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in A Bayesian Cohort Component Projection Model to Estimate Women of Reproductive Age at the Subnational Level in Data-Sparse Settings
> Demography
Published: 01 October 2022
Journal Article
On the dependence of age structure on a sequence of mortality and fertility schedules: An exposition of a cyclical model of population change
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Demography (1969) 6 (3): 287–299.
Published: 01 August 1969
... multipliers, k being the number of schedules in the fertility sequence, and the survival rates in the mortality schedule. A numerical illustration of the theory is given using fertility data from Finland. DEMOGRAPHY Volume 6, Number 3 August 1969 ON THE DEPENDENCE OF AGE STRUCTURE ON A SEQUENCE OF MORTALITY...
View articletitled, On the dependence of age structure on a sequence of <span class="search-highlight">mortality</span> and fertility <span class="search-highlight">schedules</span>: An exposition of a cyclical model of population change
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for article titled, On the dependence of age structure on a sequence of <span class="search-highlight">mortality</span> and fertility <span class="search-highlight">schedules</span>: An exposition of a cyclical model of population change
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A General Age-Specific Mortality Model With an Example Indexed by Child Mortality or Both Child and Adult Mortality
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Demography (2019) 56 (3): 1131–1159.
Published: 28 May 2019
...–based mortality modeling framework that satisfies all of those requirements. The SVD-component framework provides a general, flexible way to model any demographic age schedule as a function of covariates or predictors that are related to age-specific variation in the age schedule. Here, the SVD...
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View articletitled, A General Age-Specific <span class="search-highlight">Mortality</span> Model With an Example Indexed by Child <span class="search-highlight">Mortality</span> or Both Child and Adult <span class="search-highlight">Mortality</span>
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for article titled, A General Age-Specific <span class="search-highlight">Mortality</span> Model With an Example Indexed by Child <span class="search-highlight">Mortality</span> or Both Child and Adult <span class="search-highlight">Mortality</span>
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Forecasting Mortality: A Parameterized Time Series Approach
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Demography (1989) 26 (4): 645–660.
Published: 01 November 1989
... to gauge without numerical calculation, but old-age mortality in 1985 fell to considerably lower levels over mortality at the beginning of this century. Univariate ARIMA Models of the Heligman-Pollard Parameters Plots of the model schedule parameters for the entire 1900-1985 period show a sharp change...
Journal Article
Bayesian Estimation of Age-Specific Mortality and Life Expectancy for Small Areas With Defective Vital Records
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Demography (2018) 55 (4): 1363–1388.
Published: 05 July 2018
... 2016 ). In a TOPALS model, the log mortality schedule is a sum of two functions: (1) a constant schedule (called the standard ) that incorporates basic age patterns, and (2) a parametric, piecewise-linear function made up of straight-line segments between designated ages (these ages are called knots...
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View articletitled, Bayesian Estimation of Age-Specific <span class="search-highlight">Mortality</span> and Life Expectancy for Small Areas With Defective Vital Records
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for article titled, Bayesian Estimation of Age-Specific <span class="search-highlight">Mortality</span> and Life Expectancy for Small Areas With Defective Vital Records
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Estimation of vital rates by means of monte carlo simulation
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Demography (1973) 10 (3): 383–403.
Published: 01 August 1973
... was incomplete. Mortality rates were estimated using a simulation program in which mortality was the only stochastic variable. A model mortality schedule was chosen which most accurately reproduced the growth pattern of the population over the 50-year period. To estimate fertility rates, a more complex...
Journal Article
Demography (2022) 59 (1): 321–347.
Published: 01 February 2022
... in predicting a full mortality schedule between ages 0 and 5 on the basis of only one or two parameters. With its larger number of age-groups, the proposed model offers greater flexibility than existing models in terms of both entry parameters and model outcomes. We present applications of this model...
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View articletitled, Modeling Age Patterns of Under-5 <span class="search-highlight">Mortality</span>: Results From a Log-Quadratic Model Applied to High-Quality Vital Registration Data
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for article titled, Modeling Age Patterns of Under-5 <span class="search-highlight">Mortality</span>: Results From a Log-Quadratic Model Applied to High-Quality Vital Registration Data
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Perturbation Analysis of Indices of Lifespan Variability
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Demography (2013) 50 (5): 1615–1640.
Published: 17 September 2013
...Alyson A. van Raalte; Hal Caswell Abstract A number of indices exist to calculate lifespan variation, each with different underlying properties. Here, we present new formulae for the response of seven of these indices to changes in the underlying mortality schedule (life disparity, Gini coefficient...
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View articletitled, Perturbation Analysis of Indices of Lifespan Variability
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for article titled, Perturbation Analysis of Indices of Lifespan Variability
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Age composition in the absence of mortality and in other odd circumstances
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Demography (1973) 10 (4): 537–542.
Published: 01 November 1973
... Population Constant Fertility Negative Exponential Fertility Schedule Mortality Schedule References Coale, Ansley J. 1959. Increases in Expectation of Life and Population Growth. In the Proceedings of the International Union for the Scientific Study of Population, Vienna, 1959. Lotka...
Journal Article
Demography (2022) 59 (5): 1713–1737.
Published: 01 October 2022
...Fig. 2 Mean logit mortality schedule and first two principal components ...
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View articletitled, A Bayesian Cohort Component Projection Model to Estimate Women of Reproductive Age at the Subnational Level in Data-Sparse Settings
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for article titled, A Bayesian Cohort Component Projection Model to Estimate Women of Reproductive Age at the Subnational Level in Data-Sparse Settings
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Immigration and the Stable Population Model
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Demography (1982) 19 (1): 125–133.
Published: 01 February 1982
... fertility and mortality schedules) lead to a stationary population. Neither the level of the net reproduction rate nor the size of the annual immigration affects this conclusion; a stationary population eventually emerges. How this stationary population is created is studied, as is the generational...
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Single-year age group SVD-Comp prediction errors for in-sample and out-of-s...
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in A General Age-Specific Mortality Model With an Example Indexed by Child Mortality or Both Child and Adult Mortality
> Demography
Published: 28 May 2019
Fig. 3 Single-year age group SVD-Comp prediction errors for in-sample and out-of-sample mortality schedules for fifty 50 % samples. Errors are summarized over all in-sample and out-of-sample mortality schedules for the 50 samples. Whiskers extend to 10 % and 90 % quantiles.
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An Evaluation of estimates of underenumeration in the census and the age pattern of mortality, philadelphia, 1880
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Demography (1984) 21 (1): 53–69.
Published: 01 February 1984
...Gretchen A. Condran Abstract The schedule of mortality by age for Philadelphia’s 1880 population classified by sex and race showed aberrations from Coale and Demeny West, South, and North model life tables. Deviations from standard age patterns of mortality were especially pronounced for the black...
View articletitled, An Evaluation of estimates of underenumeration in the census and the age pattern of <span class="search-highlight">mortality</span>, philadelphia, 1880
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for article titled, An Evaluation of estimates of underenumeration in the census and the age pattern of <span class="search-highlight">mortality</span>, philadelphia, 1880
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TOPALS model for males in Amapá state, 2010. Open circles are observed ln( ...
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in Bayesian Estimation of Age-Specific Mortality and Life Expectancy for Small Areas With Defective Vital Records
> Demography
Published: 05 July 2018
Fig. 2 TOPALS model for males in Amapá state, 2010. Open circles are observed ln( R x / N x ) from registered deaths. Smooth dark line is national standard log mortality schedule. Heights of solid dots are maximum likelihood offsets α 0 . . . α 6 . Fitted TOPALS schedule is the sum
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Stable age by region distributions
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Demography (1970) 7 (3): 341–348.
Published: 01 August 1970
.... These fluctuations would become less marked with time, however, and eventually all the proportions would stabilize at certain fixed values. This collection of values may be called a stable age by region composition corresponding to the given schedule of fertility, mortality and migration. The same phenomenon may...
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Example data and principal components of (logged) U.S. state mortality sche...
Available to PurchasePublished: 10 October 2017
Fig. 1 Example data and principal components of (logged) U.S. state mortality schedules: Males, 1980–2010
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A reformulation of the two-sex problem
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Demography (1986) 23 (2): 247–259.
Published: 01 May 1986
... 1986 1986 Eligible Population Nontrivial Equilibrium Mortality Schedule Mating Rule Marriage Model References Arthur W. B. ( 1981 ). Why a population converges to stability . American Mathematical Monthly , 88 , 557 – 563 . 10.2307/2320504 Arthur W. B. ( 1981...
Journal Article
Are Cohort Mortality Rates Autocorrelated?
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Demography (1991) 28 (4): 619–637.
Published: 01 November 1991
... Unobserved Heterogeneity Individual Frailty Mortality Schedule Secular Decline Cohort Mortality References Behrman , Jere R. , Sickles , Robin , & Taubman , Paul ( 1990 ). Age Specific Death Rates with Covariates: Sensitivity to Sample Length and Unobserved Frailty...
Journal Article
District-Level Mortality Convergence in Reunified Germany: Long-Term Trends and Contextual Determinants
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Demography (2023) 60 (1): 303–325.
Published: 01 February 2023
... a mortality schedule shape derived from the combination of the national mortality schedule and the mortality schedules of districts in the same federal state. This shape is implemented as three priors: a hierarchical spatial prior, a normal prior distribution for the differences between TOPALS coefficients...
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View articletitled, District-Level <span class="search-highlight">Mortality</span> Convergence in Reunified Germany: Long-Term Trends and Contextual Determinants
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for article titled, District-Level <span class="search-highlight">Mortality</span> Convergence in Reunified Germany: Long-Term Trends and Contextual Determinants
Includes: Supplementary data
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Median prediction error by sample fraction, with 50 samples for each sample...
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in A General Age-Specific Mortality Model With an Example Indexed by Child Mortality or Both Child and Adult Mortality
> Demography
Published: 28 May 2019
Fig. 4 Median prediction error by sample fraction, with 50 samples for each sample fraction. For each sample, the median is calculated across all ages and all mortality schedules in each sample category (in-sample and out-of-sample). Whiskers extend to 10 % and 90 % quantiles.
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