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Microsimulation
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Journal Article
Demography (2022) 59 (1): 137–160.
Published: 01 February 2022
... complete their childbearing histories. In this study, we use microsimulation to project the household and union formation histories of cohorts of Dutch women born between 1971 and 2000. Results suggest that childlessness will actually decrease among cohorts born between 1971 and 1983 and then increase...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2012) 49 (1): 175–195.
Published: 19 January 2012
... for female respondents to the 1999 French Etude de l’Histoire Familiale. Model parameters are applied in microsimulations of completed family size. We find that a population of women whose first unions dissolve during the childbearing years will end up with smaller families, on average, than a population...
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Journal Article
Demography (2019) 56 (4): 1495–1518.
Published: 03 July 2019
..., and about 80 % of white women for the cohorts born in the 1930s and 1940s. Microsimulations are approximations. They ignore many relevant population features (Ruggles 1993 ), which can bias the dispersion of estimates (e.g., how many people have few children compared with many) but does...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2020) 57 (6): 2361–2368.
Published: 15 October 2020
... and Parolin acknowledge concerns about measurement error and address them by imputing some income from government programs. Efforts to address underreporting using microsimulation models, however, do not accurately allocate imputed benefits to true recipients. Moreover, recent studies that relied on linked...
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Journal Article
Demography (2002) 39 (1): 25–41.
Published: 01 February 2002
...Kenneth W. Wachter; John E. Knodel; Mark Vanlandingham Abstract We apply aggregate demographic analysis and computer microsimulation to project the number of older Thais who will lose children to AIDS during their own lifetimes and to assess their involvement with ill children through caregiving...
Journal Article
Demography (2013) 50 (1): 207–228.
Published: 02 October 2012
...–585, 2006 ) of corrections for selection biases. Based on microsimulations, this article shows that Gakidou and King’s weighting scheme has been incorrectly applied to survey data, leading to overestimates of mortality, especially for males. The evidence for an association between mortality...
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Journal Article
Demography (2023) 60 (5): 1359–1385.
Published: 01 October 2023
... the frequencies of different kin types in contemporary populations ( Daw et al. 2016 ). Research on extended family members has focused primarily on the frequency of interactions with kin. The few current efforts to enumerate kin are drawn from survey samples, mathematical demography, and microsimulations...
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Journal Article
Demography (2019) 56 (6): 2063–2082.
Published: 11 November 2019
...Elizabeth Thomson; Maria Winkler-Dworak; Éva Beaujouan Abstract In this study, we investigate through microsimulation the link between cohabiting parenthood and family instability. We identify mechanisms through which increases in cohabiting parenthood may contribute to overall increases...
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Journal Article
Demography (2024) 61 (3): 687–710.
Published: 01 June 2024
...Maria Winkler-Dworak; Maria Pohl; Eva Beaujouan Abstract Fertility rates among individuals in their 20s have fallen sharply across Europe over the past 50 years. The implications of delayed first births for fertility levels in modern family regimes remain little understood. Using microsimulation...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2024) 61 (5): 1403–1426.
Published: 01 October 2024
...) or instrumental activities of daily living (IADLs) but not receiving care. We also estimate variation in care gaps by family structure. Then, we use data from demographic microsimulation to explore the implications of demographic and family changes for the evolution of care gaps. We establish that care gaps...
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Journal Article
Demography (1980) 17 (1): 103–114.
Published: 01 February 1980
...Kenneth W. Wachter Abstract Goldman (1978) has proposed a formula derived from stable population theory for estimating growth rates from certain counts of younger and older sisters in a population. Computer microsimulation outputs show extraordinarily large statistical errors for estimation when...
Journal Article
Demography (2016) 53 (5): 1261–1281.
Published: 16 September 2016
... if changes were made. Sex ratio at birth Fertility decline Son preference Sex-selective abortion Microsimulation Since the 1980s and 1990s, several countries in Asia and the Caucasus have witnessed a rise in the proportion of male births compared with female births, conventionally expressed...
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Journal Article
Cohort Trends in the Lifetime Distribution of Female Family Headship in the United States, 1968–1985
Demography (1995) 32 (3): 407–424.
Published: 01 August 1995
... since the previous transition (duration dependence) and, for entry into headship, whether the woman previously has been a family head (occurrence dependence). Second, we use Monte Carlo microsimulation techniques in place of life table algorithms in order to generate a broader set of distributional...
Journal Article
Demography (2020) 57 (6): 2377–2381.
Published: 19 November 2020
... income sources. They do adjust for the underreporting of Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program and Temporary Assistance for Needy Families benefits using a microsimulation model, but, as I note in my comment, several studies have shown that adjustments using microsimulation models misallocate imputed...
Journal Article
Demography (2022) 59 (2): 629–652.
Published: 01 April 2022
... tested models including a sex × SES interaction; because the coefficients were not significant at α < .05, we removed this interaction in favor of the simpler model. To generate estimates of total LE and disability-free LE, we relied on microsimulation, a well-established tool in demographic...
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Journal Article
Demography (1984) 21 (1): 41–51.
Published: 01 February 1984
... Kinship Relationships.” . Theoretical Population Biology , 8 , 376 – 381 . 10.1016/0040-5809(75)90053-2 Hammel E. A. , Hutchinson D. , Wachter K. W. , Lundy R. , & Deuel R. ( 1976 ). SOCSIM: A Demographic-sociological Microsimulation Program . Berkeley : Institute...
Journal Article
Demography (2007) 44 (4): 687–703.
Published: 01 November 2007
... with complementary strengths will help surmount the many analytic challenges to studying the dynamics of neighborhoods and health, including agent-based microsimulation models. 13 1 2011 © Population Association of America 2007 2007 Local Context Neighborhood Characteristic Neighborhood Effect...
Journal Article
Demography (2003) 40 (1): 105–126.
Published: 01 February 2003
... and then of subsequent marriage. Using a multiple-destination, multiple-spell hazard regression model and a microsimulation analysis, I analyze the accumulating effects of various economic variables. The results show that the economic resources are indeed important both for premarital childbearing and for subsequent...
Journal Article
Demography (1991) 28 (3): 391–409.
Published: 01 August 1991
...Thomas W. Pullum; Douglas A. Wolf Abstract Recent years have seen the development of formal and microsimulation models of the structure and dynamics of kin networks. These models generally assume uncorrelated fertility within and across generations. Several sets of real data, however, show positive...
Journal Article
Demography (2013) 50 (2): 521–544.
Published: 18 November 2012
... negatives). Second, those reporting are a selected sample of those who ever experience the problem, and this selection is heavily influenced by excess mortality attributable to the condition being reported. In this article, we use a combination of empirical data and microsimulation to (a) assess...
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