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Li-Lee methodology

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Journal Article
Demography (2013) 50 (4): 1341–1362.
Published: 17 January 2013
... projections of life expectancy at birth ( e 0 ) for the Netherlands up to 2040 are affected by the application of these components. All-cause mortality and non-smoking-related mortality for the years 1970–2006 are projected by the Lee-Carter and Li-Lee methodologies. Smoking-related mortality is projected...
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Journal Article
Demography (1984) 21 (3): 423–429.
Published: 01 August 1984
...) Sloane and Lee assert that the "errors" they note are due to our methodological approach to the analysis. In this paper we reassert the accuracy of the observations made in our original paper. Concerning the effects of initial parity and education on the comparison between expectations and behavior, we...
Journal Article
Demography (2017) 54 (4): 1559–1577.
Published: 05 July 2017
... Figure 2 displays the average lifespan, e 0 , and the average number of life years lost, e 0 † , for women in Italy, Japan, and Denmark. The observed data are in black, and the forecasted data are in red (Lee-Carter model), green (rotating variant proposed by Li et al. 2013 ), and blue...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2013) 50 (3): 777–801.
Published: 15 March 2013
... model with constant drift. The Lee-Carter method has been found to perform well for some developed countries (Bell 1997 ; Booth et al. 2005 ). In simultaneous forecasts for a group of countries, a common age parameter is fixed to ensure consistent forecasts of multiple countries (Li and Lee 2005...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2021) 58 (5): 1715–1735.
Published: 01 October 2021
... ; Lee et al. 2014 ) and has been linked to higher mortality for parents, particularly for mothers ( Li et al. 2003 ; Rostila et al. 2012 ). Offspring mortality also affects the availability of social, emotional, and financial support in the family ( Umberson et al. 2017 ; Verdery and Margolis 2017...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2017) 54 (4): 1353–1373.
Published: 05 July 2017
..., such as their educational attainment. More recent studies in other contexts have confirmed such relationships in developing countries such as China (Li et al. 2008 ; Rosenzweig and Zhang 2009 ), South Korea (Lee 2008 ), and Costa Rica (Li et al. 2014 ). However, several other recent studies in wealthier countries have...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2005) 42 (1): 23–49.
Published: 01 February 2005
... for the G7 countries by Tuljapurkar, Li, and Boe (2000) also used this method. On the basis of the recommenda- tions of an expert group, the United Nations Population Division has prepared its long- range projections to 2300 for all countries in the world with a variant of the Lee-Carter model (United...
Journal Article
Demography (2001) 38 (4): 537–549.
Published: 01 November 2001
.... Tuljapurkar , S. , Li , N. , & Boe , C. ( 2000 ). A Universal Pattern of Mortality Decline in the G-7 Countries . Nature , 405 , 789 – 92 . 10.1038/35015561 Wilmoth , J.R. ( 1993 ). Computational Methods for Fitting and Extrapolating the Lee-Carter Model of Mortality Change...
Journal Article
Demography (2001) 38 (2): 215–226.
Published: 01 May 2001
.... ( 1994 ). Reductions in Mortality at Advanced Ages: Several Decades of Evidence From 27 Countries . Population and Development Review , 20 , 793 – 810 . 10.2307/2137662 Lee , R.D. ( 1994 ). Fertility, Mortality, and Intergenerational Transfers: Comparisons Across Steady States . In J...
Journal Article
Demography (2013) 50 (6): 2037–2051.
Published: 01 August 2013
...Nan Li; Ronald Lee; Patrick Gerland Abstract In developed countries, mortality decline is decelerating at younger ages and accelerating at old ages, a phenomenon we call “rotation.” We expect that this rotation will also occur in developing countries as they attain high life expectancies...
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Journal Article
Demography (2013) 50 (3): 1105–1128.
Published: 29 November 2012
...John R. B. Palmer; Thomas J. Espenshade; Frederic Bartumeus; Chang Y. Chung; Necati Ercan Ozgencil; Kathleen Li Abstract This article explores new methods for gathering and analyzing spatially rich demographic data using mobile phones. It describes a pilot study (the Human Mobility Project...
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Journal Article
Demography (1993) 30 (4): 507–518.
Published: 01 November 1993
... Aggregate Changes in Characteristics of the Elderly . Asian and Pacific Population Forum , 6 ( 2 ), 35 – 42 . Hennalin, Albert I., Mary Beth Ofstedal, and Li Chi. 1992. “Kin Availability of the Elderly in Taiwan: Who Is Available and Where Are They?” Population Studies Center, University of Michigan...
Journal Article
Demography (1976) 13 (4): 541–564.
Published: 01 November 1976
... of Survival and Extent of Disease in Multidimensional Contingency Tables . Journal of the American Statistical Association , 67 , 783 – 796 . 10.2307/2284638 Lee , L. , & Thompson , W. A. ( 1974 ). Results on Failure Time and Patterns for the Series System . In Frank Proschan...
Journal Article
Demography (2011) 48 (3): 815–839.
Published: 12 July 2011
... countries with low fertility. Lee ( 1993 ) and Lee and Tuljapurkar ( 1994 ) proposed a time series approach, based on the probabilistic mortality projection method of Lee and Carter ( 1992 ), for decomposing and projecting fertility in the United States. Lutz et al. ( 2001 ) developed methods based...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2022) 59 (3): 995–1022.
Published: 01 June 2022
... Methodology , 42 , 206 – 256 . Mouw T. , Verdery A. M. , Merli G. , Li G. , & Shen J. ( 2014 , May ). Sampling a hidden population without a sampling frame: A practical application of network sampling with memory . Paper presented at the annual meeting...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2010) 47 (1): 67–78.
Published: 01 February 2010
... . 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2005.06.008 Lee R.D. , & Carter L.R. ( 1992 ). Modeling and Forecasting U.S. Mortality . Journal of the American Statistical Association , 87 , 659 – 75 . 10.2307/2290201 Li N. , & Lee R. ( 2005 ). Coherent Mortality Forecasts for a Group...
Journal Article
Demography (1977) 14 (4): 539–548.
Published: 01 November 1977
...D. E. C. Eversley 16 1 2011 © Population Association of America 1977 1977 References Ronald Demos Lee ( 1977 ). Population Patterns In The Past (pp. 416 – 416 ). New York and London : Academic Press . Chambers, J. D. 1957. The Vale of Trent, 1670–1800...
Journal Article
Demography (1987) 24 (4): 481–496.
Published: 01 November 1987
...Mark R. Montgomery 12 1 2011 © Population Association of America 1987 1987 Survival Probability Forecast Error Demand Equation Ideal Family Size Cumulative Fertility References R. Bulatao , & R. Lee ( 1983 ). Determinants of Fertility in Developing...
Journal Article
Demography (1967) 4 (1): 310–330.
Published: 01 March 1967
... See, for example, Siegel and Hamilton, op. cit, Everett S. Lee, "Migration Estimates," in Everett S. Lee et al., Population Redistribution and Economic Growth, United States, 1870-1950, Vol. I: Methodological Considerations and Refer- ence Tables (Philadelphia: American Philo- sophical Society, 1957...
Journal Article
Demography (2013) 50 (2): 673–697.
Published: 27 October 2012
... in the forecasts of transition rates (Li and Lee 2005 ). 1 Online Resource 1 provides detailed descriptions of the quantities obtainable in an MSLT and information about how transition rates are converted into one-year transition probabilities. References Akushevich , I. , Kravchenko...
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Includes: Supplementary data