Abstract

Nearly all developed countries have experienced dramatic declines in the seasonality of demographic behavior over the last century. This article examines seasonal behavior in the population of Taiwan between 1906 and 1942, during Japanese colonial rule. First, we analyze seasonal demographic cycles and their ties to the cultural calendar and agriculture. Second, we compare seasonality in two regions (Xinzhu and Tainan) that experienced different agricultural development under the colonial regime. Findings demonstrate that demographic seasonality was less pronounced when urban development and colonial agricultural intensification produced more heterogeneous seasonal patterns of labor. We find that changes in agricultural organization, rather than purely a shift to nonagricultural production, may significantly reduce established seasonal timing of demographic behavior.

The text of this article is only available as a PDF.

References

Banister, J. (
1987
).
China’s Changing Population
.
Stanford, CA
:
Stanford University Press
Barclay, G. W. (
1954
).
Colonial Development and Population in Taiwan
.
Princeton, NJ
:
Princeton University Press
Barclay, G. W. (
1954
).
A Report on Taiwan’s Population
.
Princeton, NJ
:
Princeton University, Office of Population Research
Barrett, R. E. (1978). Differential Fertility in Rural Taiwan, 1905–1940. Unpublished Ph.D. dissertation, University of Michigan, Dept. of Sociology.
Barrett, R. E. (
1990
).
Seasonality of Vital Processes in a Traditional Chinese Population
.
Modern China
,
16
,
190
224
. 10.1177/009770049001600203
Becker, S. (
1981
).
Seasonal Patterns of Fertility Measures: Theory and Data
.
Journal of the American Statistical Association
,
76
,
249
259
. 10.1080/01621459.1981.10477637
Bloomfield, P. (
1976
).
Fourier Analysis of Time Series: An Introduction
.
New York
:
Wiley
Chen, C.-S. (
1953
).
A Geographical Atlas of Taiwan
.
Taipei
:
Fu-min Institute of Agricultural Geography
Gallin, B. (
1966
).
Hsin Hsing, Taiwan: A Chinese Village in Change
.
Berkeley
:
University of California Press
Geertz, C. (
1963
).
Agricultural Involution: The Processes of Ecological Change in Indonesia
.
Berkeley
:
University of California Press
Geertz, C. (
1984
).
Culture and Social Change: The Indonesian Case
.
Man
,
19
,
511
532
. 10.2307/2802324
Taiwan Annual Statistical Report
. (
1897
).
Taihoku (Taipei)
:
Governor-General of Taiwan’s Office
Vital Statistics of the Population
. (
1906-1943
).
Taihoku (Taipei)
:
Governor-General of Taiwan’s Office
Guo, N., & Li, K. (1983). “Time Distribution of Births.” Renkou yu Jingji, Special Issue: An Analysis of a National One per Thousand Population Sample Survey in Birth Rate, 72–75.
Koopmans, L. H. (
1974
).
The Spectral Analysis of Time Series
.
New York
:
Academic Press
Lam, D. A., & Miron, J. A. (1987). “Seasonality of Births in Historical Populations.” Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, Chicago.
Lee, R. D. (
1981
).
Methods and Models for Analyzing Historical Series of Births, Deaths, and Marriages
. In Lee, R. D. (Ed.),
Population Patterns in the Past
(pp.
337
370
).
New York
:
Academic Press
Levy, V. (
1986
).
Seasonal Fertility Cycles in Rural Egypt: Behavioral and Biological Linkages
.
Demography
,
23
,
13
30
. 10.2307/2061405
Liu, J., & Huang, L. (1983). “Time Distribution of Women’s First Marriage.” Renkou yu Jingji, Special Issue: An Analysis of a National One per Thousand Population Sample Survey in Birth Rate, 111–114.
Massey, D. S., & Mullan, B. P. (
1984
).
A Demonstration of the Effect of Seasonal Migration on Fertility
.
Demography
,
21
,
501
517
. 10.2307/2060912
Pasternak, B. (
1972
).
Kinship and Community in Two Taiwanese Villages
.
Stanford, CA
:
Stanford University Press
Pasternak, B. (
1976
).
Seasons of Birth and Marriage in Two Chinese Localities
.
Human Ecology
,
6
,
299
323
. 10.1007/BF00889028
Pasternak, B. (
1983
).
Guests in the Dragon
.
New York
:
Columbia University Press
Taun, C.-H. (
1958
).
Reproductive Histories of Chinese Women in Rural Taiwan
.
Population Studies
,
12
,
40
50
. 10.1080/00324728.1958.10404369
Tukey, J. W. (
1967
).
An Introduction to the Calculations of Numerical Spectrum Analysis
. In Harris, B. (Ed.),
Spectral Analysis of Time Series
(pp.
25
46
).
New York
:
Wiley
Tung, T.-P. (
1960
).
Chronological Tables of Chinese History
.
Hong Kong
:
Hong Kong University Press
Wolf, A. P., & Huang, C.-S. (
1980
).
Marriage and Adoption in China, 1845–1945
.
Stanford, CA
:
Stanford University Press
Xenos, P. (
1989
).
Toward an Historical Demography for Southeast Asia
.
Honolulu
:
East-West Center