Abstract

In this article, methods are presented for measuring the level and age pattern of sterility from incomplete birth histories, such as those that can be collected in demographic surveys of women who may not yet have reached the end of their reproductive span. The characteristics of the methods are examined in a simulation study that demonstrates that estimates based on information about fertility subsequent to a given age are more robust to variations in reproductive determinants, sample size, and sampling variation than the other measures, which include the frequently employed length of the open birth interval. In an illustrative analysis of World Fertility Survey data from sub-Saharan Africa, sterility was found to be high in Cameroon, intermediate in Lesotho and Sudan, and low in Ghana and Kenya relative to an English historical population.

The text of this article is only available as a PDF.

References

Barrett, J. C. (
1971
).
Use of a fertility simulation model to refine measurement techniques
.
Demography
,
8
,
481
490
. 10.2307/2060684
Caldwell, J. C, & Caldwell, P. (
1983
).
Demographic evidence for the incidence and course of abnormally low fertility in tropical Africa
.
World Health Statistics Quarterly
,
36
,
2
34
.
Ghana Fertility Survey 1979–80: First Report
. (
1983
).
Accra, Ghana
:
Central Bureau of Statistics
.
Kenya Fertility Survey 1977–1978: First Report
. (
1980
).
Nairobi, Kenya
:
Central Bureau of Statistics
.
Lesotho Fertility Survey, 1977: First Report
. (
1981
).
Maseru, Lesotho
:
Ministry of Planning and Statistics
.
The Sudan Fertility Survey 1979: Principal Report
. (
1982
).
Khartoum, Sudan
:
Ministry of Planning and Statistics
.
Coale, A., & McNeil, D. (
1972
).
The distribution by age at first marriage in a female cohort
.
Journal of the American Statistical Association
,
67
,
743
749
. 10.2307/2284631
Enquete Nationale sur la Fecondite du Cameroon 1978. Rapport Principal. 1983. Huddersfield, U.K.: Charlesworth.
Flinn, M. (
1981
).
The European Demographic System, 1500–1820
.
Baltimore, Md.
:
Johns Hopkins University Press
.
Frank, O. (
1983
).
Infertility in sub-Saharan Africa: Estimates and implications
.
Population and Development Review
,
9
,
137
145
. 10.2307/1972901
Henin, R. A., Korten, A., & Werner, L. H. (
1982
).
Evaluation of Birth Histories: A Case Study of Kenya
.
Voorburg, The Netherlands
:
International Statistical Institute
.
Henry, L. (
1961
).
Some data on natural fertility
.
Eugenics Quarterly
,
8
,
81
91
.
Henry, L. (
1965
).
French statistical work in natural fertility
. In Sheps, M., & Ridley, J. C. (Eds.),
Public Health and Population Change
.
Pittsburgh
:
University of Pittsburgh Press
.
Standard Recode (version 3). 1978
. (
1978
).
London
:
International Statistical Institute
.
Larsen, U. M. 1985. Measures of Sterility: A Comparative Study of the Levels and the Differentials of Sterility in Cameroon, Kenya and Sudan. Unpublished Ph.D. dissertation, Princeton University, Office of Population Research.
Leridon, H. (
1977
).
Sur l’estimation de la sterilite
.
Population
,
32
,
231
245
. 10.2307/1531809
Standard Recode (version 3). 1977
. (
1977
).
London
:
International Statistical Institute
.
Lesthaeghe, R., and F. Eelens. In press. Production and reproduction in sub-Saharan Africa: An overview of organizing principles. In R. Lesthaeghe (ed.), Reproduction and Social Organization in Sub-Saharan Africa. Berkeley: University of California Press.
Menken, J. (
1979
).
Seasonal migration and seasonal variation in fecundability: Effects on birth rates and birth intervals
.
Demography
,
16
,
103
119
. 10.2307/2061082
Menken, J., Trusscll, J., & Larsen, U. (
1986
).
Age and infertility
.
Science
,
233
,
1389
1394
. 10.1126/science.3755843
Cameroon Fertility Survey, 1978: Standard Recode
. (
1978
).
London
:
International Statistical Institute
.
Owasu, J. (
1984
).
Evaluation of the Ghana Fertility Survey, 1979–1980
.
Voorburg, The Netherlands
:
International Statistical Institute
.
Pittinger, D. B. (
1973
).
An exponential model of female sterility
.
Demography
,
10
,
113
121
. 10.2307/2060754
Potter, J. E. (
1977
).
Problems in using birth-history analysis to estimate trends in fertility
.
Population Studies
,
31
,
335
364
. 10.2307/2173921
Pressat, R., & Wilson, C. (
1985
).
The Dictionary of Demography
.
New York
:
Blackwell
.
Ghana Fertility Survey, 1979–80
Standard Recode
. (
1980
).
London
:
International Statistical Institute
.
Rizgalla, M. (
1985
).
Evaluation of the Sudan Fertility Survey 1978–79
.
Voorburg, The Netherlands
:
International Statistical Institute
.
Santow, G., & Bioumla, A. (
1984
).
An Evaluation of the Cameroon Fertility Survey 1978
.
Voorburg, The Netherlands
:
International Statistical Institute
.
Standard Recode
. (
1979
).
London
:
International Statistical Institute
.
Timaeus, I., & Balasubramanian, K. (
1984
).
Evaluation of the Lesotho Fertility Survey, 1977
.
Voorburg, The Netherlands
:
International Statistical Institute
.
Trussell, J., & Wilson, C. (
1985
).
Sterility in a population with natural fertility
.
Population Studies
,
39
,
269
286
. 10.1080/0032472031000141486
Vaessen, M. (
1984
).
Childlessness and Infecundity
.
Voorburg, The Netherlands
:
International Statistical Institute
.
Vincent, P. (
1950
). La stérilité physiologique des populations.
Population
,
5
,
45
64
. 10.2307/1523911
Westoff, C. F., & Pcbley, A. R. (
1981
).
Alternative measures of unmet need for family planning in developing countries
.
International Family Planning Perspectives
,
7
,
126
138
. 10.2307/2947843