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Microsimulation Model

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Journal Article
Demography (2012) 49 (1): 175–195.
Published: 19 January 2012
... for female respondents to the 1999 French Etude de l’Histoire Familiale. Model parameters are applied in microsimulations of completed family size. We find that a population of women whose first unions dissolve during the childbearing years will end up with smaller families, on average, than a population...
FIGURES
Journal Article
Demography (1991) 28 (3): 391–409.
Published: 01 August 1991
...Thomas W. Pullum; Douglas A. Wolf Abstract Recent years have seen the development of formal and microsimulation models of the structure and dynamics of kin networks. These models generally assume uncorrelated fertility within and across generations. Several sets of real data, however, show positive...
Journal Article
Demography (2024) 61 (3): 687–710.
Published: 01 June 2024
... the ongoing change in union types ( Bennett 2017 ). Another challenge is the complexity of the interrelationship between fertility and partnership risks. In this context, the microsimulation approach is well-suited. Modeling a fictitious population based on the observed population risks of transitioning...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2007) 44 (4): 687–703.
Published: 01 November 2007
... with complementary strengths will help surmount the many analytic challenges to studying the dynamics of neighborhoods and health, including agent-based microsimulation models. 13 1 2011 © Population Association of America 2007 2007 Local Context Neighborhood Characteristic Neighborhood Effect...
Journal Article
Demography (2020) 57 (6): 2361–2368.
Published: 15 October 2020
... and Parolin acknowledge concerns about measurement error and address them by imputing some income from government programs. Efforts to address underreporting using microsimulation models, however, do not accurately allocate imputed benefits to true recipients. Moreover, recent studies that relied on linked...
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Journal Article
Demography (2022) 59 (1): 137–160.
Published: 01 February 2022
... chain model that includes four household- andunion-formation states and one family-formation state. Transitions between these states depend on parameters estimated from Dutch register data available for the period 1996–2017 and fed into a microsimulation model. To complete the partially observed...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2020) 57 (6): 2377–2381.
Published: 19 November 2020
... income sources. They do adjust for the underreporting of Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program and Temporary Assistance for Needy Families benefits using a microsimulation model, but, as I note in my comment, several studies have shown that adjustments using microsimulation models misallocate imputed...
Journal Article
Demography (2016) 53 (5): 1261–1281.
Published: 16 September 2016
... of these three preconditions that inform the shape of the trajectories in these two phases and scenarios for their likely projection into the third phase requires a formalization of each of the three conditions within a flexible, dynamic model. The microsimulation model enables us to simulate the differing rates...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2023) 60 (5): 1359–1385.
Published: 01 October 2023
... be expanded to other statuses (e.g., race, socioeconomic status, and civil status) if such subpopulation rates are available ( Ruggles 1993 ; Verdery et al. 2020 ). The homogeneity assumption can be partly relaxed in more complex microsimulation models (e.g., introducing intergenerational inheritance...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2019) 56 (4): 1495–1518.
Published: 03 July 2019
..., which has not been examined in prior research using these data. This microsimulation used the Berkeley Socsim model, which is freely available to researchers (Hammel 1976 ; Hammel et al. 1990 ; Socsim 2016 ). Our results reflect population and kinship dynamics for single-race, native-born, non...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2013) 50 (1): 207–228.
Published: 02 October 2012
... from 60 DHS surveys conducted in sub-Saharan Africa corroborates the results of microsimulations. 4 Three different series of the probabilities 45 q 15 are derived from the Poisson regression model detailed earlier. Standard estimates are obtained by excluding own reports and by using only DHS...
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Journal Article
Demography (2012) 49 (4): 1553–1558.
Published: 20 October 2012
... , Martin Spielauer , and Alexia Prskawetz . Union Instability as an Engine of Fertility? A Microsimulation Model for France.........................................................175–195 Thornton , Arland , Georgina Binstock , Kathryn M . Yount , Mohammad Jalal Abbasi - Shavazi , Dirgha...
Journal Article
Demography (1973) 10 (3): 383–403.
Published: 01 August 1973
... . Horvitz , D. G. , Giesbrecht , F. G. , Shah , B. V. , & Lachenbruch , P. A. ( 1971 ). POPSIM, a Demographic Microsimulation Model Monograph 12, Carolina Population Center . Chapel Hill : University of North Carolina Press . MacCluer , Jean W. ( 1967 ). Monte Carlo...
Journal Article
Demography (1989) 26 (2): 185–201.
Published: 01 May 1989
... year. then BF(a. T) = WF (a. T). where the sum is taken over the 60 months making up the usual five-year age groups, so M = 181, 241, ,481. Definitions for the five-year age group measures appear in Table 3; the single-year or single-month analogues are obvious. The Simulation Model A microsimulation...
Journal Article
Demography (2002) 39 (1): 25–41.
Published: 01 February 2002
...:1811 17. Wachter, K.W., D. Blackwell, and E.A. Hammel. 1997. Testing the Validity of Kinship Microsimulation. Journal of Mathematical and Computer Modeling 26:89 104. Williams, A. and G. Tumwekwase. 1999. An Elephant Has to Carry Its Tusks : Grandparents Efforts to Educate Their Grandchildren...
Journal Article
Demography (1982) 19 (2): 161–176.
Published: 01 May 1982
... and processes to entire groups of individ- uals at one time. It is thus a deterministic model describing average relationships or results, based upon a number of si- multaneous differential equations. This approach is more restrictive than de- tailed microsimulation models, but its greater computational...
Journal Article
Demography (2003) 40 (1): 105–126.
Published: 01 February 2003
... and then of subsequent marriage. Using a multiple-destination, multiple-spell hazard regression model and a microsimulation analysis, I analyze the accumulating effects of various economic variables. The results show that the economic resources are indeed important both for premarital childbearing and for subsequent...
Journal Article
Demography (2019) 56 (6): 2063–2082.
Published: 11 November 2019
... life courses from ages 15 to 50 for all cohorts. One thereby obtains simulated family events at older ages for the younger cohorts not yet observed through the older ages. The hazard models can be viewed as an engine that links earlier life course events and statuses to later-life transitions...
FIGURES
Journal Article
Demography (1980) 17 (1): 103–114.
Published: 01 February 1980
... sis- ters to older sisters in order to guess the rate of intrinsic natural increase of a pop- ulation has been offered by Goldman, based on assumptions of stable popu- lation theory, originally derived from fits to model schedules (Goldman, 1977) and later supported by approximation argu- ments...
Journal Article
Demography (1995) 32 (3): 407–424.
Published: 01 August 1995
... these observations make to the estimates. Microsimulation of Lifetime Distributions Given estimates of the model, we wish to draw their implications for the lifetime distribution of female headship. In most demographic applications, standard life table formulas are used for such calculations; those formulas can...