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Business Cycle
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Journal Article
Demography (2010) 47 (1): 227–247.
Published: 01 February 2010
...Kenneth A. Couch; Robert Fairlie Abstract Studies have tested the claim that blacks are the last hired during periods of economic growth and the first fired in recessions by examining the movement of relative unemployment rates over the business cycle. Any conclusion drawn from this type...
Journal Article
Demography (2017) 54 (3): 933–959.
Published: 05 June 2017
...Barbara Hofmann; Michaela Kreyenfeld; Arne Uhlendorff Abstract In this article, we investigate the impact of job displacement on women’s first-birth rates as well as the variation in this effect over the business cycle. We use mass layoffs to estimate the causal effects of involuntary job loss...
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Published: 05 June 2017
Fig. 1 Business cycle in western Germany (1978–2004). Hodrick-Prescott filtered trend (HP trend) and deviation of the unemployment rate from the trend (HP cycle). Source: Data from the Federal Employment Agency
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Journal Article
Demography (2011) 48 (2): 507–530.
Published: 21 April 2011
..., using individual data records from the Danish Twin Registry covering births since the 1870s and including the cause of death. To capture exogenous variation of conditions early in life, we use the state of the business cycle around birth. We find significant negative effects of economic conditions...
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in Being Born Under Adverse Economic Conditions Leads to a Higher Cardiovascular Mortality Rate Later in Life: Evidence Based on Individuals Born at Different Stages of the Business Cycle
> Demography
Published: 21 April 2011
Fig. 2 The business cycle and the transitory component in the mean lifetime in the birth cohort (conditional on survival until age 70)
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in Being Born Under Adverse Economic Conditions Leads to a Higher Cardiovascular Mortality Rate Later in Life: Evidence Based on Individuals Born at Different Stages of the Business Cycle
> Demography
Published: 21 April 2011
Fig. 4 Estimates of long-run effects of the business-cycle indicator on the individual CV mortality rate, where the indicator is averaged over intervals from the birth date to months ranging from −12 to 12 months
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Journal Article
Demography (1977) 14 (1): 33–42.
Published: 01 February 1977
... associated with the business cycle, we avoid multicollinearity and succeed in performing an analysis faithful to the cohort concerns usual in fertility analysis and to the macroeconomic concerns usual in employment studies. The age pattern of employment and the pattern of intercohort employment change...
Journal Article
Demography (1979) 16 (4): 535–547.
Published: 01 November 1979
...Beverly Duncan Abstract Effects of age, birth year, and observation year on work behavior are estimated by minimum logit chi-square regression, using data from Current Population Surveys. Most of the observation-year effect is captured by indicators of the business cycle. Further, a model which...
Journal Article
Demography (2018) 55 (1): 189–221.
Published: 29 January 2018
... assistance alone, where cyclical and structural labor market factors account for at least one-half of the growth, and demographics play a more prominent role. Moreover, since 2000, the business cycle factors as the leading determinant in biennial participation decisions in food programs and refundable tax...
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Journal Article
Demography (1998) 35 (1): 97–114.
Published: 01 February 1998
... somewhat in recent years (Goldscheider and Goldscheider 1994). Because employment opportunities tend to be more plentiful during good economic times, we hypothesize that nest-leaving is positivelyrelated to the business cycle. We also expect that well-educated children are. better able to take advantage...
Journal Article
Demography (2019) 56 (4): 1463–1493.
Published: 18 June 2019
... , 181 – 199 . 10.1177/0002716206296734 . Couch , K. A. , & Fairlie , R. ( 2010 ). Last hired, first fired? Black-white unemployment and the business cycle . Demography , 47 , 227 – 247 . 10.1353/dem.0.0086 . Cunningham , E. ( 2018 ). Great recession, great recovery...
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Journal Article
Demography (2008) 45 (2): 323–343.
Published: 01 May 2008
.... ( 1992 ). International Evidence on the Historical Properties of Business Cycles . American Economic Review , 82 , 864 – 88 . Baxter M. , & King R.G. ( 1999 ). Measuring Business Cycles: Approximate Band-Pass Filters for Economic Time Series . Review of Economics and Statistics...
Journal Article
Demography (2004) 41 (1): 61–86.
Published: 01 February 2004
.... , Gordon R. , Mankiw N.G. , & Zarnowitz V. ( 2003 ). The NBER’s Business-Cycle Dating Procedure . Cambridge, MA : Business Cycle Dating Committee, National Bureau of Economic Research . Haveman R. , & Schwabish J. ( 2000 ). Has Macroeconomic Performance Regained Its...
Journal Article
Demography (2006) 43 (3): 421–445.
Published: 01 August 2006
... macro-level associations in family structure and inequality patterns over time, I use 24 waves of data from the CPS to annually decompose both the levels and changes in family income inequality. I aggregate annual decompositions of inequal- ity change to consider differences across the business cycle...
Journal Article
Demography (2002) 39 (3): 541–555.
Published: 01 August 2002
...-Age People With Disabilities Fared Over the 1990s Business Cycle . In P. Budetti , R.V. Burkhauser , J. Gregory , & A. Hunt (Eds.), Ensuring Health and Income Security for an Aging Workforce (pp. 291 – 346 ). Kalamazoo, MI : W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment...
Journal Article
Demography (2019) 56 (5): 1747–1764.
Published: 26 August 2019
... provide a discussion on the ability of the local unemployment rate to represent the business cycle in France. Our results add an interesting perspective to the recent U.S. literature that investigates the robustness of the result of procyclical mortality. For instance, Ruhm ( 2015 ) analyzed...
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Journal Article
Demography (2007) 44 (4): 829–848.
Published: 01 November 2007
... A. ( 1983 ). Unemployment and Health in the Context of Economic Change . Social Science Medicine , 17 , 1125 – 38 . 10.1016/0277-9536(83)90005-9 Brooker A.-S. , Frank J. , & Tarasuk V. ( 1997 ). Back Pain Claims and the Business Cycle . Social Science and Medicine , 45...
Journal Article
Demography (1973) 10 (2): 185–204.
Published: 01 May 1973
... ). Jerusalem : Central Bureau of Statistics . Kirk , Dudley ( 1960 ). National Bureau of Economic Research The Influence of Business Cycles on Marriage and Birth Rates Demographic and Economic Change in Developed Countries: A Conference of the Universities—National Bureau Committee for Economic...
Journal Article
Demography (1967) 4 (2): 657–672.
Published: 01 June 1967
... that the upturn had to take place where fertility had declined the most, or in the high income areas. We may well say, moreover, that one interpretation does not necessarily ex- clude the other, and this middle of the road position is probably not too far from reality. FERTILITY MEASURES AND THE BUSINESS CYCLE We...
Journal Article
Demography (1975) 12 (2): 259–274.
Published: 01 May 1975
... Business Cycles . Journal of the American Statistical Association , 36 , 465 – 476 . 10.2307/2278953 Hanoch, Giora. 1965. Unpublished Ph.D. dissertation. Chicago: University of Chicago. Harman, Alvin H. 1970. Fertility and Economic Behavior of Families in the Philippines. Mimeo, Mason, Karen...
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