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Actual Death Rate

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Published: 18 May 2017
Fig. 4 The log central death rates averaged over the age range of 0–89, actual values from 1940 (Portugal) or 1950 (Finland and Spain) to 2001+ μ, and forecasted values from year 2001 to 2001+ μ. The forecasted values are based on the optimal calibration window identified by the sequential More
Journal Article
Demography (1995) 32 (2): 215–229.
Published: 01 May 1995
... to the postsecondary level of education but experience less reduction than whites by moving from the primary to the secondary level. Thus, the secular decline in mortality rates that generally accompanies historical improvements in education might actually be associated with an increase in the relative differences...
Journal Article
Demography (1971) 8 (1): 71–80.
Published: 01 February 1971
... the population will multiply by over 2. 5 before attaining stationarity. The ultimate population actually reached will be higher insofar as death rates continue to improve. If stability cannot be assumed the ultimate stationary population is provided by the more general expression (7), which is still easier...
Journal Article
Demography (1968) 5 (1): 104–121.
Published: 01 March 1968
..., lograr una tasa baja de crecimiento poblacional en el mundo. Summary Although the worldwide population explosion has been created by a decline in death rates, paradoxically a further decline in mortality in the less developed nations may be an invaluable aid for curbing the current rate of world...
Journal Article
Demography (1972) 9 (1): 51–68.
Published: 01 February 1972
... changes which occurred, even though the actual figures usually fell within the range projected. Elaboration of projection methodology has not resulted in any great increase in the precision of the projections, largely because birth rates have fluctuated widely, and the fluctuations have proven difficult...
Journal Article
Demography (1984) 21 (4): 613–622.
Published: 01 November 1984
...David P. Smith Abstract When age-specific death rates are available for single year ages any of several formulas may be used to estimate the probability of dying in an age interval, 5 q x . For 5-year age intervals, however, the simplest formulas are usually not as precise as some that are more...
Journal Article
Demography (1971) 8 (3): 389–400.
Published: 01 August 1971
... for a long in Fig. 2. The agreement is clearly very time and for many different population good. This calculation illustrates the use groups. One can tum the above problem DEATH RATES IN FRANCE ((825 - 1827) 0.1 E ::l LA.i l- e:( c:: :r ~ w Cl u i:i: u l.lJ 0- VI w C) 0.01e:( - ACTUAL DEATH RATES...
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Published: 18 May 2017
Fig. 1 The central and interval forecasts of the log central death rates for the Spanish unisex population at age 85, based on the Lee-Carter models fitted to the age range of 0–89 and calibration windows beginning in 1950 (solid line), 1983 (dot-dashed line), and 1990 (dashed line). The circles More
Journal Article
Demography (2014) 51 (1): 27–49.
Published: 23 November 2013
... observations at ages 40–44 to 80–84 for periods beginning in 1947–1951. This starting period was chosen because it produced the best fit to actual death rates in 2009 among all potential start years from 1937 to 1987. The coefficients of ln( S c ) are 1.279 for males and 0.929 for females. Greater...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2013) 50 (2): 569–589.
Published: 15 November 2012
..., the average of P 75 declined from 62.53 to 59.10 (this decline is statistically significant at conventional levels; t = 4.51), even though actual death rates were falling steadily. As a result, the downward bias in individual forecasts has grown over time. A literal interpretation of subjective forecasts...
FIGURES
Journal Article
Demography (2001) 38 (4): 551–561.
Published: 01 November 2001
... that education differences in mortality had increased for men at all ages since 1960, particularly for those over age 64. Actual death rates for men with more education had declined more sharply than for less-educated men. For women, death rates declined comparably for all education levels, maintaining...
Journal Article
Demography (1984) 21 (1): 53–69.
Published: 01 February 1984
... that a better fit might be made to the black population may actually have South model tables which also reflect been different from that of the whites high rates of diarrheal deaths. High tu- and, by extension, from model patterns. berculosis deaths, on the other hand, are Equally plausible...
Journal Article
Demography (2019) 56 (2): 645–663.
Published: 05 March 2019
..., are the counterfactual (i.e., 1991) and actual rates of mortality from homicide. We then convert these counterfactual mortality rates to counterfactual risks of dying ( q x ′ ) and construct life tables based on these risks. We estimate YPLL for actual homicide deaths and for those that would take place...
FIGURES
Journal Article
Demography (1974) 11 (1): 119–130.
Published: 01 February 1974
...-Demeny (1966) "West" female stable populations to examine whether actual changes in r, holding constant fertility, are accurately predicted by the average change in death rates between ages zero and AB Errors in prediction can result from two sources: mortality changes between a and (3 which...
Journal Article
Demography (1986) 23 (4): 543–562.
Published: 01 November 1986
... but used, instead, the actual rates experienced during the period 1846-1851. The results are summarized in table 8. These results indicate that the total number of excess deaths during the Famine was about one million.i" This number is fairly robust with respect to the emigration pattern employed (Basis...
Journal Article
Demography (1986) 23 (4): 621–631.
Published: 01 November 1986
... persons. Second, because data on the incomes of recently widowed households may not measure the actual incomes of those households during the reference year, it overstates the movements into and out of poverty associated with the death of a husband. I The potential upward bias in dynamic measures...
Journal Article
Demography (1970) 7 (4): 417–432.
Published: 01 November 1970
... young that it is actually less favorable to growth than the stationary, illustrating a point made in the previous section. Both crude birth and death rates contribute to this con- dition. If Togo's population possessed a "stationary" age distribution and current rates of mortality and fertility...
Journal Article
Demography (1984) 21 (3): 297–307.
Published: 01 August 1984
..., if the risk of dying is constant at all ages, the survivorship curve de- clines exponentially, H equals unity (as integration in equation (5) will show) and a change 8 in the death rates is reflected by an equal proportionate change in eo. Since actual life tables are associated with H values considerably...
Journal Article
Demography (1964) 1 (1): 296–315.
Published: 01 March 1964
... for an indirectly age- standardized death rate is the ratio of the actual number of deaths that occurred in the given population to the number that 300 DEMOGRAPHY would have occurred if the age structure of the given population were exposed to the age-specificdeath rates of the standard population. Inasmuch...
Journal Article
Demography (1966) 3 (1): 218–237.
Published: 01 March 1966
... elevado nivel. Se estableció una esperanza de vida al nacimiento en 1940 para sexo masculino y femenino de 34.6 y 28.3 años respectivamente mientras que las correspondientes para 1961 fueron 46.9 y 50.8 años. Life Table Degree Function Birth Registration Death Registration Estimate Growth Rate...