Abstract

Current biomedical research on sex selection techniques may soon offer couples the opportunity to choose the sex of their children with greater certainty. A technique planned for marketing by mid-I978 can increase the probability of bearing a son to as much as 0.90. However, couples who wish to improve their chances of bearing a daughter have no such opportunity. The purpose of this paper is two-fold. First, a decision-making model is provided which describes how couples should choose among alternative sex-selection methods so as to maximize the probability of bearing their desired number of sons and daughters. Second, the effect of the widespread use of sex-selection techniques on the population sex ratio is explored. It is shown that even if populations have unbiased sex preferences, or sex preferences biased towards daughters, the use of biased sex-selection technologies may result in very high population sex ratios.

The text of this article is only available as a PDF.

References

Bellman, Richard (
1957
).
Dynamic Programming
.
Princeton
:
Princeton University Press
.
Ben-Porath, Y., & Welch, F. (
1976
).
Do Sex Preferences Really Matter?
.
Quarterly Journal of Economics
,
9
,
285
307
. 10.2307/1884631
Coombs, C. H., Coombs, L. C., & McClelland, G. H. (
1975
).
Preference Scales for Number and Sex of Children
.
Population Studies
,
29
,
273
298
. 10.2307/2173512
Freedman, Ronald, & Coombs, L. C. (
1974
).
CrossCultural Comparisons: Data on Two Factors in Fertility Behavior
.
New York
:
The Population Council
.
Periodic Abstinence: Sex Preselection—Not Yet Practical. Population Reports, Series I, No. 2
. (
1975
).
Washington, D.C.
:
The George Washington University Medical Center
.
Gray, E. (
1972
).
Influence of Sex of First Two Children on Family Size
.
The Journal of Heredity
,
63
,
91
92
.
Gray, E., & Morrison, N. M. (
1974
).
Influence of Combinations of Sexes of Children on Family Size
.
The Journal of Heredity
,
65
,
169
174
.
Intriligator, Michael D. (
1971
).
Mathematical Optirnization and Economic Theory
.
Englewood Cliffs, N.J.
:
Prentice-Hall
.
Markle, G. E., & Nam, C. B. (
1971
).
Sex Predetermination: Its Impact on Fertility
.
Social Biology
,
18
,
73
83
.
Markle, G. E., & Wait, R. F. (
1976
).
The Development of Family Size and Sex Composition Norms Among U.S. Children. Papers of the East-West Population Institute, No. 39
.
Honolulu
:
East-West Population Institute
.
McDonald, J. (
1973
).
Sex Predetermination: Demographic Effects
.
Mathematical Biosciences
,
17
,
137
146
. 10.1016/0025-5564(73)90066-7
Pohlman, E. (
1967
).
Some Effects of Being Able to Control Sex of Offspring
.
Eugenics Quarterly
,
14
,
274
281
.
Population Reference Bureau
(
1976
).
Delivering the Male: Sperm Separation Method Expected to Produce Higher Ratio of Boys
.
Intercom
,
4
(
9
),
1
1
.
Sheps, M. C. (
1963
).
Effects on Family Size and Sex Ratio of Preferences Regarding the Sex of Children
.
Population Studies
,
17
,
66
72
. 10.2307/2172695
Westoff, C. F., & Rindfuss, R. R. (
1974
).
Sex Preselection in the United States: Some Implications
.
Science
,
184
,
633
636
. 10.1126/science.184.4137.633