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Cyclical Fluctuation

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Journal Article
Demography (1970) 7 (2): 155–167.
Published: 01 May 1970
...N. Krishnan Namboodiri Abstract A method to compare fertility sequences, each of which represents a cyclical fluctuation around an underlying trend, is presented. Each fertility sequence is viewed as composed of a time trend in childspacing pattern and a corresponding trend in terminal fertility...
Journal Article
Demography (1972) 9 (4): 549–567.
Published: 01 November 1972
... fertility pat- terns observable in a successive series. Namboodiri (1970) has proposed a 549 method for comparative analysis of such fluctuating series of fertility schedules, based on the asymptotic parameters de- rived from the cyclical stable-popula- tion model. The present paper reports an extended...
Journal Article
Demography (1973) 10 (2): 185–204.
Published: 01 May 1973
... Falk Institute for Economic Research, Israel Abstract-This paper investigates the relation between fluctuations in fertility and in economic activity in Israel over the period 1950-1970. The paper opens with some comments on the theoretical basis for expecting pro- cyclical behavior of fertility...
Journal Article
Demography (1990) 27 (3): 397–411.
Published: 01 August 1990
... Egyptian seasonality, such simple methods tend to average out cyclical fluctuations of any duration other than a calendar year. Much more information can be obtained by using methods that isolate cyclical demographic fluctuations of both longer and shorter durations. 400 Demography, Vol. 27, No.3, August...
Journal Article
Demography (2019) 56 (4): 1463–1493.
Published: 18 June 2019
... the financial uncertainty that leads women and couples to delay or forgo childbearing. Combining statistical and survey data with restricted-use vital registration records, I examine how cyclical and structural changes in metropolitan-area labor markets were associated with changes in total fertility rates...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (1989) 26 (1): 149–159.
Published: 01 February 1989
... Office . Vining , R. ( 1945 ). Regional variation in cyclical fluctuations viewed as a frequency distribution . Econometrica , 13 , 183 – 213 . 10.2307/1907184 Wilson , A. ( 1974 ). Urban and Regional Models in Geography and Planning . New York : Wiley . Demography, Vol...
Journal Article
Demography (1989) 26 (1): 99–115.
Published: 01 February 1989
... without limit, or fluctuate chaotically. Or the limit cycle case of interest in this article might occur, and the populations might settle down to regular sustained cyclic behavior. Limit cycles are unlike either the classic generation-long cycles or the cycles in other convergent models...
Journal Article
Demography (1969) 6 (3): 287–299.
Published: 01 August 1969
... version thereof help separate the cyclical fluctuations from the secular trend? In other words, would a secular trend with a zero slope as compared with one with a non-zero slope make a difference in the findings? Or can anything be learnt about the na- ture of the secular trend from the re- sults...
Journal Article
Demography (1970) 7 (1): 93–120.
Published: 01 February 1970
...,/V«1-c,)2+s and the phase angle between the output and the input (between fluctuations in births and in fertility) is arctan (sl - c Unfortunately, this simple interpretation is applicable only to special cases, The non-linearity of the birth equation in cyclical form (Equation (7)) implies...
Journal Article
Demography (1993) 30 (3): 405–423.
Published: 01 August 1993
... 1 2011 © Population Association of America 1993 1993 Measle Eighteenth Century Smallpox Cyclic Component Filter Window References Alter George , & Riley James C. ( 1989 ). Frailty, Sickness and Death: Models of Morbidity and Mortality in Historical...
Journal Article
Demography (1972) 9 (1): 51–68.
Published: 01 February 1972
... as"; sumptions concerning future changes in the components, there is no guarantee that the actual figure will fall between the highest and lowest projections unless the range is impractically and artificially wide. 4. It is unrealistic at this time to try to impose cyclical fluctuations on a fu- ture trend...
Journal Article
Demography (1980) 17 (2): 159–176.
Published: 01 May 1980
.... ( 1979 ). What is the Annual Net Flow of Undocumented Mexican Immigrants to the United States? . Demography , 16 , 417 – 423 . 10.2307/2061222 Korns A. ( 1979 ). Cyclical Fluctuations in the Difference Between the Payroll and Household Measures of Employment . Survey of Current...
Journal Article
Demography (1966) 3 (2): 305–318.
Published: 01 June 1966
...Harry M. Rosenberg Summary Birth rates, marriage rates, and death rates computed on a monthly basis have exhibited relatively stable seasonal patterns over a period of years. Elimination of these seasonal fluctuations facilitates the description and interpretation of month-to-month changes...
Journal Article
Demography (2008) 45 (2): 323–343.
Published: 01 May 2008
...José A. Tapia granados Abstract Recent research has shown that after long-term declining trends are excluded, mortality rates in industrial countries tend to rise in economic expansions and fall in economic recessions. In the present work, co-movements between economic fluctuations and mortality...
Journal Article
Demography (2019) 56 (5): 1747–1764.
Published: 26 August 2019
..., meaning that a higher unemployment rate increases general mortality. Furthermore, the relationship seems to be particularly countercyclical for men. Therefore, the aggregate fluctuations in mortality are not concentrated among only those of working age. Put differently, the estimated impact of individuals...
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2011) 48 (2): 507–530.
Published: 21 April 2011
... and health care. In any case, these effects are smaller than one-half of the effect for areas where both are lacking. Table 3 Parameter estimates for the individual CV mortality rate in Zealand, including Copenhagen, with interactions between cyclical and urbanization indicators Variable...
FIGURES | View All (4)
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (1973) 10 (3): 301–314.
Published: 01 August 1973
..., through both annual and lifetime data, to a down- ward trend in the first marriage rate since the mid-1950's and a simultaneous acceleration of the long-time upward trend in the divorce and remarriage rates. However, the annual divorce rates have been subject to substantial cyclical fluctuations since...
Journal Article
Demography (1986) 23 (1): 137–139.
Published: 01 February 1986
...David P. Smith 7 1 2011 © Population Association of America 1986 1986 Baby Boom Relative Income Fertility Decline Fertility Behavior Money Income References Butz W. , & Ward M. ( 1977 ). The emergence of counter-cyclical U. S. fertility . Santa...
Journal Article
Demography (1967) 4 (2): 673–679.
Published: 01 June 1967
... on coital rates from about .fifty white, mostly well-educated, premenopausal, married, husband-present volunteers. Seasonal fluctuations were seen in coital rates, of about the same magnitude as seasonal variations in the white birth rates reported for New York City, 1962–64; for the United States, 1963...
Journal Article
Demography (1984) 21 (4): 613–622.
Published: 01 November 1984
.... Cyclic populations were also generated in which all age groups were stationary except for a 20-year interval in which population size increased over 10 years at 3 percent per year and de- creased over the next 10at an equal rate. The central age cohort in the cycle was thus about 30 percent above...