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Dynamic model estimation

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Journal Article
Demography (2011) 48 (2): 783–811.
Published: 19 May 2011
... would lead to a large increase in fertility rates, and population control remains a stated goal of the Chinese government. In this article, I present and estimate a dynamic model of parental fertility choices using Chinese census data ( 1982 , 1990 , and 2000 ) that aims to predict the impact...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (1990) 27 (4): 519–535.
Published: 01 November 1990
... of-wedlock birth and in the absence of a birth and then estimate a logit model to determine their importance in influencing fertility behavior. The model is estimated with data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics on nearly 900 black teenagers. We find weak and statistically insignificant positive effects...
Journal Article
Demography (2017) 54 (5): 1653–1676.
Published: 28 July 2017
... on academic achievement. Specifically, it uses longitudinal data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics, counterfactual methods, and a value-added modeling strategy to estimate the total, natural direct, and natural indirect effects of exposure to an advantaged rather than disadvantaged neighborhood...
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Journal Article
Demography (1978) 15 (2): 139–159.
Published: 01 May 1978
...Michael Hout Abstract Criticizing the static assumptions of previous socioeconomic and microeconomic models of marital fertility, particularly regarding the sequential and stochastic facets of family building, this paper advocates a dynamic perspective. Of particular concern is the assumption...
Journal Article
Demography (2017) 54 (2): 485–511.
Published: 23 February 2017
...Mónica Hernández-Alava; Gurleen Popli Abstract In this study, we use the UK Millennium Cohort Study to estimate a dynamic factor model of child development. Our model follows the children from birth until 7 years of age and allows for both cognitive and noncognitive abilities in children. We find...
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2024) 61 (2): 493–511.
Published: 01 April 2024
... the hypothesis that COVID-related travel restrictions reduced migrant stock relative to expected migration without such restrictions using estimates of migrants drawn from Facebook's advertising platform and dynamic panel models. We focus on four key origin countries in North and West Africa (Côte d'Ivoire...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (1982) 19 (2): 161–176.
Published: 01 May 1982
... Historical Demography Project . Historical Methods , 11 , 45 – 53 . Bongaarts J. ( 1975 ). A Method for the Estimation of Fecundability . Demography , 12 ( 4 ), 645 – 660 . 10.2307/2060719 Bongaarts J. ( 1976 ). A Dynamic Model of the Reproductive Process . Population...
Journal Article
Demography (2009) 46 (2): 371–386.
Published: 01 May 2009
... A. , Rogers R.G. , & Belanger A. ( 1990 ). Longer Life but Worse Health? Measurement and Dynamics . The Gerontologist , 30 , 640 – 49 . Sueyoshi G.T. ( 1992 ). Semiparametric Proportional Hazards Estimation of Competing Risks Models With Time-Varying Covariates . Journal...
Journal Article
Demography (1997) 34 (3): 369–383.
Published: 01 August 1997
... in contraceptive practices across communities or social strata. I propose a model of "learning in social networks" to explain this diversity with the random dynam- ics of word-of-mouth communication. Women are uncertain about the merits ofmodern contraception and estimate the different quali- ties ofavailable...
Journal Article
Demography (2011) 48 (3): 1127–1149.
Published: 25 June 2011
.... Using the National Survey of Family Growth Cycle 6, we illustrate how responsive survey design can shape both demographic estimates and models of demographic behaviors based on survey data. By juxtaposing measures from regular and responsive data collection phases, we document how special efforts...
Journal Article
Demography (2021) 58 (6): 2041–2063.
Published: 01 December 2021
...-sensitive analyses, we estimate marginal structural models with balanced or pseudorandomized observations across exposure levels ( Sharkey and Elwert 2011 ; Wodtke 2013 ; Wodtke et al. 2011 ) to account for the dynamic relationship between local areas and individuals' health—in which some of the social...
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2019) 56 (5): 1875–1897.
Published: 16 August 2019
... children’s education. Our approach emphasizes the dynamic relationship between family structure and family economic resources. Marginal structural models with inverse probability weights estimate the association of parents’ union status history with eventual financial transfers while not overcontrolling...
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Journal Article
Demography (1998) 35 (4): 445–463.
Published: 01 November 1998
... has omitted important demographic details. We construct a multistate life-table model of population flows to and from prisons, incorporating age-specific transition rates estimated from administrative data from Florida. We use the multistate life-table model to investigate patterns of prison...
Journal Article
Demography (2013) 50 (1): 181–206.
Published: 14 September 2012
...  7 (Model 5) and 8 (Model 10) in the appendix report the estimation results for the model that excludes random effects and the dynamic sample selection correction terms. We do not discuss these here in detail, but overall, the differences with the estimates given in Table  5 are relatively small...
Journal Article
Demography (2014) 51 (5): 1641–1665.
Published: 04 October 2014
...Bradley L. Hardy Abstract Using data linked across generations in the Panel Study of Income Dynamics, I estimate the relationship between exposure to volatile income during childhood and a set of socioeconomic outcomes in adulthood. The empirical framework is an augmented intergenerational income...
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Journal Article
Demography (1996) 33 (1): 82–97.
Published: 01 February 1996
... and parent-child relationships on the decision to leave home, but much less is known about the role of economic factors in the transition to independence. Using data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID) for the period 1968–1988, we estimate discrete-hazard models of the probability of achieving...
Journal Article
Demography (1990) 27 (1): 31–53.
Published: 01 February 1990
... histories for 3,080 respondents who reach the exact age of 55. The dynamics that characterize socioeconomic differentials in mortality are analyzed by evaluating the differential effects of occupation over the career cycle. Maximum likelihood estimates of hazard-model parameters show that the mortality...
Journal Article
Demography (1990) 27 (1): 55–63.
Published: 01 February 1990
... Population Survey to examine this issue. Continuous-time regression models with ages and numbers of children as time-varying covariates are estimated. Net of controls for age at marriage, year of marriage, education, and marital duration, stability increases with family size up to the third child but starts...
Journal Article
Demography (2017) 54 (5): 1845–1871.
Published: 23 August 2017
... work reciprocally and dynamically over the life course to produce inequality, research has yet to address how these two pathways simultaneously shape children’s development. Using longitudinal data from the Fragile Families and Child Wellbeing Study and marginal structural models, we ask three...
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Journal Article
Demography (2023) 60 (6): 1767–1789.
Published: 01 December 2023
... or leave children's households negatively affects children's educational attainment. I argue that we need new ways of theorizing, conceptualizing, and measuring household changes and their effects on children. I use the Panel Study of Income Dynamics and marginal structural models with inverse probability...
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Includes: Supplementary data