We estimated for each cause of death the relative odds of mortality for 1. black versus white women 15-19 years old, 2. black versus white women 25-29 years old, 3. black women 25-29 versus 15-19 years old, and 4. white...
Journal Article
Demography (1979) 16 (3): 425–438.
Published: 01 August 1979
... growth may oc- cur with positive saving if technical prog- ress occurs. The Tobin model suggests further, that Demeny's result would re- quire that the weighted sum of age-spe- cific savings rates just equal the weighted sum of age-specific dissaving during youth and old age. There appears...
Journal Article
Demography (1988) 25 (2): 235–247.
Published: 01 May 1988
... W J <{ U U1 U 2 I r- et: <{ C) o J 15-1920-2425-2930--34 35-3940--44 '5-1920-24 25-29 30--34 35-39 40--44 AGE AGE Figure 1. Age-Specific Illegitimacy Ratios and Rates, by Race, United States: 1963 and 1983. risen at all ages and the latter, 15-19 year olds excepted, having declined. Among whites...
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