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Markov Chain Model

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Journal Article
Demography (1971) 8 (4): 441–450.
Published: 01 November 1971
... by a birth. Our constant forces of transition should thus be regarded as averages. Furthermore, we have disregarded the possibility of multiple births. For a more extensive study of Markov chain models of fertility, see Jan Hoem (1969). ACKNOWLEDGMENTS I am grateful to my colleagues in the Socio-Demographic...
Journal Article
Demography (1979) 16 (1): 103–119.
Published: 01 February 1979
... of the causes of these patterns and their change is an important area for demographic research. 30 12 2010 © Population Association of America 1979 1979 Birth Interval Fetal Loss Markov Chain Model Seasonal Migration Conception Rate References Bongaarts, John, and Robert J. Potter...
Journal Article
Demography (2009) 46 (2): 371–386.
Published: 01 May 2009
... based on embedded Markov chains has received growing use. We assessed the performance of both approaches, using as a criterion their ability to reproduce the parameters of a “true” model based on panel data collected at one-month intervals. Neither of the widely used approaches performs particularly...
Journal Article
Demography (1994) 31 (2): 297–319.
Published: 01 May 1994
.... 39 – 88 ). New York : Academic Press . Hayward M.D. , & Grady W.R. ( 1990 ). “Work and Retirement among a Cohort of Older Men in the United States, 1966–1983.” . Demography , 27 , 337 – 56 . 10.2307/2061372 Hoem J.M. ( 1977 ). “A Markov Chain Model of Working...
Journal Article
Demography (2011) 48 (3): 815–839.
Published: 12 July 2011
... from United Nations estimates of past TFR in all countries using a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm. The post-transition low fertility phase is modeled using an autoregressive model, in which long-term TFR projections converge toward and oscillate around replacement level. The method is evaluated...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (1986) 23 (3): 381–402.
Published: 01 August 1986
.... , & Fong , M. ( 1976 ). A Markov chain model of working life tables . Denmark : University of Copenhagen, Laboratory of Actuarial Mathematics . Janowitz , M. ( 1978 ). The Last Half-Century: Societal Change and Politics in America . Chicago : The University of Chicago Press . Land...
Journal Article
Demography (2014) 51 (5): 1933–1954.
Published: 15 August 2014
... on a mixture model, within the so-called Supra-Bayesian approach, according to which expert evaluations are treated as data. The derived posterior distribution for the demographic indicators of interest is used as forecasting distribution, and a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm is designed to approximate...
FIGURES
Journal Article
Demography (1980) 17 (3): 297–322.
Published: 01 August 1980
... J. J. ( 1976 ). Length of Working Life for Men and Women, 1970 . Monthly Labor Review , 99 , 31 – 35 . Garfinkle S. ( 1963 ). Table of Working Life for Men, 1960 . Monthly Labor Review , 86 , 820 – 823 . Hoem, Jan M. 1977. A Markov Chain Model of Working Life Tables...
Journal Article
Demography (2017) 54 (6): 2101–2123.
Published: 10 October 2017
... , 946 – 955 . 10.1093/ije/dyv062 Hoem J. M. ( 1977 ). A Markov chain model of working life tables . Scandinavian Actuarial Journal , 1977 , 1 – 20 . 10.1080/03461238.1977.10405621 HRS . ( 2001 ). Sampling weights: Revised for Tracker 2.0 and beyond . Retrieved from http...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (1966) 3 (1): 19–34.
Published: 01 March 1966
... obey the rules of stochastic processes, especially the very special kind of stochastic process known as a first-order Markov chain. In a well- balanced statement, informed by the knowledge that most workers do not ex- perience a lifetime career "because most work situations do not afford the neces...
Journal Article
Demography (1965) 2 (1): 134–139.
Published: 01 March 1965
...- men, Kogan, and McCarthy2 to examine the movement of workers between indus- tries; and by Berger and Snell" in both illustrative intercity population move- ments and intergenerational social mobil- ity. This paper employs the theory of Markov chains in constructing a proba- bilistic migration model...
Journal Article
Demography (2013) 50 (3): 881–902.
Published: 21 February 2013
.../DemRes.2010.22.6 Cole , B. F. , Bonetti , M. , Zaslavsky , A. M. , & Gelber , R. D. ( 2005 ). A multistate Markov chain model for longitudinal quality-of-life data subject to non-ignorable missingness . Statistics in Medicine , 24 , 2317 – 2334 . 10.1002/sim.2122...
FIGURES
Journal Article
Demography (1975) 12 (4): 661.
Published: 01 November 1975
...Jan M. Hoem 13 1 2011 © Population Association of America 1975 1975 Markov Chain Life Table Fertility Model Probabilistic Fertility Finite State Space References Du Pasquier L. Gustav ( 1912 ). Mathematische Theorie der Invaliditatsversicherung . Mitteil...
Journal Article
Demography (1988) 25 (3): 371–386.
Published: 01 August 1988
... , 644 – 666 . 10.2307/2578817 Hoem , J. ( 1977 ). A Markov chain model of working life tables . Scandinavian Actuarial Journal , 1 , 1 – 20 . Kaufman , R. L. , & Spilerrnan , S. ( 1982 ). The age structures of occupations and jobs . American Journal of Sociology...
Journal Article
Demography (1983) 20 (4): 491–506.
Published: 01 November 1983
... Unmarried Women sensual union or not. A member of either group can marry or move to the other group at any time, and for the moment we do not recognise other transitions, as indicated in Figure 1. We describe these statuses (states) and the transitions be- tween them by means of a Markov chain model...
Journal Article
Demography (1990) 27 (3): 337–356.
Published: 01 August 1990
... . 10.1093/geronj/43.6.S194 Hayward M. D. , Hardy M. A. , & Grady W. R. ( 1989 ). Labor Force Withdrawal Patterns Among Older Men in the United States . Social Science Quarterly , 70 , 425 – 448 Hoem J. ( 1977 ). A Markov Chain Model of Working Life Tables...
Journal Article
Demography (2013) 50 (5): 1615–1640.
Published: 17 September 2013
... models: Construction, analysis, and interpretation . 2 Sinauer : Sunderland . Caswell H. ( 2006 ). MAM2006: Markov anniversary meeting, chap. Applications of Markov chains in demography (pp. 319 – 334 ). Raleigh : Boson Books . Caswell H. ( 2007 ). Sensitivity analysis...
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Journal Article
Demography (2001) 38 (1): 79–95.
Published: 01 February 2001
..., and that these trends vary substantially across genders, although male and female mortality patterns appear to be converging to some extent. 14 1 2011 © Population Association of America 2001 2001 Markov Chain Monte Carlo Inflection Point Mortality Pattern Development Review Mortality Curve...
Journal Article
Demography (2023) 60 (5): 1441–1468.
Published: 01 October 2023
... the population burden of the co-occurrence of cognitive impairment and ADL limitations (henceforth, co-impairment ), and it contributes to population health research in three key ways. First, using incidence-based, discrete-time Markov chain multistate models and data from the Health and Retirement Study...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (1986) 23 (1): 91–104.
Published: 01 February 1986
... a fundamental requirement of both Markov chain analysis and much of multiregional mathematical demography. Because so much attention in migration research now focuses on systemic evolution, however, it is of interest to seek alternative methods that explicitly allow for the modeling of matrix change...