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Bayesian information criterion (BIC) statistic compared with the saturated models for different log-linear models fit to Brazilian marriage data. Lower values indicate superior fit. Black bars indicate the case where browns and blacks are collapsed into a single category. Gray bars indicate the case where browns and blacks are treated separately

Bayesian information criterion (BIC) statistic compared with the saturated ...

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in Patterns of Racial and Educational Assortative Mating in Brazil > Demography
Published: 09 May 2014
Fig. 2 Bayesian information criterion (BIC) statistic compared with the saturated models for different log-linear models fit to Brazilian marriage data. Lower values indicate superior fit. Black bars indicate the case where browns and blacks are collapsed into a single category. Gray bars More
Journal Article

Effects of Early U.S. Compulsory Schooling Laws on Educational Assortative Mating: The Importance of Context

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Emily Rauscher
Demography (2015) 52 (4): 1219–1242.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13524-015-0402-5
Published: 13 June 2015
... and spouse characteristics. Bayesian information criterion (BIC), Akaike’s information criterion (AIC), and deviance measures are used to select the model best balancing data fit and parsimony (Raftery 1986 , 1995 ). BIC alone is insufficient because it may overvalue parsimony or simpler models (Weakliem...
FIGURES
View articletitled, Effects of Early U.S. Compulsory Schooling Laws on Educational Assortative Mating: The Importance of Context View PDF for article titled, Effects of Early U.S. Compulsory Schooling Laws on Educational Assortative Mating: The Importance of Context
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article

Misunderstandings, Mischaracterizations, and the Problematic Choice of a Specific Instance in Which the IE Should Never Be Applied

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Yang Claire Yang, Kenneth C. Land
Demography (2013) 50 (6): 1969–1971.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13524-013-0254-9
Published: 17 October 2013
... of model fit statistics, such as the Bayesian information criterion (BIC). The objective is to ascertain whether the data are sufficiently well described by any single-factor or two-factor model of age (A), time period (P), and cohort (C) effects for which there is no identification problem. Only when...
View articletitled, Misunderstandings, Mischaracterizations, and the Problematic Choice of a Specific Instance in Which the IE Should Never Be Applied View PDF for article titled, Misunderstandings, Mischaracterizations, and the Problematic Choice of a Specific Instance in Which the IE Should Never Be Applied
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Ranking of functional forms for the association between educational attainment and U.S. adult all-cause mortality risk within each race-gender-age group based on the Bayesian information criterion (BIC). Age reflects person-year age. NHW refers to non-Hispanic white, NHB refers to non-Hispanic black, and NHW/B refers to both groups combined. For each subgroup, the optimal functional form is the form with the smallest BIC value (shown by darkest shade). The next two smallest BIC values are indicated by a light shade. If those BIC values were within two points of the optimal form, they are indicated by the dark shade instead of the light shade because a difference in BIC of less than two points is not practically meaningful (Raftery 1995). Pseudo-R2 = [–2LL0 – (–2LL1)] / (–2LL0), where –2LL0 and –2LL1 are the deviances of the intercept and specified models, respectively

Ranking of functional forms for the association between educational attainm...

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in Educational Attainment and Adult Mortality in the United States: A Systematic Analysis of Functional Form > Demography
Published: 13 January 2012
Fig. 2 Ranking of functional forms for the association between educational attainment and U.S. adult all-cause mortality risk within each race-gender-age group based on the Bayesian information criterion (BIC). Age reflects person-year age. NHW refers to non-Hispanic white, NHB refers to non More
Journal Article

Do Migrants Exhibit More Grit? A Research Note

Open Access
Michael J. White, Tyler W. Myroniuk, Carren Ginsburg, Chantel Pheiffer
Demography (2024) 61 (5): 1309–1323.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1215/00703370-11577556
Published: 01 October 2024
... are measured at Wave 2; 30 village dummy variables are omitted from the table for fixed effects models. All models are weighted; pseudo R 2 , AIC, and BIC are from the associated unweighted model. AIC = Akaike information criterion. BIC = Bayesian information criterion. * p  < .05; ** p  < .01...
View articletitled, Do Migrants Exhibit More Grit? A Research Note View PDF for article titled, Do Migrants Exhibit More Grit? A Research Note
Journal Article

Fitting Age-Period-Cohort Models Using the Intrinsic Estimator: Assumptions and Misapplications

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Ryan K. Masters, Daniel A. Powers, Robert A. Hummer, Audrey Beck, Shih-Fan Lin ...
Demography (2016) 53 (4): 1253–1259.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13524-016-0481-y
Published: 15 June 2016
...-period-cohort analysis: New models, methods, and empirical applications . Boca Raton, FL : CRC Press . 18 5 2016 15 6 2016 © Population Association of America 2016 2016 Bayesian Information Criterion Effect Code Dummy Code Intrinsic Estimator Ridge Regression Estimator...
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View articletitled, Fitting Age-Period-Cohort Models Using the Intrinsic Estimator: Assumptions and Misapplications View PDF for article titled, Fitting Age-Period-Cohort Models Using the Intrinsic Estimator: Assumptions and Misapplications
Journal Article

Educational Attainment and Adult Mortality in the United States: A Systematic Analysis of Functional Form

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Jennifer Karas Montez, Robert A. Hummer, Mark D. Hayward
Demography (2012) 49 (1): 315–336.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13524-011-0082-8
Published: 13 January 2012
...Fig. 2 Ranking of functional forms for the association between educational attainment and U.S. adult all-cause mortality risk within each race-gender-age group based on the Bayesian information criterion (BIC). Age reflects person-year age. NHW refers to non-Hispanic white, NHB refers to non...
FIGURES
View articletitled, Educational Attainment and Adult Mortality in the United States: A Systematic Analysis of Functional Form View PDF for article titled, Educational Attainment and Adult Mortality in the United States: A Systematic Analysis of Functional Form
Journal Article

Stability across cohorts in divorce risk factors

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Jay D. Teachman
Demography (2002) 39 (2): 331–351.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1353/dem.2002.0019
Published: 01 May 2002
... , 930 – 53 . 10.1086/229613 Weakliem , D. ( 2001 ). A Critique of the Bayesian Information Criterion in Model Selection . Sociological Methods and Research , 27 , 359 – 97 . 10.1177/0049124199027003002 White , L. ( 1990 ). Determinants of Divorce: A Review of Research...
View articletitled, Stability across cohorts in divorce risk factors View PDF for article titled, Stability across cohorts in divorce risk factors
Journal Article

Who Matters Most? Migrant Networks, Tie Strength, and First Rural–Urban Migration to Dakar

Open Access
Yacine Boujija, Simona Bignami, Valérie Delaunay, John Sandberg
Demography (2022) 59 (5): 1683–1711.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1215/00703370-10191592
Published: 01 October 2022
... Notes: Standard errors are shown in parentheses. AIC = Akaike information criterion. BIC = Bayesian information criterion. Source: Compiled by authors using the NSNHP main survey, 2014. † p  < .10; * p  < .05; ** p  < .01 To address potential nonlinearities associated...
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View articletitled, Who Matters Most? Migrant Networks, Tie Strength, and First Rural–Urban Migration to Dakar View PDF for article titled, Who Matters Most? Migrant Networks, Tie Strength, and First Rural–Urban Migration to Dakar
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article

Neighborhood Diversity, Neighborhood Affluence: An Analysis of the Neighborhood Destination Choices of Mixed-Race Couples With Children

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Ryan Gabriel, Amy Spring
Demography (2019) 56 (3): 1051–1073.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13524-019-00779-1
Published: 16 April 2019
...* 0.005 BIC 38,692 38,577 38,451 38,394 Notes: All models incorporate the offset term to adjust for sampling the choice set. Bayesian information criterion (BIC) is based on the first of 10 imputation data sets. N (couple-period-tract alternatives) = 158,819; N (unique couple-periods...
View articletitled, Neighborhood Diversity, Neighborhood Affluence: An Analysis of the Neighborhood Destination Choices of Mixed-Race Couples With Children View PDF for article titled, Neighborhood Diversity, Neighborhood Affluence: An Analysis of the Neighborhood Destination Choices of Mixed-Race Couples With Children
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article

Trends in Mortality Decrease and Economic Growth

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Geng Niu, Bertrand Melenberg
Demography (2014) 51 (5): 1755–1773.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13524-014-0328-3
Published: 03 October 2014
... and countries, except for females in the United Kingdom. Fig. 3 Parameters of Model (6) (females) We use the Bayesian information criterion (BIC) to compare the goodness of fit between our model and the Lee-Carter model. The BIC is a popular criterion that takes into account the balance between...
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View articletitled, Trends in Mortality Decrease and Economic Growth View PDF for article titled, Trends in Mortality Decrease and Economic Growth
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article

Stochastic Population Forecasting Based on Combinations of Expert Evaluations Within the Bayesian Paradigm

Open Access
Francesco C. Billari, Rebecca Graziani, Eugenio Melilli
Demography (2014) 51 (5): 1933–1954.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13524-014-0318-5
Published: 15 August 2014
... 101 128 30 30 83.81 101.34 (89.01 115.83) 101.09 (90.08 111.50) The mixture model is fitted for several choices of the number J of mixture components. For each of the resulting models, the Bayesian information criterion (BIC) is computed. For comparison, we also consider the model...
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View articletitled, Stochastic Population Forecasting Based on Combinations of Expert Evaluations Within the <span class="search-highlight">Bayesian</span> Paradigm View PDF for article titled, Stochastic Population Forecasting Based on Combinations of Expert Evaluations Within the <span class="search-highlight">Bayesian</span> Paradigm
Journal Article

Trends in educational assortative marriage from 1940 to 2003

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Christine R. Schwartz, Robert D. Mare
Demography (2005) 42 (4): 621–646.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1353/dem.2005.0036
Published: 01 November 2005
... and for newlyweds, are consistent with a growing social divide between those with very low levels of education and those with more education in the United States. 14 1 2011 © Population Association of America 2005 2005 Bayesian Information Criterion High School Graduate Current Population Survey...
View articletitled, Trends in educational assortative marriage from 1940 to 2003 View PDF for article titled, Trends in educational assortative marriage from 1940 to 2003
Journal Article

Contraceptive Behavior Dynamics and Unintended Pregnancy: A Latent Transition Analysis

Open Access
Alison Swiatlo, Sian Curtis, Nisha Gottfredson, Carolyn Halpern, Katherine Tumlinson ...
Demography (2023) 60 (4): 1089–1113.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1215/00703370-10877862
Published: 01 August 2023
... the transition invariant model and the free transition model, p value = .25; see Table A2 , online appendix). The results indicated that the Bayesian information criterion and the likelihood ratio difference test favored the transition invariant model, whereas the Akaike information criterion favored the free...
FIGURES
View articletitled, Contraceptive Behavior Dynamics and Unintended Pregnancy: A Latent Transition Analysis View PDF for article titled, Contraceptive Behavior Dynamics and Unintended Pregnancy: A Latent Transition Analysis
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article

Education and black-white interracial marriage

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Aaron Gullickson
Demography (2006) 43 (4): 673–689.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1353/dem.2006.0033
Published: 01 November 2006
... the interracial marriage market has gone unnoticed in prior research because of the failure of prior methods to distinguish joint and marginal effects. 14 1 2011 © Population Association of America 2006 2006 Bayesian Information Criterion Marriage Market Interracial Marriage Conditional...
View articletitled, Education and black-white interracial marriage View PDF for article titled, Education and black-white interracial marriage
Journal Article

Childhood Living Arrangements and Adult Children’s Relations with their Parents

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Diane N. Lye, Daniel H. Klepinger, Patricia Davis Hyle, Anjanette Nelson
Demography (1995) 32 (2): 261–280.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/2061744
Published: 01 May 1995
... parents, by both t-tests and the Childhood Living Arrangements and Relationships 269 Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC). Adult children who lived with their selected parent after divorce are about 50% less likely to report a high-quality relationship, and about 40% less likely to report frequent contact...
View articletitled, Childhood Living Arrangements and Adult Children’s Relations with their Parents View PDF for article titled, Childhood Living Arrangements and Adult Children’s Relations with their Parents
Journal Article

Bayesian Population Forecasting: Extending the Lee-Carter Method

Open Access
Arkadiusz Wiśniowski, Peter W. F. Smith, Jakub Bijak, James Raymer, Jonathan J. Forster
Demography (2015) 52 (3): 1035–1059.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13524-015-0389-y
Published: 12 May 2015
... criterion (AIC) for comparing complex Bayesian hierarchical models. It utilizes a deviance of the likelihood evaluated at the mean of the posterior distribution of the likelihood as the goodness-of-fit measure, corrected with the “effective number of parameters” in a model (for definitions and formal...
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View articletitled, <span class="search-highlight">Bayesian</span> Population Forecasting: Extending the Lee-Carter Method View PDF for article titled, <span class="search-highlight">Bayesian</span> Population Forecasting: Extending the Lee-Carter Method
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article

Revisiting Horizontal Stratification in Higher Education: College Prestige Hierarchy and Educational Assortative Mating in China

Open Access
Acton Jiashi Feng
Demography (2022) 59 (1): 349–369.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1215/00703370-9656369
Published: 01 February 2022
... to marry someone on the other end of the educational distribution. Table 2 presents the goodness-of-fit statistics of the fitted models: degrees of freedom, the likelihood ratio chi-square statistic ( L 2 ), Bayesian information criterion (BIC) statistic, dissimilarity index, deviance, and p...
View articletitled, Revisiting Horizontal Stratification in Higher Education: College Prestige Hierarchy and Educational Assortative Mating in China View PDF for article titled, Revisiting Horizontal Stratification in Higher Education: College Prestige Hierarchy and Educational Assortative Mating in China
Journal Article

Migration Systems in Europe: Evidence From Harmonized Flow Data

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Jack DeWaard, Keuntae Kim, James Raymer
Demography (2012) 49 (4): 1307–1333.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13524-012-0117-9
Published: 12 July 2012
... 2000 ). Like the Bayesian information criterion (BIC), smaller QIC values indicate better model fit relative to nested models. Use of the marginal R 2 is intended to overcome the problem raised by Cui ( 2007 ): namely, that there exist no rules for model selection like those suggested by Raftery...
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View articletitled, Migration Systems in Europe: Evidence From Harmonized Flow Data View PDF for article titled, Migration Systems in Europe: Evidence From Harmonized Flow Data
Journal Article

How Gender Segregation in Higher Education Contributes to Gender Segregation in the U.S. Labor Market

Open Access
Haowen Zheng, Kim A. Weeden
Demography (2023) 60 (3): 761–784.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1215/00703370-10653728
Published: 01 June 2023
... other), educational attainment, age (three-year intervals), and region (Northeast, Midwest, South, and West). N  = 2,372,463. AIC = Akaike information criterion. BIC = Bayesian information criterion. Data Source: 2019 five-year American Community Survey Integrated Public Use Microdata Series...
FIGURES
View articletitled, How Gender Segregation in Higher Education Contributes to Gender Segregation in the U.S. Labor Market View PDF for article titled, How Gender Segregation in Higher Education Contributes to Gender Segregation in the U.S. Labor Market
Includes: Supplementary data