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Historical Time Series

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Journal Article
Demography (1993) 30 (3): 425–441.
Published: 01 August 1993
...Frans van Poppel; Joop de Beer Abstract This article discusses different procedures for measuring the effects of judicial changes on divorce rates. It presents an alternative model and applies it to a historical time series for the Netherlands. In this model, intervention variables were added...
Journal Article
Demography (2020) 57 (3): 1171–1192.
Published: 09 June 2020
...Miikka Voutilainen; Jouni Helske; Harri Högmander Abstract This article provides a novel method for estimating historical population development. We review the previous literature on historical population time-series estimates and propose a general outline to address the well-known methodological...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (1983) 20 (2): 197–212.
Published: 01 May 1983
...Toni Richards Abstract This paper analyzes short-run fluctuations in national time series of vital events for France in the period 1740 to 1909. Fertility, mortality, and nuptiality form a simultaneous system which interacts with economic and meteorological conditions. In the short run...
Journal Article
Demography (2001) 38 (1): 97–114.
Published: 01 February 2001
... and middle age since the 1950s have led to exceptionally high ratios of male to female mortality at these ages. Corrections for census undercounts lead to higher values of life expectancy than in official life tables, but to less improvement over time. Official estimates of life expectancy at age 65 appear...
Journal Article
Demography (1984) 21 (4): 673–677.
Published: 01 November 1984
...Timothy D. Hogan Abstract Using intervention analysis—a time-series technique gaining increasing use for analyzing the impacts of policy decisions/historic events—this paper reexamines the hypothesis offered by Rindfuss et al., that one consequence of the Brown vs. Board of Education decision...
Journal Article
Demography (2021) 58 (5): 2009–2017.
Published: 01 October 2021
... on time series 7 to 16 years long and have pooled children of different ethnoracial groups ( Paxson and Waldfogel 2002 , 2003 ; Swann and Sylvester 2006 ). This study significantly expands the historical scope and demographic detail of previously available longitudinal data on U.S. children in foster...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2003) 40 (3): 499–519.
Published: 01 August 2003
... Time Series of Living Arrangements of Children, Table CH-1. Available on-line at httpwww.census.gov/population/socdemo/ms-la/tabch-1.txt 1999b. Living Arrangements of Black Children Under 18 Years Old: 1960 to Present. Internet Historical Time Series of Living Arrangements of Children, Table CH-3...
Journal Article
Demography (1999) 36 (3): 409–414.
Published: 01 August 1999
.... "Historical Time Series Tables." Population Paper Listing 90. Available on-line at http www.census.gov/population/socdemog/ms-la.html. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Dis- ease Control and Prevention. 1995. "Change in Marriage and Divorce Data Available from the National Center...
Journal Article
Demography (2001) 38 (4): 537–549.
Published: 01 November 2001
... on the historical data for Norway, selected the same model from a larger set of possibilities. The strategy is to estimate this model on the historical data for the population in question, obtaining values for ax, bx, and kt. The values of kt form a time series, with one value for each year of data. Standard...
Journal Article
Demography (2020) 57 (5): 1881–1902.
Published: 10 September 2020
... . ( 2018 ). Poverty thresholds [Resource document]. Retrieved from https://www.census.gov/data/tables/time-series/demo/income-poverty/historical-poverty-thresholds.html U.S. Census Bureau . ( 2019 ). CPS historical time series tables . Retrieved from https://www.census.gov/data/tables/time-series...
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Journal Article
Demography (2013) 50 (1): 311–332.
Published: 20 September 2012
... of living. 3 The demographic series used in this article is directly taken from Galloway's reconstruction of the Northern Italian population. 4 Like with all historical time series, the need to assess its accuracy is paramount. The area chosen by Galloway ( 1994a ), and throughout the article...
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Journal Article
Demography (1966) 3 (2): 305–318.
Published: 01 June 1966
... of about ten years, the pro- grams decompose historical time series into their various components, providing information on the movements of the seasonal pattern over the years and on intrayear turning points in the trend of the series. Quantitative data are also generated on the magnitude of the com...
Journal Article
Demography (1989) 26 (4): 645–660.
Published: 01 November 1989
... from the results reported in Table 1. The additional data resulted in estimated parameters with smaller standard errors, but otherwise the estimates and the model diagnostics remain qualitatively unchanged. In Figure 2 the historical time series for the male and female parameters are extended from 1986...
Journal Article
Demography (1986) 23 (1): 105–126.
Published: 01 February 1986
.... They apply where the model's underlying assumptions are consistent with historical time-series of appropriate data, or where, in the absence of appropri- ate historical data, the underlying assumptions may be presumed relevant, pending data to the contrary. As Stoto (1983) has pointed out, demographers have...
Journal Article
Demography (2011) 48 (2): 507–530.
Published: 21 April 2011
... data and Ingrid Henriksen, Mette Bjarnholt, and Mette Erjnaes for help with the Danish historical time series data. Most of this project was carried out while van den Berg was at VU University Amsterdam. 1 Surveys and meta-studies of the epidemiological and medical evidence of associations...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (1990) 27 (3): 397–411.
Published: 01 August 1990
... Sample Survey in Birth Rate , 72–75. Koopmans L. H. ( 1974 ). The Spectral Analysis of Time Series . New York : Academic Press Lam, D. A., & Miron, J. A. (1987). “Seasonality of Births in Historical Populations.” Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Population Association...
Journal Article
Demography (2014) 51 (5): 1755–1773.
Published: 03 October 2014
... of variance in historical mortality rates, which is in line with the previous literature. In this section, we examine the time series properties of the latent factor in the Lee-Carter model and the GDP process, with a focus on the long-run relationship between the two series. We start with testing...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2024) 61 (3): 615–626.
Published: 01 June 2024
... errors at each age accumulate and can result in deviations in aggregate results. Table A2 (in online Appendix 3 ) shows that using shorter time series of historical information leads to the r -past term increasing in explanatory power, while using longer time series leads to an increase...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (1984) 21 (3): 271–295.
Published: 01 August 1984
.... Spectral analysis of the prevaccination time series of smallpox deaths demonstrates a strong seven-year periodicity, reflecting the amount of time necessary to build up a cohort of nonimmune individuals. After the introduction of vaccination, the periodicity changes to eight years. The probability...
Journal Article
Demography (1984) 21 (4): 679–682.
Published: 01 November 1984
... (no intervention) model. In the second, he tests whether an intervention model will help explain that part of the fertility series not explained by the first-step model. He does not test whether the time series model is stable over the entire period. We certainly doubt that it is stable over the period ending...