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Ecological Fallacy
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Journal Article
Demography (1983) 20 (4): 535–540.
Published: 01 November 1983
... probability of a child surviving to a given age of a parent. The possibility of committing the ecological fallacy makes precise prediction difficult. We critically analyze an existing mathematical model of family fertility decisions. We show that, by incorporating more data (here, on birth order) in a more...
Journal Article
Demography (1985) 22 (4): 635–637.
Published: 01 November 1985
...R. E. Rickson; J. -Y. Parlange; M. J. Guilfoyle 9 1 2011 © Population Association of America 1985 1985 Mortality Level Respective Control Group Ecological Fallacy Ecological Correlation Family Fertility References Gove W. R. , & Hughes M. ( 1980...
Journal Article
Demography (1985) 22 (4): 633–634.
Published: 01 November 1985
... Department of Sociology, Bharathiar University, Coimbatore 641 046 Tamilnadu, India P. M. Kulkarni Institute for Social and Economic Change, Nagarbhavi, Bangalore 560 072 Karnataka, India Parlange, Guilfoyle and Rickson (1983), in attempting to highlight the problem of ecological fallacy in the estimation...
Journal Article
Demography (2018) 55 (5): 1727–1748.
Published: 06 August 2018
... rates of 19-year-olds) in a fixed-effects framework, but it is vulnerable to ecological fallacy. We address this threat of misidentification with several robustness checks, a time-lag design, and corroborating analyses of foreclosure at the household level using data from the PSID, NLSY79, and the AHS...
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (1982) 19 (4): 481–494.
Published: 01 November 1982
...
Freedman Ronald ( 1979 ). Theories of Fertility Decline: A Reappraisal . Social Forces , 58 , 1 – 17 . 10.2307/2577781
Gove Walter R. , & Hughes Michael ( 1980 ). Reexamining the Ecological Fallacy: A Study in Which Aggregate Data Are Critical in Investigating...
Journal Article
Factors Associated With Temporal and Spatial Patterns in Suicide Rates Across U.S. States, 1976–2000
Demography (2013) 50 (2): 591–614.
Published: 30 November 2012
.... ( 1996 ). A test of Durkheim’s theory of suicide—Without committing the “ecological fallacy. . American Sociological Review , 61 , 500 – 507 . 10.2307/2096361 Van Tubergen , F. , teGrotenhuis , M. , & Ultee , W. ( 2005 ). Denomination, religious context, and suicide: Neo...
FIGURES
Journal Article
Demography (1987) 24 (4): 531–551.
Published: 01 November 1987
...Dudley L. Poston, Jr.; Baochang Gu 12 1 2011 © Population Association of America 1987 1987 Family Planning Total Fertility Rate Development Index Socioeconomic Development Fertility Decline References Alker , H. R. ( 1969 ). A typology of ecological fallacies...
Journal Article
Demography (2015) 52 (2): 543–567.
Published: 24 March 2015
... Second generation Ecological fallacy The initial members of the “new” immigration wave following the U.S. Immigration and Nationality Act of 1965 have now settled, and their U.S.-born children have come of age. Although the distribution of immigrants in terms of human capital is bimodal...
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Journal Article
Demography (1974) 11 (3): 407–421.
Published: 01 August 1974
... is in terms of individual behavior, the data available to test the theory are aggregate data for the states. This dis- crepancy gives rise to what economists call the aggregation problem (Bridge, 1971, p. 348) or sociologists refer to as the ecological fallacy (Robinson, 1950). One limitation of the grouped...
Journal Article
Demography (2012) 49 (4): 1407–1432.
Published: 29 September 2012
... who infer aggregate transition effects from micro-level studies risk both a historical and an ecological fallacy. The first fallacy arises when drawing historical conclusions from cross-sectional evidence (Thornton 2001 ). The second might occur when using micro-level evidence to infer national...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (1997) 34 (1): 17–30.
Published: 01 February 1997
... of the paper is the need for demographers to acquire a heightened awareness of new developments in biology including areas such as evolutionary ecology, experimental demography, and molecular medicine. 9 1 2011 © Population Association of America 1997 1997 Gompertz Model Female Mortality...
Journal Article
Demography (1993) 30 (2): 243–268.
Published: 01 May 1993
... this analysis and most previous studies is that we estimate models for individuals rather than for ecological areas. As Massey et al. (1987, p. 34) acknowledge, using census tracts as units of analysis "raises the issue of the ecological fallacy, since the model is conceptualized at the individual level...
Journal Article
Demography (2007) 44 (4): 705–728.
Published: 01 November 2007
... 36) stressed, the main conceptual and statistical problem of these studies is the ecological fallacy. If two variables are affected by seasonality, it is always possible to nd a statistical association between their seasonal distributions. Consequently, it is very dif cult to distinguish...
Journal Article
Demography (1971) 8 (2): 233–245.
Published: 01 May 1971
.... Such a coefficient suggests that workers in man- ufacturing live in urban areas, which is indicative of a concentration of the labor force. However, if the association entails the fallacy of so-called "ecological corre- lations," then the individuals engaged in manufacturing could be predominately rural residents...
Journal Article
Demography (2000) 37 (4): 449–459.
Published: 01 November 2000
...: A Geographical Perspective on the ‘Underclass’ Fallacy . Economic Geography , 65 , 187 – 94 . 10.2307/143834 Hulchanski, J.D. 1997. “Immigrants and Access to Housing: How Welcome Are Newcomers to Canada?” Presented at the Metropolis Year II Conference, November 23-26, Montreal. Jargowsky , P.A...
Journal Article
Demography (2001) 38 (4): 563–567.
Published: 01 November 2001
... Collins , J.W. , & David , R.J. ( 1997 ). Urban Violence and African-American Pregnancy Outcome: An Ecologic Study . Ethnicity and Disease , 7 , 184 – 90 . Cooper , R. ( 1984 ). A Note on the Biological Concept of Race and Its Application in Epidemiologic Research . American...
Journal Article
Demography (2011) 48 (1): 267–290.
Published: 23 February 2011
... countries have higher expected age of zero vitality than other countries in spite of relatively disadvantageous national ecological systems; (5) within the group of Central American and Southeast Asian countries, a more disadvantageous national ecological system is associated with a higher expected age...
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Journal Article
Demography (1991) 28 (3): 431–453.
Published: 01 August 1991
... by average characteristics of group members in an area. Such research is susceptible to the difficulties and pitfalls inherent in inferring individual-level effects from aggregated data (i.e., the well-known ecological fallacy; but see Massey and Denton 1985). Our research design remedies both...
Journal Article
Demography (2019) 56 (5): 1931–1956.
Published: 09 September 2019
... data sets are important in identifying large-scale trends, smaller-scale studies that compare multiple households within a similar subsistence context avoid the potential for confounding between individual and group-level variables (i.e., the ecological fallacy) (Lawson and Uggla 2014 ). We build...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2001) 38 (1): 133–145.
Published: 01 February 2001
... because of perceived economic and social costs due to immigrants. Social scientists have long known that it is an ecological fallacy (Robinson 1950) to attribute motiva- tion to individuals based on aggregate analyses of the struc- ture and flow dynamics in given areas. An analysis of individual-level...
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