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Journal Article
On the dependence of age structure on a sequence of mortality and fertility schedules: An exposition of a cyclical model of population change
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Demography (1969) 6 (3): 287–299.
Published: 01 August 1969
... AND FERTILITY SCHEDULES: AN EXPOSITION OF A CYCLICAL MODEL OF POPULATION CHANGE N. Krishnan Namboodirl Department of Sociology, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, North Carolina 27514 Abstract-In this paper a method to investigate the dependence of age struc- ture and growth rate on a given sequence...
View articletitled, On the dependence of age structure on a sequence of mortality and fertility schedules: An exposition of a <span class="search-highlight">cyclical</span> <span class="search-highlight">model</span> of population change
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for article titled, On the dependence of age structure on a sequence of mortality and fertility schedules: An exposition of a <span class="search-highlight">cyclical</span> <span class="search-highlight">model</span> of population change
Journal Article
Asymptotic implications of fluctuating nuptiality and fertility considering both sexes together
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Demography (1972) 9 (4): 549–567.
Published: 01 November 1972
..., the two-sex population model of cyclical change, which considers the interaction between sexes through marriage, is seen to converge to an asymptotic stability. The advantage of such a convergence is to enable comparative investigations, in terms of a set of asymptotic parameters, of rather complex series...
Journal Article
A method for comparative analysis of fertility dynamics represented by sequences of fertility schedules
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Demography (1970) 7 (2): 155–167.
Published: 01 May 1970
...; Press . Namboodiri , N. K. ( 1969 ). On the dependence of age structure on a sequence of mortality and fertility schedules: an exposition of a cyclical model of population change . Demography , 6 , 287 – 299 10.2307/2060398 . U. S. Bureau of the Census. 1967. Current Population...
Journal Article
Some Effects of Spouse Separation on Fertility
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Demography (1982) 19 (1): 79–95.
Published: 01 February 1982
...R. G. Potter; F. E. Kobrin Abstract Simple probability models incorporating an approximation first demonstrated by Menken (1979) are used to study births averted by two classes of temporary spouse separation, single and cyclic, under conditions of natural fertility. For either class of spouse...
Journal Article
U.S. births and limit cycle Models
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Demography (1989) 26 (1): 99–115.
Published: 01 February 1989
... of feedback response. The outcome of the estimation determines whether cycles can be sustained at all under the model. A com- plementary issue then arises as to whether predicted cycles have a cyclic period compatible with the period of the observed swings in U. S. births. These are the two principal issues...
Journal Article
Last hired, first fired? black-white unemployment and the business cycle
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Demography (2010) 47 (1): 227–247.
Published: 01 February 2010
...) and Baker (1992) concluded that at least half the cyclical sensitivity of unemployment rates is due to changes in duration of spells. In addition to these studies on the relative role of duration, others have investigated determinants of spell length. Lynch (1989) estimated duration models for the hazard...
Journal Article
Short-term fluctuations in fertility and economic activity in Israel
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Demography (1973) 10 (2): 185–204.
Published: 01 May 1973
... society part of the cyclical response of marriage is the means by which births are regulated. The proper framework for dealing with all the theoretical considerations is a dy- namic programming utility-maximiza- tion model with the various risks explic- itly included. At this stage I am only able...
Journal Article
Beyond the Great Recession: Labor Market Polarization and Ongoing Fertility Decline in the United States
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Demography (2019) 56 (4): 1463–1493.
Published: 18 June 2019
... decline than cyclical changes (i.e., unemployment), at least when examining fertility across racial/ethnic groups at the metropolitan level. To examine whether labor market polarization and unemployment continued to influence fertility behavior in the recovery period, Model 4 tests whether these two...
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View articletitled, Beyond the Great Recession: Labor Market Polarization and Ongoing Fertility Decline in the United States
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for article titled, Beyond the Great Recession: Labor Market Polarization and Ongoing Fertility Decline in the United States
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demographic Seasonality and Development: The Effects of Agricultural Colonialism in Taiwan, 1906–1942
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Demography (1990) 27 (3): 397–411.
Published: 01 August 1990
... of America, Chicago. Lee R. D. ( 1981 ). Methods and Models for Analyzing Historical Series of Births, Deaths, and Marriages . In R. D. Lee (Ed.), Population Patterns in the Past (pp. 337 – 370 ). New York : Academic Press Levy V. ( 1986 ). Seasonal Fertility Cycles...
Journal Article
Structural Change and the Aggregate Poverty Rate
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Demography (1991) 28 (2): 323–332.
Published: 01 May 1991
.... , & Tolbert , C. M. ( 1978 ). Stratification in a Dual Economy: A Sectoral Model of Earnings Determination . American Sociological Review , 43 , 704 – 720 . 10.2307/2094545 Blank , R. M. , & Blinder , A. S. ( 1986 ). Macroeconomics, Income Distribution, and Poverty . In S...
Journal Article
Population Growth, Immigration, and Labor Market Dynamics
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Demography (2024) 61 (5): 1559–1584.
Published: 01 October 2024
... checks, and Bayesian modeling of recent trends. The results are still officially classed as “experimental.” 16 The LFS-derived inflow series and ONS inflows derived from the International Passenger Survey are broadly in line until 2017, a year after our sample period ends. The series then begin...
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View articletitled, Population Growth, Immigration, and Labor Market Dynamics
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for article titled, Population Growth, Immigration, and Labor Market Dynamics
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
The dynamics of smallpox epidemics in Britain, 1550–1800
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Demography (1993) 30 (3): 405–423.
Published: 01 August 1993
... 1 2011 © Population Association of America 1993 1993 Measle Eighteenth Century Smallpox Cyclic Component Filter Window References Alter George , & Riley James C. ( 1989 ). Frailty, Sickness and Death: Models of Morbidity and Mortality in Historical...
Journal Article
Comment on barbara devaney’s “An analysis of variations in U.S. Fertility and female labor force participation trends”
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Demography (1986) 23 (1): 137–139.
Published: 01 February 1986
... AND FEMALE LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION TRENDS" David P. Smith University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston, School of Public Health, P.O. Box 20186, Houston, TX 77225 In this article Devaney presents an extension of the basic Easterlin relative income/fertility model incorporating wages (following Butz...
Journal Article
Being Born Under Adverse Economic Conditions Leads to a Higher Cardiovascular Mortality Rate Later in Life: Evidence Based on Individuals Born at Different Stages of the Business Cycle
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Demography (2011) 48 (2): 507–530.
Published: 21 April 2011
... at birth implies a high GDP level throughout life. An empirical analysis that tries to take this into account by allowing a mortality rate at a given age to depend on current and past GDP levels leads to estimates that are potentially very sensitive to small model misspecifications. For example...
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View articletitled, Being Born Under Adverse Economic Conditions Leads to a Higher Cardiovascular Mortality Rate Later in Life: Evidence Based on Individuals Born at Different Stages of the Business Cycle
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for article titled, Being Born Under Adverse Economic Conditions Leads to a Higher Cardiovascular Mortality Rate Later in Life: Evidence Based on Individuals Born at Different Stages of the Business Cycle
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2022) 59 (1): 13–26.
Published: 01 February 2022
... of the epidemic in March. To account for seasonal or cyclical patterns in women's employment relative to men's, we compare gender differences in employment with those observed in the preceding year. Our fixed-effects models account for the time-invariant effect of all individual characteristics that are likely...
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View articletitled, Research Note: Gender Differences in Employment During the COVID-19 Epidemic
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for article titled, Research Note: Gender Differences in Employment During the COVID-19 Epidemic
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Mortality and Macroeconomic Conditions: What Can We Learn From France?
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Demography (2019) 56 (5): 1747–1764.
Published: 26 August 2019
...–24, 45–54, 55–64, 65–74, 75–84, and 85 and over. Moreover, we control for education level and share of migrants in an area. 7 In most regressions, the dependent variable is the natural log of the mortality rate in département i in year t . As a robustness check, we report models in which...
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View articletitled, Mortality and Macroeconomic Conditions: What Can We Learn From France?
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for article titled, Mortality and Macroeconomic Conditions: What Can We Learn From France?
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Timing effects and the interpretation of period fertility
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Demography (2004) 41 (4): 801–819.
Published: 01 November 2004
... Fertility (TFR and Average Cohort Fertility (ACF) in Model Populations With a Constant Period TFR of 1 That Experience Cyclical Changes in the Timing of Period Fertility Beginning at Time 50 a. 20-year cycles at annual rate (b) of .02 b. 20-year cycles at annual rate (b) of .04 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.5 0 10 20...
Journal Article
Poverty and macroeconomic performance across space, race, and family structure
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Demography (2004) 41 (1): 61–86.
Published: 01 February 2004
... the EITC.25 Simulations Because median wages and wage inequality have a cyclical component and thus respond to changes in the unemployment rate and the employment growth rate, the interpretation of model estimates in Tables 1 4 containing the full set of macroeconomic indicators is muddied. To interpret...
Journal Article
The Changing Safety Net for Low-Income Parents and Their Children: Structural or Cyclical Changes in Income Support Policy?
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Demography (2018) 55 (1): 189–221.
Published: 29 January 2018
... earlier. We next turn to our regression results from estimating Eq. ( 1 ) via linear probability, where we correct the standard errors for heteroskedasticity and within-state autocorrelation arising from the fact that multiple households are present in each state. All models control for fixed state...
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View articletitled, The Changing Safety Net for Low-Income Parents and Their Children: Structural or <span class="search-highlight">Cyclical</span> Changes in Income Support Policy?
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for article titled, The Changing Safety Net for Low-Income Parents and Their Children: Structural or <span class="search-highlight">Cyclical</span> Changes in Income Support Policy?
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Swedish-finnish return migration, extent, timing, and information flows
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Demography (1986) 23 (3): 313–327.
Published: 01 August 1986
.... Second, we examine the sensitivity of return migration to economic conditions at both destination and origin. The model proposed allows the relative weights attached to information on the two locations to vary as the interval of absence lengthens. Econometric evidence indicates that conditions...
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