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Bayesian Information Criterion

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Published: 09 May 2014
Fig. 2 Bayesian information criterion (BIC) statistic compared with the saturated models for different log-linear models fit to Brazilian marriage data. Lower values indicate superior fit. Black bars indicate the case where browns and blacks are collapsed into a single category. Gray bars More
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Published: 13 January 2012
Fig. 2 Ranking of functional forms for the association between educational attainment and U.S. adult all-cause mortality risk within each race-gender-age group based on the Bayesian information criterion (BIC). Age reflects person-year age. NHW refers to non-Hispanic white, NHB refers to non More
Journal Article
Demography (2015) 52 (4): 1219–1242.
Published: 13 June 2015
... and spouse characteristics. Bayesian information criterion (BIC), Akaike’s information criterion (AIC), and deviance measures are used to select the model best balancing data fit and parsimony (Raftery 1986 , 1995 ). BIC alone is insufficient because it may overvalue parsimony or simpler models (Weakliem...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2013) 50 (6): 1969–1971.
Published: 17 October 2013
... of model fit statistics, such as the Bayesian information criterion (BIC). The objective is to ascertain whether the data are sufficiently well described by any single-factor or two-factor model of age (A), time period (P), and cohort (C) effects for which there is no identification problem. Only when...
Journal Article
Demography (2012) 49 (2): 651–675.
Published: 14 February 2012
... is completely random with respect to race/ethnicity/age at arrival and educational attainment. Large log-likelihood ratio and Bayesian information criterion (BIC) statistics indicate that the predicted counts based on these models do not match well the observed counts. 2 We then evaluate the associations...
Journal Article
Demography (2016) 53 (4): 1253–1259.
Published: 15 June 2016
...Ryan K. Masters; Daniel A. Powers; Robert A. Hummer; Audrey Beck; Shih-Fan Lin; Brian Karl Finch 18 5 2016 15 6 2016 © Population Association of America 2016 2016 Bayesian Information Criterion Effect Code Dummy Code Intrinsic Estimator Ridge Regression Estimator We...
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Journal Article
Demography (2012) 49 (1): 315–336.
Published: 13 January 2012
...Fig. 2 Ranking of functional forms for the association between educational attainment and U.S. adult all-cause mortality risk within each race-gender-age group based on the Bayesian information criterion (BIC). Age reflects person-year age. NHW refers to non-Hispanic white, NHB refers to non...
FIGURES
Journal Article
Demography (2002) 39 (2): 331–351.
Published: 01 May 2002
... , 930 – 53 . 10.1086/229613 Weakliem , D. ( 2001 ). A Critique of the Bayesian Information Criterion in Model Selection . Sociological Methods and Research , 27 , 359 – 97 . 10.1177/0049124199027003002 White , L. ( 1990 ). Determinants of Divorce: A Review of Research...
Journal Article
Demography (2019) 56 (3): 1051–1073.
Published: 16 April 2019
...* 0.005 BIC 38,692 38,577 38,451 38,394 Notes: All models incorporate the offset term to adjust for sampling the choice set. Bayesian information criterion (BIC) is based on the first of 10 imputation data sets. N (couple-period-tract alternatives) = 158,819; N (unique couple-periods...
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2014) 51 (4): 1199–1224.
Published: 07 May 2014
... ) and the linear age trajectories of each outcome over time in Eq. ( 2b ). We use the Bayesian information criterion (BIC) and the Akaike information criterion (AIC) to assess model fit and improvement in fit across models. The starting value for these fit statistics is not of consequence, but a decrease indicates...
FIGURES
Journal Article
Demography (2014) 51 (5): 1933–1954.
Published: 15 August 2014
... of the number J of mixture components. For each of the resulting models, the Bayesian information criterion (BIC) is computed. For comparison, we also consider the model obtained by assuming that the expert evaluations are sampled from the same multivariate Gaussian distribution, with mean μ and covariance...
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Journal Article
Demography (2005) 42 (4): 621–646.
Published: 01 November 2005
... and for newlyweds, are consistent with a growing social divide between those with very low levels of education and those with more education in the United States. 14 1 2011 © Population Association of America 2005 2005 Bayesian Information Criterion High School Graduate Current Population Survey...
Journal Article
Demography (2006) 43 (4): 673–689.
Published: 01 November 2006
... the interracial marriage market has gone unnoticed in prior research because of the failure of prior methods to distinguish joint and marginal effects. 14 1 2011 © Population Association of America 2006 2006 Bayesian Information Criterion Marriage Market Interracial Marriage Conditional...
Journal Article
Demography (2014) 51 (5): 1755–1773.
Published: 03 October 2014
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (1995) 32 (2): 261–280.
Published: 01 May 1995
... parents, by both t-tests and the Childhood Living Arrangements and Relationships 269 Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC). Adult children who lived with their selected parent after divorce are about 50% less likely to report a high-quality relationship, and about 40% less likely to report frequent contact...
Journal Article
Demography (2015) 52 (3): 1035–1059.
Published: 12 May 2015
... criterion (AIC) for comparing complex Bayesian hierarchical models. It utilizes a deviance of the likelihood evaluated at the mean of the posterior distribution of the likelihood as the goodness-of-fit measure, corrected with the “effective number of parameters” in a model (for definitions and formal...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2012) 49 (4): 1307–1333.
Published: 12 July 2012
... not apply (Cui 2007 ; Pan 2001 ). We therefore use the quasi-likelihood information criterion (QIC) and the marginal R 2 statistic (Hardin and Hilbe 2003 ; Zheng 2000 ). Like the Bayesian information criterion (BIC), smaller QIC values indicate better model fit relative to nested models. Use...
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Journal Article
Demography (2014) 51 (3): 835–856.
Published: 09 May 2014
...Fig. 2 Bayesian information criterion (BIC) statistic compared with the saturated models for different log-linear models fit to Brazilian marriage data. Lower values indicate superior fit. Black bars indicate the case where browns and blacks are collapsed into a single category. Gray bars...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2009) 46 (1): 193–202.
Published: 01 February 2009
... as the Bayesian Information Criterion). For white women in any age group, we cannot reject the unit root hypothesis ( i = 0) for either NFRit or (Suit)2 unless we assume a linear trend (see data for women aged 30 34); that is, they are not stationary series. Although there is some evidence, 12. The models above...
Journal Article
Demography (2018) 55 (5): 1905–1934.
Published: 20 August 2018
.... Improvement in model fit with the contingency models is assessed by the change in the Bayesian information criterion (BIC) statistic between more complex and less complex (nested) models. Because the interpretation of n -way interactions is complicated, we calculate marginal effects to show estimated...
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Includes: Supplementary data