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Journal Article
Bayesian estimation of hispanic fertility hazards from survey and population data*
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Demography (2009) 46 (1): 65–83.
Published: 01 February 2009
... values are exact. This assumption is relaxed here through a Bayesian extension of constrained maximum likelihood estimation applied to U.S. Hispanic fertility. The Bayesian approach allows for the use of both auxiliary survey data and expert judgment in making adjustments to published Hispanic Population...
Journal Article
Comment of Liying Luo’s Article, “Assessing Validity and Application Scope of the Intrinsic Estimator Approach to the Age-Period-Cohort Problem”
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Demography (2013) 50 (6): 1973–1975.
Published: 17 October 2013
...Robert M. O’Brien 1 10 2013 17 10 2013 © Population Association of America 2013 2013 Liying Luo’s article (this issue) addresses three important properties of the intrinsic estimator (IE). First, the constraint used to produce the IE ( b ie ⋅ b 0 = 0) constrains...
View articletitled, Comment of Liying Luo’s Article, “Assessing Validity and Application Scope of the Intrinsic <span class="search-highlight">Estimator</span> Approach to the Age-Period-Cohort Problem”
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for article titled, Comment of Liying Luo’s Article, “Assessing Validity and Application Scope of the Intrinsic <span class="search-highlight">Estimator</span> Approach to the Age-Period-Cohort Problem”
Journal Article
Combining registration-system and survey data to estimate birth probabilities
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Demography (2000) 37 (2): 187–192.
Published: 01 May 2000
... a constrained maximum-likelihood framework for demographic hazard modeling. As an application, we combine panel survey data and birth registration data to estimate annual birth probabilities by parity. The general fertility rate obtained from registration-system data constrains the weighted sum of parity...
Journal Article
Assessing Validity and Application Scope of the Intrinsic Estimator Approach to the Age-Period-Cohort Problem
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Demography (2013) 50 (6): 1945–1967.
Published: 26 September 2013
... of estimators in age-period-cohort analysis . Statistics & Probability Letters , 76 , 1925 – 1929 . 10.1016/j.spl.2006.04.051 Fu W. J. , Land K. C. , & Yang Y. ( 2011 ). On the intrinsic estimator and constrained estimators in age-period-cohort models . Sociological Methods...
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View articletitled, Assessing Validity and Application Scope of the Intrinsic <span class="search-highlight">Estimator</span> Approach to the Age-Period-Cohort Problem
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for article titled, Assessing Validity and Application Scope of the Intrinsic <span class="search-highlight">Estimator</span> Approach to the Age-Period-Cohort Problem
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Misunderstandings, Mischaracterizations, and the Problematic Choice of a Specific Instance in Which the IE Should Never Be Applied
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Demography (2013) 50 (6): 1969–1971.
Published: 17 October 2013
... these analyses suggest that all three dimensions are operative should one proceed with Step 3: a three-factor APC model to which a constrained estimator can be applied to identify the A, P, and C effects. By revisiting Glenn’s ( 2005 ) numerical example, Yang and Land ( 2013 :109) emphasized that “imposition...
View articletitled, Misunderstandings, Mischaracterizations, and the Problematic Choice of a Specific Instance in Which the IE Should Never Be Applied
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for article titled, Misunderstandings, Mischaracterizations, and the Problematic Choice of a Specific Instance in Which the IE Should Never Be Applied
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Female life expectancy at birth estimates for France, 2008 (years): Constra...
Available to PurchasePublished: 10 October 2017
Fig. 4 Female life expectancy at birth estimates for France, 2008 (years): Constrained versus unconstrained model
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Journal Article
Foreign-born emigration: A new approach and estimates based on matched CPS files
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Demography (2006) 43 (2): 361–382.
Published: 01 May 2006
... method produces emigration estimates that are comparable to those from residual methods in the case of longer-term residents (immigrants who arrived more than 10 years ago), but yields higher—and what appear to be more accurate—estimates for recent arrivals. Although somewhat constrained by sample size...
Journal Article
Demography (2022) 59 (5): 1713–1737.
Published: 01 October 2022
... mortality and unmet need for contraception. However, in many low-income countries, data on population counts and components of population change are limited, and so subnational levels and trends are unclear. We present a Bayesian constrained cohort component model for the estimation and projection...
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View articletitled, A Bayesian Cohort Component Projection Model to <span class="search-highlight">Estimate</span> Women of Reproductive Age at the Subnational Level in Data-Sparse Settings
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for article titled, A Bayesian Cohort Component Projection Model to <span class="search-highlight">Estimate</span> Women of Reproductive Age at the Subnational Level in Data-Sparse Settings
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2016) 53 (4): 1245–1252.
Published: 12 May 2016
... to demonstrate the unbiasedness of the IE estimates because any APC estimator can recover the age, period, and cohort parameters when the data are generated with the constraint applied by that estimator, as O’Brien ( 2011 :436) noted. For example, one may model the same mortality data using the constrained...
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View articletitled, The Intrinsic <span class="search-highlight">Estimator</span>, Alternative <span class="search-highlight">Estimates</span>, and Predictions of Mortality Trends: A Comment on Masters, Hummer, Powers, Beck, Lin, and Finch
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for article titled, The Intrinsic <span class="search-highlight">Estimator</span>, Alternative <span class="search-highlight">Estimates</span>, and Predictions of Mortality Trends: A Comment on Masters, Hummer, Powers, Beck, Lin, and Finch
Journal Article
Does Opportunity Skip Generations? Reassessing Evidence From Sibling and Cousin Correlations
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Demography (2020) 57 (4): 1193–1213.
Published: 07 July 2020
...Ian Lundberg Abstract Sibling (cousin) correlations are empirically straightforward: they capture the degree to which siblings’ (cousins’) socioeconomic outcomes are similar. At face value, these quantities seem to summarize something about how families constrain opportunity. Their meaning, however...
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View articletitled, Does Opportunity Skip Generations? Reassessing Evidence From Sibling and Cousin Correlations
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for article titled, Does Opportunity Skip Generations? Reassessing Evidence From Sibling and Cousin Correlations
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Bounding Analyses of Age-Period-Cohort Effects
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Demography (2019) 56 (5): 1975–2004.
Published: 28 August 2019
... and their differences define the interdependencies among the values of the true unknown slopes α, π, and γ. To construct bounding formulas for the slopes, we can use Eq. ( 4 ). For example, when we set the period slope to zero we obtain the constrained estimates α * = θ 1 , π * = 0, and γ * = θ 2 (see Eq. ( 7...
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View articletitled, Bounding Analyses of Age-Period-Cohort Effects
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for article titled, Bounding Analyses of Age-Period-Cohort Effects
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Paradigm Shift in Age-Period-Cohort Analysis: A Response to Yang and Land, O’Brien, Held and Riebler, and Fienberg
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Demography (2013) 50 (6): 1985–1988.
Published: 12 November 2013
.... M. ( 2011 ). Constrained estimators and age-period-cohort models . Sociological Methods & Research , 40 , 419 – 452 . 10.1177/0049124111415367 O’Brien R. M. , Hudson K. , & Stockard J. ( 2008 ). A mixed model estimation of age, period, and cohort effects...
Journal Article
Demography (2021) 58 (4): 1301–1325.
Published: 01 August 2021
...-effects models that estimate labor market outcomes using panel data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth, 1979–2014. We estimate models for Black and White women and find that the relationship between motherhood and employment is significantly more negative among White women who plan...
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View articletitled, Does the Impact of Motherhood on Women's Employment and Wages Differ for Women Who Plan Their Transition Into Motherhood?
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for article titled, Does the Impact of Motherhood on Women's Employment and Wages Differ for Women Who Plan Their Transition Into Motherhood?
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Meet the Parents? Family Size and the Geographic Proximity Between Adult Children and Older Mothers in Sweden
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Demography (2013) 50 (3): 903–931.
Published: 04 January 2013
...Helena Holmlund; Helmut Rainer; Thomas Siedler Abstract The aim of this study is to estimate the causal effect of family size on the proximity between older mothers and adult children by using a large administrative data set from Sweden. Our main results show that adult children in Sweden...
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Journal Article
On the efficiency of the estimates of life table functions
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Demography (1973) 10 (3): 421–426.
Published: 01 August 1973
...S. Mitra Abstract Expected values and variances of several life table functions have been obtained by converting the sample estimates of age-specific mortality rates to probabilities of dying by Reed-Merrell’s approximation. The expressions also permit the development of a procedure...
Journal Article
Malthus on Godwin’s of population
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Demography (1971) 8 (1): 1–12.
Published: 01 February 1971
... were: (1) the augmentability of the food supply, which Malthus put far below Godwin’s estimate; (2) the rate of growth of population which Godwin believed to be negligible and Malthus to be potentially great; (3) man’s disposition to control his numbers when necessary, regarding which Godwin was much...
Journal Article
Demography (2019) 56 (4): 1495–1518.
Published: 03 July 2019
... because these processes define the onset and duration of intergenerational relationships in ways that constrain the forms and levels of intergenerational transfers that can occur within them. In this article, we discuss four measures of the demography of grandparenthood and use simulated data to estimate...
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View articletitled, A Cohort Perspective on the Demography of Grandparenthood: Past, Present, and Future Changes in Race and Sex Disparities in the United States
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for article titled, A Cohort Perspective on the Demography of Grandparenthood: Past, Present, and Future Changes in Race and Sex Disparities in the United States
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Cohort Analysis’ Unholy Quest: A Discussion
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Demography (2013) 50 (6): 1981–1984.
Published: 17 October 2013
... on. I classified the proposed solutions into three categories: constrained estimation based on restricting the model, making the model nonlinear, and sleight of hand. Of course, some solutions have elements of two or more categories. The literature is now filled with algebra, matrix manipulations...
Journal Article
Proportional hazards models for current status data: Application to the study of differentials in age at weaning in Pakistan
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Demography (1986) 23 (4): 607–620.
Published: 01 November 1986
... restrictions on the parameters mean that one should use a constrained estimation procedure when fitting the model. These inequality constraints for the parameters for each time interval ensure that the estimated baseline survival function is nonincreasing (as well as ensuring that the estimated survival...
Journal Article
Optimizing the Lee-Carter Approach in the Presence of Structural Changes in Time and Age Patterns of Mortality Improvements
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Demography (2017) 54 (3): 1073–1095.
Published: 18 May 2017
... , s max b ∗ j is the constrained ML estimate of k ( j ) when Eq. ( 1 ) is fitted to d T − s max + 1 : T j and E T − s max + 1 : T ∗ ; it is obtained by maximizing the log-likelihood in Eq. ( 3 ) with respect to k given...
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View articletitled, Optimizing the Lee-Carter Approach in the Presence of Structural Changes in Time and Age Patterns of Mortality Improvements
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for article titled, Optimizing the Lee-Carter Approach in the Presence of Structural Changes in Time and Age Patterns of Mortality Improvements
Includes: Supplementary data
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