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Cyclical Model

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Journal Article
Demography (1969) 6 (3): 287–299.
Published: 01 August 1969
... Period Cyclical Model Model Life Table Fertility Schedule References Brauer A. ( 1961 ). On the characteristic roots of power-positive matrices . Duke Mathematical Journal , 28 , 291 – 296 . 10.1215/S0012-7094-61-02840-X Coale Ansley J. ( 1965 ). Birth rates, death...
Journal Article
Demography (1972) 9 (4): 549–567.
Published: 01 November 1972
..., the two-sex population model of cyclical change, which considers the interaction between sexes through marriage, is seen to converge to an asymptotic stability. The advantage of such a convergence is to enable comparative investigations, in terms of a set of asymptotic parameters, of rather complex series...
Journal Article
Demography (1970) 7 (2): 155–167.
Published: 01 May 1970
...; Press . Namboodiri , N. K. ( 1969 ). On the dependence of age structure on a sequence of mortality and fertility schedules: an exposition of a cyclical model of population change . Demography , 6 , 287 – 299 10.2307/2060398 . U. S. Bureau of the Census. 1967. Current Population...
Journal Article
Demography (1982) 19 (1): 79–95.
Published: 01 February 1982
...R. G. Potter; F. E. Kobrin Abstract Simple probability models incorporating an approximation first demonstrated by Menken (1979) are used to study births averted by two classes of temporary spouse separation, single and cyclic, under conditions of natural fertility. For either class of spouse...
Journal Article
Demography (1989) 26 (1): 99–115.
Published: 01 February 1989
... of feedback response. The outcome of the estimation determines whether cycles can be sustained at all under the model. A com- plementary issue then arises as to whether predicted cycles have a cyclic period compatible with the period of the observed swings in U. S. births. These are the two principal issues...
Journal Article
Demography (2010) 47 (1): 227–247.
Published: 01 February 2010
...) and Baker (1992) concluded that at least half the cyclical sensitivity of unemployment rates is due to changes in duration of spells. In addition to these studies on the relative role of duration, others have investigated determinants of spell length. Lynch (1989) estimated duration models for the hazard...
Journal Article
Demography (1973) 10 (2): 185–204.
Published: 01 May 1973
... society part of the cyclical response of marriage is the means by which births are regulated. The proper framework for dealing with all the theoretical considerations is a dy- namic programming utility-maximiza- tion model with the various risks explic- itly included. At this stage I am only able...
Journal Article
Demography (2019) 56 (4): 1463–1493.
Published: 18 June 2019
... study estimates separate regression models for racial/ethnic subgroups and tests for differences across these racial/ethnic subgroups. I expect that macroeconomic conditions, both cyclical and structural, will differentially influence fertility behavior across race and ethnicity. Given the variation...
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Journal Article
Demography (1990) 27 (3): 397–411.
Published: 01 August 1990
... of America, Chicago. Lee R. D. ( 1981 ). Methods and Models for Analyzing Historical Series of Births, Deaths, and Marriages . In R. D. Lee (Ed.), Population Patterns in the Past (pp. 337 – 370 ). New York : Academic Press Levy V. ( 1986 ). Seasonal Fertility Cycles...
Journal Article
Demography (1991) 28 (2): 323–332.
Published: 01 May 1991
.... , & Tolbert , C. M. ( 1978 ). Stratification in a Dual Economy: A Sectoral Model of Earnings Determination . American Sociological Review , 43 , 704 – 720 . 10.2307/2094545 Blank , R. M. , & Blinder , A. S. ( 1986 ). Macroeconomics, Income Distribution, and Poverty . In S...
Journal Article
Demography (1993) 30 (3): 405–423.
Published: 01 August 1993
... 1 2011 © Population Association of America 1993 1993 Measle Eighteenth Century Smallpox Cyclic Component Filter Window References Alter George , & Riley James C. ( 1989 ). Frailty, Sickness and Death: Models of Morbidity and Mortality in Historical...
Journal Article
Demography (1986) 23 (1): 137–139.
Published: 01 February 1986
... AND FEMALE LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION TRENDS" David P. Smith University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston, School of Public Health, P.O. Box 20186, Houston, TX 77225 In this article Devaney presents an extension of the basic Easterlin relative income/fertility model incorporating wages (following Butz...
Journal Article
Demography (2011) 48 (2): 507–530.
Published: 21 April 2011
... this into account by allowing a mortality rate at a given age to depend on current and past GDP levels leads to estimates that are potentially very sensitive to small model misspecifications. For example, if the postulated relation is log-linear in the mortality rate and current GDP, and the true relation...
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Journal Article
Demography (2019) 56 (5): 1747–1764.
Published: 26 August 2019
...–24, 45–54, 55–64, 65–74, 75–84, and 85 and over. Moreover, we control for education level and share of migrants in an area. 7 In most regressions, the dependent variable is the natural log of the mortality rate in département i in year t . As a robustness check, we report models in which...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2022) 59 (1): 13–26.
Published: 01 February 2022
... to estimate differences in gender disparities following the onset of the epidemic in March. To account for seasonal or cyclical patterns in women's employment relative to men's, we compare gender differences in employment with those observed in the preceding year. Our fixed-effects models account for the time...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2004) 41 (4): 801–819.
Published: 01 November 2004
... Fertility (TFR and Average Cohort Fertility (ACF) in Model Populations With a Constant Period TFR of 1 That Experience Cyclical Changes in the Timing of Period Fertility Beginning at Time 50 a. 20-year cycles at annual rate (b) of .02 b. 20-year cycles at annual rate (b) of .04 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.5 0 10 20...
Journal Article
Demography (2004) 41 (1): 61–86.
Published: 01 February 2004
... the EITC.25 Simulations Because median wages and wage inequality have a cyclical component and thus respond to changes in the unemployment rate and the employment growth rate, the interpretation of model estimates in Tables 1 4 containing the full set of macroeconomic indicators is muddied. To interpret...
Journal Article
Demography (2018) 55 (1): 189–221.
Published: 29 January 2018
... of the program. Like the EITC subsidy rate, the SNAP benefit is identified in the model because it varies over time and by household size. 5 We also include indicators for (1) whether a state implemented a waiver from its AFDC program; (2) when its TANF program was implemented; (3) a host of SNAP policy...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2018) 55 (6): 2161–2180.
Published: 08 October 2018
... model with multiple markets . Econometrica , 70 , 2367 – 2420 . 10.1111/1468-0262.00379 . Davis , S. J. , & Haltiwanger , J. ( 2014 ). Labor market fluidity and economic performance (NBER Working Paper No. 20479). Cambridge, MA : National Bureau of Economic Research...
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Journal Article
Demography (1986) 23 (3): 313–327.
Published: 01 August 1986
.... Second, we examine the sensitivity of return migration to economic conditions at both destination and origin. The model proposed allows the relative weights attached to information on the two locations to vary as the interval of absence lengthens. Econometric evidence indicates that conditions...