Abstract
Migration probabilities are known to vary over the population (heterogeneity) and over time (nonstationarity). It is shown that if the heterogeneity is represented by an SB mixing distribution and the nonstationarity by a set of arbitrary logistic scaling functions, then not only may all sources of heterogeneity, including tastes, be modelled, but heterogeneity at different points in time may be readily compared. The model is calibrated using data previously published by Clark et al. (1977, 1979) for a sample of 1,176 older renters and is found to fit well. The-changing heterogeneity over the ten-year period of observation is represented graphically.
The text of this article is only available as a PDF.
References
Clark, W. A. V., & Huff, J. O. (
1977
). Some Empirical Tests of Duration of Stay Effects in Intra-urban Migration
. Environment and Planning
, 9
, 1357
–1374
. 10.1068/a091357
Clark, W. A. V., Huff, J. O., & Burt, J. E. (
1979
). Calibrating a Model of the Decision to Move
. Environment and Planning A
, 11
, 689
–704
. 10.1068/a110689Crouchley, R., A. R. Pickles, and R. B. Davies. 1980. Heterogeneity and Non-Stationarity in Behavioural Modelling. Paper presented at the Conference of the Regional Science Association (British Section), London, September. Also available in Papers in Planning Research, Department of Town Planning, University of Wales Institute of Science and Technology, Cardiff, Wales.
Davies, R. B., Crouchley, R., & Pickles, A. R. (
1982
). A Family of Hypothesis Tests for a Collection of Short Binary Series with an Application to Female Employment Participation
. Environment and Planning A
, 14
, 603
–614
. 10.1068/a140603
Davies, R. B., Pickles, A. R., & Crouchley, R. (
1982
). Testing for Event History Effects in a Collection of Binary Event Series
. Sociological Methods and Research
, 10
, 285
–302
. 10.1177/0049124182010003003
Ginsberg, R. B. (
1979
). Timing and Duration of Stay Effects in Residence Histories and Other Longitudinal Data (I & II)
. Regional Science and Urban Economics
, 9
, 311
–331
. 10.1016/0166-0462(79)90002-4
Johnson, L. W., & Hensher, D. A. (
1981
). Application of Multinomial Probit Framework to a Two Period Panel Data Set
. Macquarie, Australia
: Macquarie University
.
Johnson, N. L. (
1949
). Systems of Frequency Curves Generated by Methods of Translation
. Biometrika
, 36
, 297
–304
.
Johnson, N. L., & Kitchen, J. O. (
1971
). Some Notes on Tables to Facilitate Fitting S
B
Curves
. Biometrika
, 58
, 223
–226
.
Lancaster, T., & Nickell, S. (
1980
). The Analysis of Re-Employment Probabilities for the Unemployed
. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society A
, 143
, 141
–165
. 10.2307/2981986
Massy, W. F., Montgomery, D. B., & Morrison, D. G. (
1970
). Stochastic Models of Buying Behaviour
. Cambridge, Mass.
: Massachusetts Institute of Technology Press
.
McFadden, D. (
1976
). Quantal Choice Analysis: A Survey
. Annals of Economics and Social Measurement
, 5
, 363
–390
.
McGinnis, R. (
1968
). A Stochastic Model of Social Mobility
. American Sociological Review
, 23
, 712
–722
. 10.2307/2092882
Morrison, P. A. (
1971
). Chronic Movers and the Future Redistribution of Population: A Longitudinal Analysis
. Demography
, 8
, 171
–184
. 10.2307/2060607Numerical Algorithms Group. 1978. Numerical Algorithms Group Library Manual. Oxford, England.
Pickles, A. R., Crouchley, R., & Davies, R. B. (
1982
). New Methods for the Analysis of Sex Ratio Data Independent of the Effects of Family limitation
. Annals of Human Genetics
, 46
, 75
–81
. 10.1111/j.1469-1809.1982.tb00695.x
Pickles, A. R., Crouchley, R., & Davies, R. B. (
1982
). Non-participants in Choice Processes: An Analysis of intra-Urban Migration
. Area
, 14
, 43
–50
.
Speare, A., Goldstein, S., & Frey, W. H. (
1974
). Residential Mobility, Migration and Metropolitan Change
. Boston
: Ballinger
.
Spilerman, S. (
1972
). Extensions of the Mover Stayer Model
. American Journal of Sociology
, 78
, 599
–626
. 10.1086/225366© Population Association of America 1982
1982