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Accurate Predictor
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Journal Article
Demography (2024) 61 (3): 627–642.
Published: 01 June 2024
... conclude that, compared with alternative measures, CRE provides a more accurate predictor of community vulnerability to a disaster such as a pandemic. Corresponding author: [email protected] Copyright © 2024 The Authors 2024 Freely available online through the Demography open access option...
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Journal Article
Demography (1985) 22 (4): 633–634.
Published: 01 November 1985
...S. Krishnamoorthy; P. M. Kulkarni 9 1 2011 © Population Association of America 1985 1985 Mathematical Logic Living Child Accurate Predictor Mortality Level Wrong Formulation References Krishnamoorthy S. ( 1979 ). Mortality level, desire for surviving son...
Journal Article
Demography (2022) 59 (4): 1459–1488.
Published: 01 August 2022
...Deirdre Bloome; Shannon Ang Abstract Demographers and other social scientists often study effect heterogeneity (defined here as differences in outcome–predictor associations across groups defined by the values of a third variable) to understand how inequalities evolve between groups or how groups...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Demography (2013) 50 (2): 569–589.
Published: 15 November 2012
...Todd E. Elder Abstract Several recent studies suggest that individual subjective survival forecasts are powerful predictors of both mortality and behavior. Using 15 years of longitudinal data from the Health and Retirement Study, I present an alternative view. Across a wide range of ages...
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Journal Article
Demography (1980) 17 (4): 413–427.
Published: 01 November 1980
...- gression model (i.e., to the "model data set") and do not incorporate subsequent post-censal information, say, for example, from the predictor variables substituted into a given regression model in order to produce an actual post-censal estimate (i.e., information from the "estimation data set The issue...
Journal Article
Demography (1983) 20 (3): 369–384.
Published: 01 August 1983
... expecta- tions of married women surveyed in the June 1971 CPS were found to be fairly accurate predictors of completed family size for the 1971-1981 period. The dis- crepancy between actual and expected childbearing previously noted for the 1971-1976 period (O'Connell and Moore, 1977) has apparently been...
Journal Article
Demography (1993) 30 (2): 243–268.
Published: 01 May 1993
... than those for whites. If income is the more accurate predictor of spatial outcomes for whites, education is the better predictor for blacks. Again, however, when both education and income were controlled, whites achieved locations superior to those for blacks. In two other studies, Massey's group used...
Journal Article
Demography (2014) 51 (6): 1999–2023.
Published: 31 October 2014
... et al. 2012 ), physician evaluations of health (Ferraro and Farmer 1999 ), and respondent reports of morbidity and functional disability (Zajacova and Dowd 2011 ). Beyond its use as an outcome variable, self-rated health is a remarkable predictor of a host of future health outcomes, including...
Journal Article
Demography (1965) 2 (1): 1–7.
Published: 01 March 1965
...- curring to couples in the study during the study period is small, the relation between contraceptive failure and other variables is not examined. Re-examination of the data presented in Zaidi's study (1961) indicates that edu- cation and landholding are not accurate predictors of interest in family...
Journal Article
Demography (2013) 50 (4): 1387–1395.
Published: 21 December 2012
... (first marriage or next birth) between durations in parity t and t + 1. The main predictor variable in the model is duration in parity. Other predictor variables are socioeconomic variables of interest, such as urban/rural residence and education. The set of model-predicted probabilities P...
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Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Article
Unwed fathers’ ability to pay child support: New estimates accounting for multiple-partner fertility
Demography (2009) 46 (2): 247–263.
Published: 01 May 2009
... for the uncertainty associated with missing data, the MI strategy lends itself to taking full advantage of the richness of the FFCWS data. The extended model incorporates a large ar- ray of predictor variables, in addition to the standard earnings equation covariates used in Simulations 1 and 2. The MI strategy...
Journal Article
Demography (2016) 53 (4): 1245–1252.
Published: 12 May 2016
... by Masters et al. ( 2014 ) are unbiased: do they reflect the unknown parameters or not? A less-discussed aspect of APC models is the potential difficulty in interpreting the resulting estimates. In regression models, the effect of a predictor variable is typically interpreted as the pure...
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Journal Article
Demography (1974) 11 (4): 641–656.
Published: 01 November 1974
... planning practice are the strongest predictors of fertility and account for about 10 percent and 7 percent of the total variance, respectively. Other factors which accounted for lesser fractions of variability are ideal number of children, rural versus urban residence, education, aspiration for daughters...
Journal Article
Demography (2007) 44 (3): 603–621.
Published: 01 August 2007
... measures of contraceptive use, such as use at the rst or last sexual encounter, although consistency of contraceptive and condom use are more accurate predictors of unintended pregnancy and STIs (Ford and Lepkowski 2004; Glei 1999). This study builds on previous research by using a detailed, sequential...
Journal Article
Demography (1992) 29 (2): 265–285.
Published: 01 May 1992
... personality traits and diverse life-cycle experiences in the development of childbearing motivation, the differential gender distribution of predictors, and the different experiential antecedents of positive and negative motivation 14 1 2011 © Population Association of America 1992 1992...
Journal Article
Demography (1994) 31 (2): 249–270.
Published: 01 May 1994
... variables available from census sources and through respondents' self-reports, little use has been made of these variables in the mobility literature. On those occasions when research ventures beyond individual demographic and housing predictors of mobility, the attempt to capture neighborhood effects...
Journal Article
Demography (2002) 39 (3): 573–586.
Published: 01 August 2002
... or that their partners reports differed from their own. We used logistic regression to explore the patterns and predictors of discordant re- porting of children ever born for matched couples. Patterns of discordant reporting and the factors associated with the discordance provide insight into the types of reporting...
Journal Article
Demography (2000) 37 (3): 267–283.
Published: 01 August 2000
... score to the list of predictors in Model 1 yielded Model 2, which showed a significant relationship between the comorbidity scale score and the AADLs (beta = 0.132, p < .001). Model 3 is Model 2 with the co- morbidity scale score broken down into its six components. Because Model 3 yielded a larger...
Journal Article
Family Income Has Only Weak Effects on Cognitive Scores in Australia: A Comment on Khanam and Nghiem
Demography (2017) 54 (2): 801–807.
Published: 06 March 2017
..., then taking the log of the average and finally centering. I estimate the effects of income on these outcomes in a series of models beginning with family income as the only predictor variable. Subsequent models add, in turn, two other indicators of socioeconomic status (SES): parental education...
Journal Article
Demography (2013) 50 (5): 1789–1818.
Published: 10 May 2013
... and nonmarital unions, the predictors of dissolution may differ for married and unmarried parents. If marriage is protective, marital unions may have a lower risk of dissolution in the face of poor economic performance and relationship troubles than do comparable nonmarital relationships. In this article, we...
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