Abstract
The paper deals with the common allegation that economies characterized by increasing returns of scale are suboptimally populated. Although increasing returns is a necessary condition for suboptimal population, it is demonstrated that it is not sufficient. Furthermore, a more stringent necessary condition is available, i.e., the degree of returns to scale must exceed one plus the capital share for the economy. This necessary condition may also be employed as a test of sufficiency for overpopulation. In the light of this criterion, it is suggested that the incidence of suboptimal population has been overestimated.
The text of this article is only available as a PDF.
References
Bain, Joseph S. (
1954
). Economies of scale, concentration and the conditions of entry in twenty manufacturing industries
. American Economic Review
, 44
, 15
–39
.Clark, Colin (
1953
). Population growth and living standards
. International Labour Review
, 68
, 99
–117
.Coale, Ansley, & Hoover, Edgar (
1958
). Population Growth and Economic Development in Low-Income Countries
. Princeton
: Princeton University Press
.Cole, Robert E. (
1970
). Dependency ratios, per capita income, and optimal populations
. Economic Development and Cultural Change
, 18
, 617
–620
. 10.1086/450455Enke, Stephen (
1963
). Economics for Development
. Englewood Cliffs, N. J.
: Prentice-Hall
.Gottlieb, Manuel (
1945
). The theory of an optimum for a closed economy
. Journal of Political Economy
, 53
, 289
–316
. 10.1086/256283Kuznets, Simon (
1959
). Quantitative aspects of the economic growth of nations, IV. Distribution of national income by factor shares
. Economic Development and Cultural Change
, 7
, 1
–100
. 10.1086/449811Kuznets, Simon (
1960
). Population change and aggregate output
Demographic and Economic Change in Developed Countries
. Princeton
: Princeton University Press
.Lewis, Arthur W. (
1955
). The Theory of Economic Growth
. Homewood, Ill
: Richard D. Irwin
.Liebhafsky, H. H. (
1968
). The Nature of Price Theory
. rev. ed.Homewood, Ill.
: Dorsey Press
.Meier, Gerald M., & Baldwin, Robert E. (
1957
). Economic Development
. New York
: John Wiley and Sons
.Quandt, Richard (
1960
). Comment
Demography and Economic Change in Developed Countries
. Princeton
: Princeton University Press
.Spengler, J. J. (
1947
). Aspects of the economics of population growth
. Southern Economic Journal
, 14
, 123
–147
. 10.2307/1052930Spengler, J. J. (
1952
). Population theory
. In Haley, Bernard (Ed.), A Survey of Contemporary Economics
. Homewood, Ill.
: Richard D. Irwin
.Spengler, J. J. (
1954
). Welfare economics and the problem of overpopulation
. Scientia
, 89
, 128
–138
.Spengler, J. J. (
1961
). The population problem: yesterday, today, tomorrow
. Southern Economic Journal
, 27
, 194
–208
. 10.2307/1055086Determinants and Consequences of Population Trends
. (1953
). New York
: United Nations
.© Population Association of America 1972
1972
Issue Section:
Articles