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Generational power transitions

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Journal Article
Demography (2024) 61 (5): 1427–1454.
Published: 01 October 2024
... than among groups with weaker shifts. Corresponding author: [email protected] Copyright © 2024 The Authors 2024 Freely available online through the Demography open access option. Syrian refugees Forced migration Arranged marriage Generational power transitions Turkey...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2003) 40 (4): 621–635.
Published: 01 November 2003
... values that closely agree with the results of popula- tion projections. The QH model can examine monotonic transitions between any two sets of constant vital rates. As a generalization of the fixed-rate stable model, it has great potential value in numer- ous areas of demographic analysis. opulation...
Journal Article
Demography (1975) 12 (2): 351–360.
Published: 01 May 1975
..., and these alternatives should have more powerful premise sets. On the other hand, if many generally known versions of Transition Theory do fit within our ver- sion, then indeed our tests apply either mutatis mutandis or a fortiori. And again we will not have dismissed too much to gain generality. Do the premises...
Journal Article
Demography (1974) 11 (2): 215–225.
Published: 01 May 1974
... ). The Decline of Fertility: Innovation or Adjustment Process . Population Studies , 20 , 149 – 174 . 10.2307/2172980 Cowgill Donald O ( 1963 ). Transition Theory as General Population Theory . Social Forces , 41 , 270 – 274 . 10.2307/2573170 Davis Kingsley ( 1963 ). The Theory...
Journal Article
Demography (1975) 12 (2): 343–349.
Published: 01 May 1975
... of successive demographic changes framed in Transition Theory's terms must be based upon intui- tion rather than Transition Theory's pre- dictive power. For, as we will prove, that Theory is incapable of producing the in- ference that stage three will follow stage two, or for that matter, that any stage...
Journal Article
Demography (2001) 38 (4): 449–465.
Published: 01 November 2001
..., and the conclusions of generations of social scientists created a package of ideas—developmental idealism—that subsequently became a powerful influence for family change in many parts of the world during the past two centuries. This developmental idealism has been a substantial force for changing living arrangements...
Journal Article
Demography (2023) 60 (2): 493–516.
Published: 01 April 2023
... 617,086 617,086 617,086 617,086 R 2 .040 .037 .186 .271 .276 .409 Adjusted R 2 .040 .037 .186 .268 .273 .283 Notes: Training data (50%) are used to generate fertility scores. Set-aside test data (50%) are used to check the predictive power of scores. Analysis...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2023) 60 (5): 1523–1547.
Published: 01 October 2023
... the education PGI and educational transitions in the United States, though this may be due to imprecision from a smaller sample size or less predictive earlier-generation PGI. The PGI in our study predicted the choice of academic track more strongly than more practically oriented tracks (vocational or lower...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (1994) 31 (2): 297–319.
Published: 01 May 1994
..., there may be "sample ones," or younger age groups for which the mortality transition rates are computed as 1.0, so that everyone is "killed off" at too young an age relative to the mortality schedule of the general population. This situation wreaks havoc on the representativeness of the resulting life table...
Journal Article
Demography (2014) 51 (6): 2127–2154.
Published: 31 October 2014
... ; Powers and Hsueh 1997 ). In these studies, it is generally unclear both whether the sibling effect extends to the entire family-formation process or only to specific transitions, and how important shared parental background is relative to mutual sibling influence. This article aims to extend prior...
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Journal Article
Demography (2010) 47 (4): 923–934.
Published: 01 November 2010
..., and marital histories. Our results indicate that cross-sibling influences are relatively strong for the respondents’ first births but weak for the second parity transition. 27 1 2011 © Population Association of America 2010 2010 Sibling Pair Fertility Behavior Fertility Decision...
Journal Article
Demography (2021) 58 (4): 1575–1602.
Published: 01 August 2021
... intertwined with the production of social inequalities and their reproduction across generations (e.g., McLanahan and Percheski 2008 ). Three theoretical narratives have been applied when studying the complexity of family events and transitions within individual life courses (see Van Winkle 2018...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2010) 47 (4): 963–987.
Published: 01 November 2010
.... , & Logan J.R. ( 1996 ). Market Transition and the Persistence of Power: The Changing Stratification System in Urban China . American Sociological Review , 61 , 739 – 58 . 10.2307/2096451 Buzar S. , Ogden P.E. , & Hall R. ( 2005 ). Households Matter: The Quiet Demography...
Journal Article
Demography (2003) 40 (4): 589–603.
Published: 01 November 2003
... and egalitar- ian societies. ike many demographers of my generation, I was attracted to demography by The Population Bomb (Ehrlich 1974), The Limits to Growth (Meadows et al. 1974) and The Tragedy of the Commons (Hardin 1968), the neo-Malthusian classics. The crisis was high fertility and the resulting rapid...
Journal Article
Demography (2020) 57 (2): 779–797.
Published: 24 March 2020
...-sections of March CPS data. Their transition matrix, raised to the power 2.5 to convert the two-year interval to a five-year interval, was used as the base matrix from which the cross-product ratios were calculated. The same base matrix was used at every age. Mortality data come from the 2012 U.S. life...
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2014) 51 (2): 413–435.
Published: 27 November 2013
... multivariate hazard models using PROC LIFEREG in SAS 9.3, which assume that the variation in transition times between states within an exposure interval can be described by an exponential survival distribution (i.e., the risk was constant within the age interval). The general form of the hazard models...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2018) 55 (6): 2161–2180.
Published: 08 October 2018
...Henry Hyatt; Erika McEntarfer; Ken Ueda; Alexandria Zhang Abstract Declines in migration across labor markets have prompted concerns that the U.S. economy is becoming less dynamic. In this study, we examine the relationship between residential migration and employer-to-employer transitions...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2004) 41 (4): 607–627.
Published: 01 November 2004
... the bargaining power of women who wanted to marry and have children. The changes in bargaining power were reinforced by changes in social norms about the acceptability of single motherhood and women s right to an abortion, which increased women s control over fertility and children more generally. The third...
Journal Article
Demography (2012) 49 (4): 1259–1283.
Published: 10 October 2012
... of the other clusters. The challenge of feasible input data requirements is met by including parameter calculation routines, which use marginal population data to estimate the transitions between states. As an illustration, we present the recently developed model DYNAMO-HIA ( DYNA MIC MO DEL for H ealth I...
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Journal Article
Demography (2002) 39 (1): 65–73.
Published: 01 February 2002
.... Gradual transitions result from variations in the slope of this frontier. This framework can be used to reproduce and understand previous studies of population momentum and gradual transitions. n an influential article, Keyfitz (1971) presented a simple, yet powerful scenario for illustrating...