Abstract

This paper demonstrates how family-building models can be used for checking the quality of abortion data. A family-building model, called FERMODA, is presented and used to check whether the available data on abortion for Hungary are consistent with Hungarian data on other aspects of family building. Model cohorts are generated, using in FERMODA the proportions of women married and the birth and abortion rates of two selected Hungarian cohorts. The estimates obtained from the simulated cohorts concerning use of contraception are compared with the information available on contraception, and, on the basis of this comparison, a judgment is made about the quality of abortion data for Hungary.

The text of this article is only available as a PDF.

References

Acsadi, George, Klinger, A., & Szabady, E. (
1970
).
Family Planning in Hungary, Main Results of the 1966 Fertility and Family Planning Study
.
Budapest
:
Hungarian Demographic Research Institute
.
Barrett, J. C. (
1969
).
A Monte Carlo Simulation of Human Reproduction
.
Genus
,
25
,
1
12
.
Coale, A. J. (
1971
).
Age Patterns of Marriage
.
Population Studies
,
25
,
193
214
. 10.2307/2173210
French, F. E., & Bierman, J. M. (
1962
).
Probabilities of Fetal Mortality
.
Public Health Reports
,
77
,
835
847
.
Holmberg, Ingvar (
1970
).
Fecundity, Fertility, and Family Planning, Vol. I
.
Gothenberg, Sweden
:
The Demographic Institute, University of Gothenberg
.
Holmberg, Ingvar (
1972
).
Fecundity, Fertility, and Family Planning. Vol. II
.
Gothenberg, Sweden
:
The Demographic Institute, University of Gothenberg
.
Hungarian Statistical Yearbook
. (
1956
).
Budapest
:
Government Press
.
Jacquard, A. (
1967
).
La Reproduction Humaine en Regime Malthusien, Un Modele de Simulation par la Methode de Monte-Carlo
.
Population
,
22
,
897
920
. 10.2307/1528903
Jain, A. K. (
1969
).
Pregnancy Outcome and the Time Required to Conceive
.
Population Studies
,
23
,
421
433
. 10.2307/2172880
A Termekenysegi, Csaladtervezesi Es Szuletesszabalyozasi Vizsgalat Fontosabb Adatai
. (
1964
).
Budapest
:
Government Press
.
Demografiai Evkonyv
. (
1970
).
Budapest
:
Government Press
.
Perrin, E. B., & Sheps, M. C. (
1963
).
Human Reproduction: A Stochastic Process
.
Biometrics
,
20
,
28
45
. 10.2307/2527616
Pittenger, D. B. (
1973
).
An Exponential Model of Female Sterility
.
Demography
,
10
,
113
122
. 10.2307/2060754
Potter, R. G., & Sakoda, J. M. (
1966
).
A Computer Model of Family Building Based on Expected Values
.
Demography
,
3
,
450
461
. 10.2307/2060170
Potter, R. G., & Sakoda, J. M. (
1967
).
Family Planning and Fecundity
.
Population Studies
,
20
,
311
328
. 10.2307/2172675
Potter, R. G., Sakoda, J. M., & Feinberg, W. E. (
1968
).
Variable Fecundability and the Timing of Births
.
Eugenics Quarterly
,
15
,
155
163
.
Potter, R. G., J. M. Sakoda, and W. E. Feinberg. Description of ACCOFERT II. April I, 1971. Unpublished.
Potter, R. G., Ford, K., & Moots, B. (
1975
).
Competition Between Spontaneous and Induced Abortion
.
Demography
,
12
,
129
142
. 10.2307/2060738
Ridley, J. C., & Sheps, M. C. (
1966
).
An Analytic Simulation Model of Human Reproduction with Demographic and Biological Components
.
Population Studies
,
19
,
297
310
. 10.2307/2172823
Shapiro, S., Jones, E. W., & Densen, P. M. (
1962
).
A Life Table of Pregnancy Terminations and Correlates of Fetal Loss
.
Milbank Memorial Fund Quarterly
,
40
,
16
17
. 10.2307/3348609
Tietze, C., & Bongaarts, J. (
1975
).
Fertility Rates and Abortion Rates: Simulations of Family Limitation
.
Studies in Family Planning
,
6
,
114
120
. 10.2307/1964745
United Nations. Various dates. Demographic Yearbook. New York: United Nations.